Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce

34-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Kansas City Chiefs
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kelce has been the gold standard at tight end for the better part of the last decade, but he looked like he'd lost a step for much of 2023 and finished 16 receiving yards short of an eighth consecutive 1,000-yard campaign. His postseason performance was vintage, however, as the 34-year-old had 355 yards and three touchdowns in four playoff games to help the Chiefs win another Super Bowl. Kelce missed the 2023 season opener with a knee injury and was rested for the regular-season finale, but he played 15 straight games in between, marking the 10th consecutive campaign in which he’s played at least that many. Even if Kelce’s best days are behind him, he should still be the most trusted pass catcher for QB Patrick Mahomes, after leading the Chiefs in targets (121), catches (93) and receiving yards (984) last season (each mark was top four among NFL tight ends). Free-agent signing Marquise Brown and rookie Xavier Worthy both are undersized speed merchants who don't figure to draw many targets in the parts of the field where Kelce thrives, while second-year pro Rashee Rice has a legal situation threatening his 2024 availability. Kelce remains the safe bet to pile up short and intermediate targets in Kansas City, with potential to rebound in the TD department (five last year) even if he doesn't get back to his peak volume (143.4 targets per season 2018-22). Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#21.82
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $34.25 million contract with the Chiefs in April of 2024.
Inks two-year extension
TEKansas City Chiefs
April 29, 2024
Kelce and the Chiefs agreed to terms Monday on a two-year extension that makes him the highest-paid tight end in the NFL, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
The exact terms of Kelce's new extension have yet to be disclosed, but coming off another Super Bowl title and heading into his age-35 season, Kelce's pay rate will top his position. The four-time All-Pro had logged seven consecutive seasons with at least 1,000 receiving yards before being held to a 93-984-5 receiving line in 2023, but in Kansas City's four postseason contests he operated in prime form, scoring three touchdowns while never falling below 70 receiving yards. The Chiefs added veteran wideout Marquise Brown (heel) and rookie first-round pick Xavier Worthy this offseason, and both players are capable of taking the top off opposing defenses, which could open things up for Kelce during the 2024 campaign. Those additions may also foreshadow a more aggressive offensive game plan led by star quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Travis Kelce's 2023 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
52.5
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.07
 
% Team Air Yards
20.6%
 
% Team Targets
20.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
6.5 Yds
 
Catch Rate
76.9%
 
Drop Rate
5.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
5.0
 
% Targeted On Route
24.8%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.02
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2023 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

89666%
67450%
29021%
60%
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How often does Travis Kelce run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Travis Kelce and the other tight ends for the Chiefs are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Travis Kelce
488 routes   121 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
66%
293 routes   41 targets
52%
215 routes   26 targets
68%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Travis Kelce lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 Travis Kelce Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Travis Kelce's measurables compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
* The 40-Yard Dash, Shuttle Time, Cone Drill, Vertical Jump, and Broad Jump metrics are from his Pro Day. All others are from the NFL Combine.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
250 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash*
4.61 sec
 
