Brandon Nimmo

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF

New York Mets

2022 Stats

AVG

.274

RBI

102

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Nimmo was finally able to stay healthy for a full season in 2022, as he played in a career-high 151 games for his final year before free agency, and he ultimately re-signed with the Mets on an eight-year, $162 million deal. He had his walk rate drop to 10.9 percent, but he also cut his strikeout rate to 17.2 percent, with both figures representing career lows. The center fielder was a reliable leadoff man for the Mets and had a .274/.367/.433 slash line with 16 home runs, 64 RBI and 102 runs. Nimmo nearly doubled his barrel rate to 7.0 percent and also saw a five-point increase in his groundball rate to 50.5 percent. He's a solid defender in center field and is an ideal option atop the order given his average and on-base skills, though his reliance on groundballs lowers his ceiling. It's an encouraging sign Nimmo was able to put in a full season with no notable injuries, but fantasy managers should keep in mind it's only the second time he's topped 100 games in his career, so continued good health shouldn't yet be an expectation as he enters his age-30 season. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#166

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 206

DOB 3/27/1993

Born Cheyenne, WY

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2011 NYM

Returns to Mets for $162 million

OFNew York Mets

December 8, 2022

Nimmo signed an eight-year, $162 million contract with the Mets on Thursday, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports.

ANALYSIS
The Mets selected Nimmo 13th overall in the 2011 MLB Draft, and, barring a trade, this deal makes it extremely likely he'll play his entire career with the club. Nimmo has compiled a 134 wRC+ and .362 wOBA across seven big-league seasons, which highlight his on-base and contact skills. He's also a strong defensive center fielder and will be locked into the lineup at that position in 2023. The lone concern is Nimmo's injury history, as he's played in more than 100 games just twice in his major-league career.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+9%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+3%

OPS vs RHP

2021

+2%

OPS vs RHP

2020

+51%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.778	414	54	7	35	0	.266	.372	.406
Since 2020vs Right	.850	865	131	25	75	9	.287	.389	.461
2022vs Left	.786	234	33	5	26	0	.264	.358	.428
2022vs Right	.808	439	69	11	38	3	.280	.372	.435
2021vs Left	.827	120	14	1	7	0	.306	.429	.398
2021vs Right	.842	266	37	7	21	5	.286	.389	.454
2020vs Left	.650	60	7	1	2	0	.196	.317	.333
2020vs Right	.984	160	25	7	16	1	.308	.438	.546
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+10%

OPS on Road

2022

+31%

OPS on Road

2021

+12%

OPS at Home

2020

+1%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.786	608	81	13	50	2	.262	.365	.421
Since 2020Away	.868	660	104	19	60	7	.297	.402	.467
2022Home	.688	309	39	4	22	1	.234	.321	.366
2022Away	.898	364	63	12	42	2	.309	.406	.492
2021Home	.885	199	29	4	18	1	.304	.409	.476
2021Away	.787	187	22	4	10	4	.280	.392	.395
2020Home	.904	100	13	5	10	0	.272	.410	.494
2020Away	.909	109	19	3	8	1	.286	.404	.505
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Stat Review

How does Brandon Nimmo compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.61

BB Rate

10.5%

K Rate

17.2%

BABIP

.317

ISO

.159

AVG

.274

OBP

.367

SLG

.433

OPS

.800

wOBA

.355

Exit Velocity

89.4 mph

Hard Hit Rate

29.8%

Barrels/PA

4.9%

Expected BA

.261

Expected SLG

.409

Sprint Speed

25.4 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.5%

Line Drive %

17.7%

Fly Ball %

31.7%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2015

2014

2013

2012

Nimmo provided some batting average support to his fantasy managers, but he just wasn't on the field enough to provide much overall value. He missed time with finger, hip and hamstring injuries. He has never been able to stay healthy over a full season, with 140 games being his highest total. His managers can dream back to 2018 when he had 17 homers, nine steals and was a nice fourth or fifth outfielder in 15-team leagues. His home-run power has been halved and the main culprit is a near-50% groundball rate. He's definitely going for a line-drive approach, and he started spreading the ball around with his Pull% dropping from 44.7% in 2018 to 33.1% last season. Additionally, his career 14.9 BB% puts him near a .400 OBP every season. He seems to want to run, but he's just not been successful with a 62% success rate over his career (5-for-9 last season). Stolen bases are not a part of his game to count on. When healthy, he is a nice add for batting average or on-base percentage only.

Does 2020 count as the first full season of Nimmo's career? Only once had he played in at least 75% of the games in a season prior to 2020 as he has dealt with many injuries. When he is not injured, he is an ideal leadoff candidate in a lineup as he is incredibly accepting of his walks (career .377 OBP). Sure, he has struck out quite often, but Nimmo improved greatly in that regard in 2020, lowering his strikeout rate nine full percentage points from the 2019 season. The neck and back injuries may ultimately limit his ability to hit for more power, but a strong spring would secure his spot setting the table for a once-again talented (on paper) lineup in Queens, at least on the strong side of a platoon. A healthy Nimmo could finish in the top 10 in runs scored.

