DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks

Neil Parker breaks down his Thursday DraftKings recommendations, suggesting the Tigers' Justin Verlander on the bump against the visiting Rays.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks
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PITCHER

Jordan Montgomery, NYY at OAK ($8,600): Oakland owns a fourth highest 25.3 strikeout percentage against southpaws this season, and there is nothing scary about the Athletics' 23rd-ranked .298 wOBA. Montgomery has also been sharp of late with just four earned runs allowed through his past four starts and 24 strikeouts over 24 innings. For the year, the rookie lefty boasts a 23.0 strikeout percentage, too.

Justin Verlander, DET vs. TB ($7,600): This is a buy-low spot for Verlander. Most of his struggles have been on the road this year, as he sports a dominant 2.10 ERA at home while limiting opposing hitters to a .267 wOBA. The Rays have been a daunting opponent for righties this season with a fifth-ranked .342 wOBA. However, Tampa Bay also sports the second-highest strikeout percentage (25.7) in the majors against right-handed arms.

CATCHER

Alex Avila, DET vs. TAM ($4,100): The backstop has been batting second against right-handed hurlers, which is a cushy spot in Detroit's stacked lineup. Alex Cobb has also surrendered a .369 wOBA to left-handed hitters dating back to last season, and Avila has posted a monster 1.129 OPS, .342 ISO and .466 wOBA against righties this year.

FIRST BASE

Matt Carpenter, STL vs. MIL ($4,000): This is a sneaky matchup for Carpenter against Zach Davies. The righty has allowed a .359 wOBA to left-handed hitters dating back to last season, and Carpenter owns long-term success against right-handed arms with a .388 wOBA against them since 2015.

SECOND BASE

Kolten Wong, STL vs. MIL ($3,400): This is a target-worthy salary considering Wong's uptick in production against right-handed hitters this season: .392 on-base percentage and .357 wOBA. As noted, this isn't a daunting matchup, and Wong's value climbs if he's hitting in the middle of the lineup Thursday.

THIRD BASE

Mike Moustakas, KC at LAA ($4,500): Quietly, Moustakas has posted monster numbers against right-handed hurlers this season with a .299 ISO, .387 wOBA and 36.6 hard-hit percentage. Facing Ricky Nolasco is a soft matchup, too. The veteran righty has served up a .351 wOBA to lefties this year.

SHORTSTOP

Trevor Story, COL vs. SFG ($3,700): Interestingly, Matt Moore has actually been tougher on right-handed hitters than lefties this season, but he's also enters Coors Field with a 7.94 road ERA while allowing a .433 wOBA away from AT&T Park. Story has posted a .346 ISO and .402 wOBA against southpaws this season, and this salary is especially low considering this game is at Coors.

OUTFIELD

Andrew Benintendi, BOS at PHI ($5,000): This is a soft matchup for Benintendi with Nick Pivetta allowing a .411 on-base percentage and .375 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season. Bentintendi owns a .357 wOBA and 37.9 hard-hit percentage against righties, and his fantasy floor and ceiling are high hitting in the heart of Boston's lineup.

Yoenis Cespedes, NYM vs. WAS ($4,400): Dating backto last season, Cespedes has posted a dominant 1.125 OPS, .340 ISO and .456 wOBA against southpaws, and he's proven his health with a 6-for-12 stretch since returning from injury. Just note that it's a tough matchup against Gio Gonzalez, as the veteran lefty has held right-handed hitters to a .326 wOBA this season.

Eric Thames, MIL at STL ($4,000): With a .691 OPS through his past 28 games, Thames has certainly cooled off. However, his salary reflects the slump, and he did homer Wednesday. Michael Wacha has allowed a .355 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season, and Thames owns a .322 ISO and .419 wOBA against righties, so the matchup also checks out.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Neil Parker plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: naparker77, DraftKings: naparker77.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Neil is a former RotoWire contributor. A loyal Cubs, Cowboys and Maple Leafs fan for decades, Neil had contributed to RotoWire since 2014. He previously worked for USA Today Fantasy Sports.
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