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Nick Paul

Nick Paul

30-Year-Old Left WingLW
Tampa Bay Lightning
IR-LT
Injury Upper Body
Est. Return 11/2/2025
2025 Stats
G
0
A
0
PP Pts
0
+/-
0
PIM
0
ROS Projections
G
A
PP Pts
+/-
PIM
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Paul had a career-high 46 points over 82 regular-season games in 2023-24, and he followed that up with 41 points across 76 appearances last campaign. He also added two goals in five playoff outings for a second straight year. Paul may have found his offensive ceiling, crossing the 20-goal plateau and recording 40-plus points in each of the last two seasons. However, his hit and faceoff totals suffered in 2024-25. He split time between the top six and bottom six, which cut into his playing time, and he logged fewer minutes on the first power-play unit. However, Paul could reach similar statistics in 2025-26 while playing up and down the lineup as one of the Lightning's most versatile forwards. Read Past Outlooks
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Overall
#Subscriber-Only
Left Wing
Shoots Left
Height 6'4"
DOB 3/20/1995
Born Mississauga, Canada
Drafted 4th Rd, #101 Overall in 2013
Signed a seven-year, $22.05 million contract extension with the Lightning in July of 2022.
Put on LTIR
LWTampa Bay Lightning
Upper Body
October 6, 2025
Paul (upper body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Monday.
ANALYSIS
Paul won't be available to return from offseason surgery until early November. He accounted for 22 goals, 41 points, 141 shots on net and 66 hits across 76 regular-season appearances in 2024-25. Once he's healthy, he will be in the mix for a middle-six role and could see time on the second power-play unit.
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2025 NHL Game Log
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2025–26 Time On Ice Stats
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2023–24
17:16
3:03
0:41
2024–25
16:27
1:07
0:36
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2018
2015
Paul set career highs in 2023-24 with 24 goals and 46 points in 82 regular-season games, but that's about a best-case scenario for him. The 29-year-old was getting plenty of playing time with 17:16 per contest, and he was shooting at a career-high 15.7 percent. If anything, he'll probably do a little worse offensively this campaign, though he will offer a bit of versatility for fantasy managers by supplying 100-125 hits. He's also strong on the draw, having won 54 percent of his faceoffs, 1,026 in total, over the past two seasons.
If you're looking for consistency, Paul is your man. He appeared in 80 games for a second straight season in 2022-23, finishing with 17 goals and 32 points, nearly identical numbers to the 16 goals and 32 points we saw from him a year prior. While it may seem like a reasonably productive season for the 28-year-old, Paul scored just one goal in his final 38 regular-season games. Signed through the 2028-29 campaign at a cap hit of $3.15 million, Paul will again return to his middle-six role for the Lightning in 2023-24. With a little more puck luck, the first 20-goal year of his career doesn't seem out of the realm of possibility for Paul this season. Just don't expect more than 40 points overall from the 2013 fourth-round pick.
The Lightning always somehow find a way to acquire excellent complementary players despite the fact they never seem to have any salary cap room, so perhaps we shouldn't have been surprised they were able to swing a deal to get Paul from Ottawa in March. He appeared in 21 regular-season games for Tampa Bay the rest of the way, posting 14 points, before adding five goals and nine points in 23 postseason appearances. Paul signed a new seven-year, $22.05 million deal with the club in July. There isn't enough here to make the 27-year-old an attractive fantasy asset, but he's going to help the Lightning win hockey games.
Paul has been highly consistent over the past few campaigns, having finished with exactly 20 points in 56 games in 2019-20 and 2020-21. Paul is a big body (6-foot-3) and has turned into a valuable player for Ottawa, averaging more than 16 minutes of ice time per game (16:05) last season, but the scoring upside here is virtually non-existent. On the plus side, Paul is generally good for 100 hits per season and can play up and down the lineup for the Senators.
Paul was productive with 20 points, 122 hits and 24 PIM in 56 games for the Senators last season. A physical presence at 6-foot-4, the winger seems likely to skate in a bottom-six role in 2020-21. His scoring touch shouldn't be overlooked -- with a 56-game schedule ahead, he could push for 20 to 25 points while providing plenty of physical play. The big question for the 25-year-old is if he'll be able to keep an everyday role in the lineup. That will give fantasy managers pause in most formats, so it may be best to wait and see if he'll stick around with the big club before adding him to your virtual roster.
Paul has posted consecutive seasons of double-digit goals at the AHL level which might be enough for the Senators to give him a look rather than sending him straight down to there again. At 23 years old, he is the kind of player that the Senators need to evaluate and see if he can be part of their long-term plans. Perhaps he'll be given a chance to show he belongs, but that's about all you can hope for at this point. He's worthy of a flier in dynasty leagues, but nothing more.
Paul racked up 37 goals and 29 assists for OHL North Bay in the 2014-15 season, before making his professional debut for AHL Binghamton when his junior campaign concluded. The 19-year-old boasts an NHL-caliber frame at 6-foot-4 and 225 pounds, but he'll need to prove himself in Binghamton before being considered for a roster spot with the parent club.
More Fantasy News
Out until November
LWTampa Bay Lightning
Upper Body
September 17, 2025
Paul underwent surgery to address an upper-body injury and will be out until early November, Erik Erlendsson of LightningInsider.com reports Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Deposits goal in Game 5 loss
LWTampa Bay Lightning
May 1, 2025
Paul scored a goal on five shots and added two hits in Wednesday's 6-3 loss to the Panthers in Game 5.
ANALYSIS
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Fires winner in Game 3
LWTampa Bay Lightning
April 26, 2025
Paul scored a goal in Saturday's 5-1 win over Florida in Game 3.
ANALYSIS
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Registers helper in win
LWTampa Bay Lightning
April 13, 2025
Paul logged an assist and three shots on goal in Sunday's 7-4 win over the Sabres.
ANALYSIS
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Second straight 40-point season
LWTampa Bay Lightning
April 1, 2025
Paul scored a goal Tuesday in a 4-1 win over the Islanders.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Heading to World Championship
LWTampa Bay Lightning
May 7, 2024
Paul will be joining Team Canada for the 2024 IIHF World Championship.
ANALYSIS
Paul had a good regular season with the Lightning in 2023-24, recording 24 goals and 22 assists while appearing in all 82 games. He also added two goals in five playoff games. Paul will be entering the third season of his seven-year, $22.05 million contract in 2024-25.
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