Shuttle Time*
4.42 sec
 
Cone Drill*
7.09 sec
 
Vertical Jump*
35.0 in
 
Broad Jump*
124 in
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
33.75 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Travis Kelce See More
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10 days ago
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16 days ago
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18 days ago
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21 days ago
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NFL Draft: Veteran Winners & Losers
27 days ago
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
GM believes he has good years left
TEKansas City Chiefs
May 1, 2024
Chiefs general manager Brett Veach believes Kelce could continue playing for another few years, Adam Teicher of ESPN.com reports. "The odds of someone playing this far into the thirties are very low, but it does happen, and it happens with just unicorns in the profession, and Travis is one of those," Veach said. "So, we'll just have to wait and see. But I've seen no signs of [Kelce] slowing down."
ANALYSIS
Veach's comments came after the team adjusted Kelce's deal, with his two-year, $34.25 million contract making him the highest-paid tight end in the NFL. The 34-year-old Kelce is still the gold standard at his position, as he came 16 yards shy of an eighth consecutive 1,000-yard season in 2023 before adding 355 yards and three touchdowns in four playoff games. Veach and the Chiefs are hoping that Kelce will still have more football in him after the expiration of this two-year contract.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Kelce’s name has become synonymous with consistent excellence. He reached 1,336 yards and double-digit touchdowns in three of the past five seasons, with receiving lines of 97-1,229-5 and 92-1,125-9 the other two years. Kelce’s the top target for the league’s best passer, Patrick Mahomes, and the 6-foot-5 tight end has shown no signs of slowing down at age 33, suiting up for at least 15 regular-season games every season besides his 2013 rookie campaign. Last year he had career highs for targets (152) and touchdowns (12), led the NFL in red-zone targets (32) and had 424 more yards (1,338) than any other tight end. While Father Time is bound to catch up to Kelce eventually, he hasn’t given us much reason to think it will happen this year. The gap between Kelce and the rest of the pack at tight end is even larger in full-PPR formats, as his 507 catches over the past five seasons are second most among all players behind only Davante Adams' 532, while another tight end doesn’t appear on that list until Zach Ertz with 361.
Kelce has been the epitome of consistency, topping 1,000 receiving yards each of the last six seasons. He’s also found the end zone at least nine times in three of the four years since Patrick Mahomes became the starting quarterback in Kansas City while averaging 1,277 receiving yards in those four seasons. Every passing year brings increased fears Kelce will experience some age-related decline — he turns 33 in October — but those fears have been unfounded to this point. Kelce could see more attention than ever from Mahomes this season. The Chiefs traded No. 1 wide receiver Tyreek Hill to Miami this offseason, leaving Kelce as the likely top weapon over wide receiver free-agent acquisitions JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling and second-round draft pick Skyy Moore. The only tight end to reach 1,400 receiving yards in a season (1,416 in 2020) in NFL history could challenge his own record if things break right, but Kelce’s advanced age and extra wear and tear from Kansas City’s numerous forays deep into the postseason pose some concerns that aren’t shared by the other couple tight ends who operate in his stratosphere.
Kelce seemed to reach his ceiling in 2018 when he caught 103 passes for 1,336 yards and 10 touchdowns for one of the great offenses in NFL history. It turns out he had another level to reach, with 2020 yielding career highs in catches and touchdowns, plus a TE-record 1,416 receiving yards. Already among the elite at his position during the Alex Smith era, Kelce now owns a three-year streak with at least 1,200 receiving yards, making him the first tight end to clear that hurdle more than twice. His age and the physical demands of his position might hint at some risk, but there is no sign of decline, nor has there been a significant injury concern since his 2013 rookie season. In any case, Kelce should remain productive for fantasy managers even when his real-life skills start to decline, assuming he's still in Kansas City with Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. Kelce's ability to beat one-on-one coverage and make big plays is unquestioned, but he also benefits from easy receptions on screens and shovel passes, not to mention those broken plays where Mahomes summons a 25-yard gain out of thin air. George Kittle and Darren Waller provide stout competition for the 2021 tight end fantasy crown, but Kelce is the three-time defending champ for good reason.
