2025 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
1.80
WHIP
1.40
K
3
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler. Read Past Outlooks
Earns win in 2025 debut
Bello (1-0) collected the win against the Mariners on Tuesday. He allowed one run on four hits and three walks while striking out three over five innings.
ANALYSIS
Tuesday was Bello's first start of the season after missing most of the first month of the season with a shoulder strain. He gave up a solo homer to Jorge Polanco in the first inning, but Bello managed to get out of a bases-load jam in the same frame to limit the damage to one run. Bello appeared to be in jeopardy of being lifted in the fourth inning due to right calf cramps, but he managed to gut it out and was able to make it through five innings on 97 pitches (51 strikes). He generated just seven whiffs and eight first-pitch strikes, but it was an encouraging season debut for the 25-year-old after posting a 6.52 ERA during his rehab assignment. Bello is lined up to face the Guardians on the road this weekend.
Tuesday was Bello's first start of the season after missing most of the first month of the season with a shoulder strain. He gave up a solo homer to Jorge Polanco in the first inning, but Bello managed to get out of a bases-load jam in the same frame to limit the damage to one run. Bello appeared to be in jeopardy of being lifted in the fourth inning due to right calf cramps, but he managed to gut it out and was able to make it through five innings on 97 pitches (51 strikes). He generated just seven whiffs and eight first-pitch strikes, but it was an encouraging season debut for the 25-year-old after posting a 6.52 ERA during his rehab assignment. Bello is lined up to face the Guardians on the road this weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-52%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .287 | 118 | 67 | 182 | 27 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .234 | 170 | 45 | 144 | 17 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .300 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .143 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .313 | 44 | 21 | 93 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .229 | 88 | 24 | 72 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-4%
ERA at Home
2025
-100%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.24 | 1.40 | 163.1 | 7.8 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.42 | 1.30 | 161.0 | 8.2 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.4 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.86 | 1.35 | 81.2 | 7.5 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.66 | 1.33 | 75.1 | 7.6 | 2.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.00K/9
5.4BB/9
5.4HR/9
1.8Fastball
95.2 mphERA
1.80WHIP
1.40BABIP
.213GB/FB
5.00Left On Base
107.1%Exit Velocity
86.3 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2204 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.8%Swinging Strike
7.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity.
More Fantasy News
Reinstated for season debut
The Red Sox activated Bello (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to start Tuesday's game against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed for season debut Tuesday
Red Sox manager Alex Cora confirmed Monday that Bello (shoulder) will be activated from the 15-day injured list to make his season debut Tuesday against the Mariners, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for season debut Tuesday
Bello (shoulder) is expected to be activated from the injured list early next week and start against Seattle on Tuesday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches fifth inning in rehab start
Bello (shoulder) struck out seven and allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk across 4.1 innings Wednesday in his rehab start with Double-A Portland on Wednesday. He also hit a batter and was charged with a pitch-clock violation.
ANALYSIS
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On track for season debut next week
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Monday that Bello's (shoulder) rehab start with Triple-A Worcester on Wednesday will "most likely" be his last, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Season turned around?
Bello has a 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 38:15 K:BB in 40.1 innings across his past seven starts.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.