Nimmo started off the 2019 campaign with the big-league club, but after slashing .200/.344/.323 through 43 games, he was sent to the 60-day injured list due to a bulging disk in his neck and wasn't cleared to return until Sept. 1. Nimmo finished the year hitting .221 with eight homers, 29 RBI and three stolen bases over 69 games. He sported an 18.8 BB% and 28 K% during that stretch, both up from the prior campaign. Nimmo's injury undoubtedly played a role in his down season and limited the 26-year-old's opportunities one year after he turned in a .263 average with a 148 wRC+ and 4.5 fWAR across 140 games. He managed to regain an everyday role in the outfield by the season's end and figures to have the starting job in center, although he will likely cede some starts and late-inning at-bats to Jake Marisnick, who is the superior defender. Nimmo should lead off against right-handed pitching.

Nimmo entered 2018 poised for a role as the Mets' fourth outfielder, but Yoenis Cespedes, Juan Lagares and Jay Bruce combined to play only 162 games. He earned an everyday role and led off for much of the season, finishing fourth among qualified hitters with a .404 OBP and sixth in MLB with a 149 wRC+. He was hit by a pitch 22 times (most in MLB), exceeding his total from the previous four seasons combined, but his 15.0 BB% was in line with what he did in 2017. The big difference last season was a spike in power. His ISO rose from .158 to .219 and he topped 15 home runs for the first time as a pro. His HR/FB rose from 12.8% to 17.5% -- a mark that ranked 35th among 140 qualified hitters. He could replicate last year's power output, but we should not expect further growth. Nimmo has established himself as one of the core pieces on this roster, and should lead off again for much of the season. He is a better asset in OBP and points leagues.

A middling prospect in the Mets' organization, Nimmo began the 2017 campaign on the disabled list before being optioned to Triple-A Las Vegas. He slashed a pedestrian .223/.365/.392 before injuries forced Nimmo into big-league action for the second straight season. The lefty swinger showcased his patience, walking 33 times in 215 trips to the dish on the way to an impressive .379 OBP. Nimmo has mediocre power, slugging only .418. He has some speed, but was successful on only 37 of 67 stolen-base attempts in his minor-league career -- not exactly worthy of a green light at the major-league level. He ended the season strong, smacking four homers in September, putting him in contention for an Opening Day roster spot, especially with Michael Conforto (shoulder) likely to begin the season on the disabled list. Nimmo is best suited for duty as a fourth outfielder, and the acquisition of Jay Bruce likely keeps him in that role. He's not mixed-league worthy.

A former first-round pick, Nimmo got his first extended look at Triple-A Las Vegas to open up the season, and after excelling there, he got his first taste of big league action. The 23-year-old wrapped up his minor league campaign with sparkling numbers, hitting .352 with a .964 OPS and 11 home runs in 97 games. He suffered through a bit of a drop off once he got to the majors, which was to be expected following his stellar showing at Triple-A. The most concerning aspect, however, was the reemergence of his free swinging ways -- a problem that plagued him early in his career but had seemingly improved as he moved up the organizational ranks -- to the tune of striking out in 25 percent of his plate appearances. If he's able to correct that issue, Nimmo looks to be on an upward trajectory and will likely be deployed as a spare outfielder on the major league roster.

The former 13th overall pick in the 2011 draft out of high school in Cheyenne, Wyoming, is finally starting to show flashes of that pedigree. His .322/.448/.458 slash line in 279 plate appearances at High-A St. Lucie turned heads, primarily because of an approach that yielded a 51:50 K:BB ratio. However, he met his match after advancing to Double-A Binghamton, where his BABIP regressed from .401 to .283, and as a result, he posted much more pedestrian numbers. Nimmo profiles as a Daniel Nava-type of big leaguer (the 2013 version), offering more value in OBP leagues and in real life, as the power and speed production will probably always be below average. The Mets will likely send him back to Double-A to start 2015, and if he can redeem himself, he should finish the season at Triple-A, with a chance to make a big-league impact in 2016.

Nimmo began the year on fire, but regressed a bit and was then sidelined for nearly a month due to hand and back injuries. When Nimmo returned in late May, his struggles continued, and despite an August surge, his overall numbers were just so-so. Nimmo's poor contact rate - just 67 percent - resulted in 118 strikeouts in 480 at-bats - but his good eye led to 71 walks. He has a long way to go, given that he didn't play high school ball, but the Mets expect him to fill out, move to left field and possibly be a 15-15 candidate down the road for the parent club. That likely won't happen until 2017, but he should begin 2014 at High-A St. Lucie, a much better hitter's park than Savannah, where he played last season.

Nimmo showed a good eye at the plate while making his debut in the New York-Penn League in 2012, drawing a walk in 15 percent of his plate appearances while carrying a .372 OBP. However, he did not make contact very often (71 percent) and it may take him significantly longer to develop moving through the Mets' system after being drafted out of high school in Wyoming in 2011, which limited his experience to Legion Ball. Given the longer development path, and that his ceiling may not be overwhelmingly high anyway, rostering Nimmo may require a league format with very deep minor league reserves.

The Mets drafted Nimmo 13th overall in 2011 despite that the fact that he did not play high school ball while growing up in Wyoming. He signed for $2.1 million just before the signing deadline, enabling him to play 10 games in rookie ball. Nimmo has been projected to possibly be a Von Hayes-like player, but don't expect him to be ready until 2014 at the earliest as he'll make his full-season debut in April.

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