Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#207
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2023.
Talking extension with Boston
PBoston Red Sox
February 21, 2024
Bello said Wednesday that his agents and the Red Sox have been negotiating a contract extension, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Bello noted that the conversations began a few weeks ago, and the pitcher intimated that there may be momentum toward a deal. Slated to turn 25 in May, Bello isn't eligible for arbitration until after the 2025 season and is under team control through 2028. The possible length and dollar amount of a long-term contract for the right-hander isn't clear. Bello collected a 4.24 ERA and 132:45 K:BB over 157 innings covering 28 starts for Boston in 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .309 430 63 33 121 24 3 14
Since 2021vs Right .260 506 124 39 119 29 1 11
2023vs Left .313 322 44 21 93 19 2 13
2023vs Right .229 346 88 24 72 17 0 11
2022vs Left .295 108 19 12 28 5 1 1
2022vs Right .329 160 36 15 47 12 1 0
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.93 1.41 110.0 6 11 0 7.7 2.9 0.9
Since 2021Away 4.83 1.50 104.1 8 8 0 8.0 3.2 1.2
2023Home 3.86 1.35 81.2 5 7 0 7.5 2.6 1.2
2023Away 4.66 1.33 75.1 7 4 0 7.6 2.5 1.6
2022Home 4.13 1.59 28.1 1 4 0 8.3 3.5 0.0
2022Away 5.28 1.97 29.0 1 4 0 9.0 5.0 0.3
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.93
 
K/9
7.6
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
95.2 mph
 
ERA
4.24
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.312
 
GB/FB
2.36
 
Left On Base
75.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.9%
 
Spin Rate
1996 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
After dominating at Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester, Bello was promoted in early July and immediately inserted into the Red Sox rotation. The righty was overmatched and sent back to Triple-A in early August. Bello was recalled three weeks later and gathered much better results. He registered a 3.12 ERA down the stretch, albeit with an inflated 1.56 WHIP, stemming from a .336 BABIP over that 36.1 inning sample. Bello needs to work on his control, but he throws 97-mph and possesses a plus changeup. With some fine tuning and seasoning, Bello could be a rotation staple. It remains to be seen if Bello makes the necessary adjustments and breaks camp in Boston's rotation.
More Fantasy News
Breaks out slider
PBoston Red Sox
February 17, 2024
Bello threw his slider during a live batting practice session Thursday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will use slider more often in '24
PBoston Red Sox
January 20, 2024
Bello said Saturday that he has been working on commanding his slider during the offseason and plans on making it a "significant part of his mix" this season, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Raked by Rays
PBoston Red Sox
September 28, 2023
Bello (12-11) took the loss Wednesday, coughing up five runs on nine hits and two walks over six innings as the Red Sox were downed 5-0 by the Rays. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in Texas
PBoston Red Sox
September 20, 2023
Bello (12-10) took the loss Wednesday, allowing eight runs on eight hits and four walks over three innings in a 15-5 loss against the Rangers. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Earns another quality start
PBoston Red Sox
September 15, 2023
Bello (12-9) took the loss Friday, allowing three runs on four hits and one walk over six innings against the Blue Jays. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
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