Kelce offers an unmatched combination of floor and ceiling at tight end, missing just one game in the last six seasons while totaling at least 862 yards and four or more touchdowns each year. That includes four in a row with more than 1,000 yards and back-to-back seasons with more than 1,200. He peaked in 2018 along with the rest of Kansas City's offense, riding the Patrick Mahomes wave to career highs in every significant counting stat. Apart from the touchdowns, Kelce came pretty close to a repeat last year, and he did it while handling a snap share higher than 90 percent for a fourth time in the last five seasons. He capped off the campaign with 19 receptions for 207 yards and four touchdowns in three playoff games, displaying the usual first-rate chemistry with Mahomes. A late start to his pro career means Kelce will turn 31 during the early portion (October) of what's essentially his seventh season, but any signs of decline have been entirely absent. Locked in as an every-down player in the NFL's most dangerous offense, Kelce will be the first tight end off the board in most fantasy drafts, with only George Kittle challenging the throne.
It might seem like Rob Gronkowski's retirement promoted Kelce to the top of the tight end class, but Kansas City's version of No. 87 was already there. Kelce rode shotgun on Patrick Mahomes' MVP season, bumping most of his counting stats and efficiency ones too. He's now ranked first, second and first in TE fantasy points the last three years. Mahomes was able to prioritize Kelce around the goal line in a way that Alex Smith never would. Kelce had just 16 targets inside the 10-yard line entering last year, then collected 12 - third in the league and most among tight ends - for 2018 alone. Perhaps Kelce will be a little easier to mark with Tyreek Hill likely out of the picture, but if defenses had any clue how to stop the 29-year-old tight end we probably would have seen it by now. No one has cracked this matrix. Injuries are a tricky thing to predict for anyone, especially those at tight end, the ultimate collision position. That said, credit Kelce for playing in 79 of 80 games the last five years. He had a clean-up ankle surgery in early March, missing the offseason program before gaining clearance for the start of training camp. Selecting a vanity tight end isn't for everyone - some fantasy owners don't want to play catch-up at the other positions. But with the first tight end tier a tiny and exclusive group, it's possible margin analysis could push you to an early Kelce pick. It seems easier to get lucky at the other positions than it is to strike gold at tight end.
The genesis of the stats was a shade less dynamic - lower catch rate, lower YPC - but Kelce still pushed over that magic 1,000-yard plateau and posted his best touchdown season. In other words, he finally learned how to click with Alex Smith, Mr. Conservative. Alas, Mr. Smith is now gone to Washington, and Kelce needs to learn how to play with Patrick Mahomes, a high-pedigree, low-experience second-year quarterback. We suspect Kelce can succeed in any environment, but it also makes you curious to see how the Chiefs click this preseason. Will they continue to push the ball downfield as they did last season, contrary to previous seasons? Or will coach Andy Reid revert to protect-the-ball, dink-and-dunk? Kelce also has to share a little more, as the Chiefs have another mouth to feed in the offense - freshly acquired Sammy Watkins. And still, there have been only 43 tight-end seasons of 1,000 yards in NFL history and Kelce has two of them. Maybe the quarterback simply doesn't matter. At 6-5, 260, Kelce is no match for defensive backs, and he's a playmaker in the open field with speed and elusiveness. Kelce's 2013 season was wiped out by a knee injury, but he's only missed one start since. If you don't like the running backs and wide receivers you're faced with in the early rounds, a pivot to Kelce is always a reasonable alternative.
For the most part, 2016 goes down as a glorious breakthrough year for Kelce, a 6-5, 260-pound athletic freak who is often compared to Rob Gronkowski. He led all tight ends in yards last year and was just one catch from the TE reception crown (Dennis Pitta finished first; use that as your bar bet, then drink for free all night). With Jamaal Charles out of the mix and Jeremy Maclin also injured much of the year, the Chiefs were forced to move outside of their comfort zone and Kelce was a major beneficiary. Alas, it still felt like some production was left on the table. Kelce only hauled in eight of his 18 red-zone targets, and four touchdowns is a light return for someone who catches 85 balls. Part of the blame goes to Alex Smith, who isn't used to making any kind of throw unless it's wide open. But at the end of the day, we're still going to approach Kelce with optimism. The arrow is pointing up after he topped 100 yards in five of seven games to close out 2016, pushing him to a No. 1 finish among tight ends in any reasonable format. And with Jeremy Maclin gone, there's potential for growth beyond last season's 117 targets. Smith isn't going to keep him from fantasy greatness, nor is Andy Reid. Heading into his age-28 season, Kelce is one of the few tight ends worth an early selection.
