Best Drake Maye Player Prop Bets for Patriots vs Broncos AFC Championship (2026)

Drake Maye had one of the most remarkable second seasons in NFL history. With wins over the Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans, Maye has his Patriots in the AFC Championship, where they'll face the Denver Broncos. If you're looking for Maye-themed player props for the AFC Championship, I've got you covered. 

Below, I looked at every sportsbook for the latest Patriots vs Broncos odds and found the best price for my three favorite Drake Maye player props. 

Best Drake Maye Player Props for the AFC Championship: FanDuel

FanDuel Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a FanDuel promo code to maximize your player props. 

Drake Maye – Passing Touchdowns: OVER 1.5 (+118) 

Getting this at plus odds is my favorite Drake Maye player prop this weekend, by far. Maye has thrown two-plus touchdowns in 12 of his 19 starts, including the playoffs. He's hit this in 63% of his appearances, but this market has an implied probability of 45%. That alone makes it a value. 

I understand that the Broncos are a difficult matchup, but Maye cashed this prop against tougher opponents. He faced two top-five pass defenses in terms of EPA per play this season: the Texans and the Browns. Maye threw for three TDs in each game. For the record, Denver finished eighth in that metric. 

And I'm not convinced Denver's defense is still the juggernaut we saw over the first half of the year. The Broncos' defense ranked No. 4 in EPA per play and No. 2 against the pass over the first 10 weeks of the year. But from Week 11-17, they fell to No. 24 and No. 21 in those categories, respectively. 

This line is priced as if Denver is the best pass defense in the league. I'm not convinced that's the case any longer. And even if they are, tough matchups haven't slowed Maye down yet. 

Best Drake Maye Player Props for the AFC Championship: BetMGM

BetMGM Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a BetMGM bonus code to maximize your player props. 

Drake Maye – Rushing Yards: UNDER 30.5 (-113) 

This market is four yards lower than it was last week. Maye's lackluster rushing day against Houston has a lot to do with that. He had four carries for 10 yards, and two of those were kneel-downs. That leaves him with only two real rushing attempts last week: an eight-yard scramble and a designed run, which resulted in a lost fumble. He has now fumbled six times in two playoff games. 

I'm convinced that Maye was hesitant to run because of his recent fumbling issues. That could also be the reason why Josh McDaniels only dialed up one designed run against Houston. It looked like those were becoming a real part of the offense toward the end of the year, as he averaged 2.0 designed runs per game from Week 13-17. But we never saw it again after he fumbled on his lone designed run of the Texans game. 

I expect the coaches to preach ball security all week. Right now, the play that feels most likely to result in a Patriots' turnover is Maye trying to do too much on a run. Facing a backup QB in Jarrett Stidham, the Pats might protect Maye from himself by limiting his carries. 

If he turns down a few rushing opportunities, he'll struggle to reach 31 yards. Maye has only eclipsed 30 rushing yards in seven of his 19 starts, including the playoffs. He's one of the most dynamic QBs in the league with his legs, but this market is a tad overpriced.

Drake Maye – Passing Yards: OVER 224.5 (-115) 

⭐️ Note: This prop bet pick originally appeared in RotoWire's Best Patriots vs. Broncos Player Props. Follow that link for the full, in-depth analysis on this prop. 

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2025-26 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record 

Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of the Conference Championships):

• Regular Season Record: 61-56 (52.1%)
• Playoff Record: 16-11 (59.2%)

Where to Bet on Drake Maye Player Props

Below, I've provided a list of the top sportsbooks that offer player prop betting markets. I've also provided the sign-up bonus at each book, so you can make the most of your prop bets.