15-Day IL
Injury Ankle
Est. Return 6/10/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
1-7
ERA
6.16
WHIP
1.51
K
52
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Nola posted a mid-4.00 ERA in 2023 and rebounded last season with a 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 197:50 K:BB over 199.1 innings. It's the first time he's failed to eclipse 200 strikeouts in a full season since 2017, and his 8.9 K/9 is the worst mark since his rookie campaign. The right-hander also surrendered 30-plus home runs for the second straight season. Nola's run of extreme durability has been impressive, and he hasn't missed a start since 2017. Zack Wheeler remains the clear ace of Philadelphia's staff, but Nola is a strong and reliable No. 2 arm even though his 92.1-mph average fastball velocity is down a half tick from a couple years ago. He hasn't produced a sub-4.00 ERA in back-to-back seasons over the past four years, but there's no reason he can't buck that trend in 2025. Read Past Outlooks

Will need rehab assignment
Nola (ankle) said Tuesday he will need a minor-league rehab assignment before rejoining the big-league rotation, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Nola said he felt something in his sprained right ankle after throwing off a mound and is hopeful he'll be able to throw a higher-intensity bullpen session Thursday. The Phillies have the luxury of being patient with Nola, as Taijuan Walker has a 3.24 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 16.2 innings through four appearances this month. Nola won't be able to return when first eligible, but could potentially return in the second week of June.
Nola said he felt something in his sprained right ankle after throwing off a mound and is hopeful he'll be able to throw a higher-intensity bullpen session Thursday. The Phillies have the luxury of being patient with Nola, as Taijuan Walker has a 3.24 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 16.2 innings through four appearances this month. Nola won't be able to return when first eligible, but could potentially return in the second week of June.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Aaron Nola generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Nola generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .243 | 208 | 66 | 204 | 44 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .258 | 243 | 45 | 223 | 30 | |||
2025vs Left | .274 | 30 | 11 | 32 | 10 | |||
2025vs Right | .333 | 22 | 5 | 28 | 2 | |||
2024vs Left | .236 | 88 | 30 | 91 | 18 | |||
2024vs Right | .259 | 109 | 20 | 98 | 12 | |||
2023vs Left | .240 | 90 | 25 | 81 | 16 | |||
2023vs Right | .241 | 112 | 20 | 97 | 16 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-21%
ERA at Home
2025
-35%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.72 | 1.12 | 212.2 | 9.5 | 2.1 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 4.73 | 1.30 | 230.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
2025Home | 7.71 | 1.86 | 21.0 | 8.6 | 3.0 | ||||
2025Away | 5.02 | 1.26 | 28.2 | 10.0 | 2.8 | ||||
2024Home | 3.29 | 1.10 | 104.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2024Away | 3.87 | 1.31 | 95.1 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Home | 3.29 | 0.97 | 87.2 | 10.0 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Away | 5.43 | 1.30 | 106.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Nola compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.25K/9
9.4BB/9
2.9HR/9
2.0Fastball
91.0 mphERA
6.16WHIP
1.51BABIP
.353GB/FB
1.43Left On Base
67.1%Exit Velocity
83.5 mphBarrels/BBE
6.5%Spin Rate
2251 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.9%Swinging Strike
11.3%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Nola shocked many when he decided to re-up with the Phillies for seven years rather than test the free agent waters in what was a lucrative market with multiple big market teams looking for pitching. Then again, Nola has pitched very well at Citizens Bank Ballpark over the years whereas his struggles have more recently been away from Philly. You may be surprised to learn that Nola pitched to a 3.29 ERA with 12 homers in 87.2 innings at home in 2023, but had a 5.43 ERA with 20 homers in 106 innings on the road last season. He is a rare bird in that he has not missed a single start since missing a handful of starts in the 2017 season and has pitched at least 180 innings in each of the past five full seasons. He has become rather stingy with walks in recent years while continuing to get 200+ strikeouts year after year. 2021 and 2023 have a familiar look to them and Nola absolutely has the ability to bounce back in 2024 as he did in 2022 while deciding to continue his career where it began.
More Fantasy News

Plans to start throwing this week
Nola (ankle) isn't expected to resume throwing off a mound until the Phillies return home from their road trip that concludes Sunday in Sacramento, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could throw off mound this weekend
Nola (ankle) played long toss ahead of Wednesday's game against the Rockies, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes on IL with sprained ankle
The Phillies placed Nola on the 15-day injured list Friday with a right ankle sprain, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up again Wednesday
Nola (1-7) allowed nine runs on 12 hits and a walk while striking out two over 3.2 innings to take the loss in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader versus the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in Friday's loss
Nola (1-6) took the loss Friday as the Phillies fell 6-0 to the Guardians, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Turns down more money
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, Nola turned down more money elsewhere to re-sign with the Phillies on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.