Kelce had a solid year last season, but not the breakout many expected, especially after his 106-yard, two-touchdown Week 1 performance. He scored just three touchdowns the rest of the way and had only two games with more than 75 yards, neither close to another triple-digit day. The culprit was a dink-and-dunk offense that attempted just 37 passes of more than 20 yards, second fewest in the league. Kelce saw only five of those and was limited to 17 targets in the 11-20-yard range, T-17th among tight ends. While he had a career-high 103 targets, 78.6 percent came on attempts of no more than 10 yards. As a result, his YPC (12.2) and YPT (8.5) slipped from his 2014 numbers, and he finished ninth at the position with 10 catches of 20-plus yards, five fewer than the previous season. The story at the goal line wasn't much better, where, for the second year in a row, he was barely used – a mere three targets and one touchdown inside the 10-yard line. At 6-5, 260, he should be more of a goal-line threat, and he has the necessary hands, speed (4.61 40) and elusiveness to be a playmaker in the open field. Perhaps he will get more downfield opportunities with new offensive coordinators this season, but Andy Reid is still calling the plays.
After losing his rookie season to a knee injury, Kelce entered last year in a timeshare with Anthony Fasano. It didn't take long for him to become the team's best receiver and one of the league's best playmakers at tight end. Despite only starting 11 games and playing limited snaps early in the year, Kelce led the Chiefs in receiving, finishing sixth among tight ends in catches and yards. In a run-first offense that didn't do much downfield passing, Kelce took advantage of defenses that stacked the box to stop Jamaal Charles, totaling a position-leading 512 yards after the catch. His 7.6 YAC average also led tight ends as his speed (4.61 40) and elusiveness in the open field helped him gain a whopping 59.3 percent of his yards after the catch. He had 9.9 yards per target (1st) and had 15 receptions of 20-plus yards (3rd). At 6-5, 260, Kelce was too much to handle even with double-teams and safety help that appeared later in the year. Kelce, who only scored five touchdowns, has room for growth, too, as the Chiefs didn't use him much at the goal line (three targets, two scores inside the 10). Fasano was not re-signed, leaving behind 36 targets, including five in the red zone. And with new WR Jeremy Maclin stretching the field, secondaries can't focus solely on stopping Kelce, who could see 100 targets this season.
A third-round draft pick last season, Kelce lost his rookie season to a knee injury. He could play a significant role in the passing game this year, though, if he returns healthy. At 6-5, 260, he is bigger than incumbent starter Anthony Fasano (6-4, 255) and has more speed and can stretch the field. With the Chiefs lacking reliable receivers and favoring a short-to-intermediate passing game, Kelce is in a good situation to produce. Fasano and backup Sean McGrath combined for 73 targets last year, so there is opportunity to be had in the passing game.
Kelce may be the most talented TE from the 2013 draft class but will have to fight Tony Moeaki and Anthony Fasano for playing time as a rookie.
More Fantasy News
Nine receptions in Super Bowl
TEKansas City Chiefs
February 11, 2024
Kelce recorded nine receptions (on 10 targets) for 93 yards in Sunday's 25-22 overtime victory over the 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII.
ANALYSIS
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Monster game en route to Super Bowl
TEKansas City Chiefs
January 28, 2024
Kelce hauled in all 11 of his targets Sunday for 116 yards and a touchdown in the Chiefs' 17-10 win over the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game.
ANALYSIS
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First touchdowns since Week 11
TEKansas City Chiefs
January 21, 2024
Kelce recorded five receptions on six targets for 75 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 27-24 win over the Bills.
ANALYSIS
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Shows signs of improvement
TEKansas City Chiefs
January 13, 2024
Kelce recorded seven receptions on 10 targets for 71 yards in Saturday's 26-7 win over the Dolphins in the wild-card round.
ANALYSIS
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Won't play Sunday
TEKansas City Chiefs
Coach's Decision
January 7, 2024
Kelce (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Sunday's regular-season finale against the Chargers.
ANALYSIS
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