Carlos Rodon

Carlos Rodon

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Yankees
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Year 1 of Rodon's six-year, $162 million pact with the Yankees was a disaster, as he missed a large portion of the season due to injury and struggled to a 6.85 ERA in his 64.1 innings on the mound. He suffered a forearm strain in spring training before later dealing with back and hamstring injuries. The back remains a concern moving forward after Rodon revealed in May that it's a chronic issue. Of course he's also battled a myriad of elbow and shoulder trouble in his career, so the lefty has to be considered a giant health risk. He was trending in a positive direction in 2021-22 -- he ranked second among pitchers in fWAR across those two seasons behind only Gerrit Cole and Zack Wheeler -- and his breaking stuff was still effective last season. Pitchers don't tend to get healthier in their 30s, but Rodon should be in the Yankees' rotation when available and the results should be better on a per-start basis. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#153
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $162 million contract with the Yankees in December of 2022.
Struggles continue into break
PNew York Yankees
July 14, 2024
Rodon did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks over four innings against the Orioles. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
Rodon labored through his outing Sunday, needing 98 pitches to complete four innings and allowing only two runs but tossing four or more pitches to 17 of the 19 batters he faced. Rodon's no-decision was the first time in 15 starts he did not factor into the decision and broke a string of five straight defeats after he won eight of his previous nine during that stretch. The All-Star break will provide a much-needed respite for Rodon, who has an ERA of 9.66 with a 1.96 WHIP and 38 strikeouts over his last six starts spanning 27 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Carlos Rodon generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Rodon generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-29%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .199 259 83 23 46 10 0 8
Since 2022vs Right .235 1196 330 90 254 58 4 39
2024vs Left .239 72 20 5 16 5 0 3
2024vs Right .253 387 92 28 88 18 3 17
2023vs Left .195 50 14 6 8 1 0 3
2023vs Right .274 236 50 22 57 13 0 12
2022vs Left .179 137 49 12 22 4 0 2
2022vs Right .207 573 188 40 109 27 1 10
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.36 1.12 158.0 13 8 0 10.8 2.7 1.1
Since 2022Away 4.80 1.23 191.1 13 15 0 10.5 3.1 1.3
2024Home 4.02 1.09 40.1 4 2 0 9.6 2.2 1.8
2024Away 5.00 1.40 66.2 5 5 0 9.3 3.1 1.6
2023Home 6.15 1.37 33.2 1 4 0 6.7 3.2 1.9
2023Away 7.63 1.53 30.2 2 4 0 11.4 4.7 2.3
2022Home 1.93 1.04 84.0 8 2 0 13.0 2.8 0.5
2022Away 3.73 1.02 94.0 6 6 0 11.1 2.5 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Rodon compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.39
 
K/9
9.4
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
95.5 mph
 
ERA
4.63
 
WHIP
1.28
 
BABIP
.307
 
GB/FB
0.77
 
Left On Base
73.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2402 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.8%
 
Swinging Strike
13.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
The White Sox declined to extend Rodon the qualifying offer last winter and that decision backfired in a big way as the lefty was a top-10 starter in baseball by most measures. Rodon's 2.25 FIP with San Francisco last season was in fact the best among qualified starters while his 26.1 K-BB% ranked third. He established a new career high with 178 innings -- a 45.1-inning increase over 2021. Now a two-time All-Star, Rodon's stuff is as good as ever despite the injuries earlier in his career. Corbin Burnes and Zack Wheeler are the only pitchers to have racked up more fWAR than Rodon over the past two seasons, and he'll now work atop the Yankees' rotation alongside Gerrit Cole after inking a six-year, $162 million contract with New York.
Rodon entered last season mustering only 42.1 innings the previous two seasons. He missed most of 2019 following Tommy John surgery and much of 2020 with shoulder soreness. In one of the bigger surprises of the 2021 campaign, Rodon logged 24 starts and 132.2 innings, both his most since 2016. He posted personal best ratios, fueled by a career high 34.6% K-rate and career low 6.7% BB-rate. He benefited from a low .267 BABIP and high 82.2% LOB mark. Rodon's 95.4 mph four seam velocity was another new career best. The lefty didn't escape injury, missing some time in August with left shoulder fatigue, which recurred in late September despite the White Sox trying to keep him fresh down the stretch. The late season shoulder woes combined with the White Sox declining to extend a qualifying offer left a shroud of uncertainty with the southpaw's health, but the Giants signed him to a two-year, $44 million contract after the lockout. It's a big upgrade in home ballpark, and the Giants should win plenty of games, but Rodon's health will be the determining factor of his value this season.
The oft-injured southpaw underwent Tommy John surgery in May of 2019. With the delayed start to the 2020 campaign, he was able to break summer camp in the White Sox's rotation. Cleveland blasted him in his first start then he had to leave his next outing early with a sore shoulder. His velocity was way down in the second start, but examinations revealed no structural damage. Rodon was able to return in a relief role during the last week of the season, and his velocity returned to normal. Even though Rodon appeared healthy to end the season, the White Sox decided to cut bait and non-tender the left-hander. Some team will take a chance on Rodon, perhaps as a reliever. Even if he looks good in the spring, it's probably best to resist the temptation and pass.
Rodon opened up 2019 showing a new affinity for his slider, and at times, looked great with that approach, but poor fastball command still held him back. He went down with an elbow injury after seven starts and underwent Tommy John surgery on May 19. Rodon won't be ready to rejoin the big-league rotation until at least sometime in the second half, and the White Sox may opt to play it even safer than that, potentially limiting him to rehab outings in the minors or pitching him exclusively out of the bullpen down the stretch. He has now had both elbow and shoulder issues the past couple of years, so his long-term future could be in relief. However, Chicago will likely give the No. 3 overall pick from 2014 at least one more chance to make it as a starting pitcher.
Rodon enters 2019 as one of the game’s biggest wild cards. His 2018 was delayed as he rehabbed from shoulder surgery performed the previous September, debuting in early June. He struggled a bit out of the gate, sporting a 4.55 ERA after five starts, albeit with a solid 1.18 WHIP. Rodon then got on a roll, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine starts, covering 63.2 frames. Unfortunately, Rodon fell apart in September, recording a 9.22 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 27.1 stanzas. Rodon truthers will highlight the middle stretch, writing off the early struggles to rust and the late ones to running out of gas. But here’s the thing: a 20 K% and 11.1 BB% in the middle set is rather pedestrian. His xFIP in that span was 4.77. The success was driven by an unsustainable .175 BABIP. The early market is expressing optimism, assuming not only will Rodon avoid injury, but that he’ll return to previous strikeout levels while honing his spotty control. That’s a risky bet.
Planning on ramping up Rodon's workload last season, the White Sox took it slow in the spring. It turned out their concerns were warranted as Rodon left a March 28 spring game with a tight bicep, later diagnosed as left shoulder bursitis, keeping him out until June 28. Rodon's throwing shoulder started barking again down the stretch, shutting him down for the season on Sept. 2. In between, the lefty was typically inconsistent, largely a result of spotty control, walking 31 in 69.1 innings. Homers also contributed, as he served up a dozen long balls. The saving grace was 76 punchouts. Rodon's trend has been to finish with a flourish, but there's no telling if his 4.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP would have improved with another month of starts. Rodon had arthroscopic surgery in late September, with a six-to-eight month timetable, putting Opening Day in jeopardy. Expect the White Sox to again treat their prized southpaw with kid gloves.
Rodon's 2016 wasn't too different from 2015: low-4.00 ERA through the first four months before a sprint of quality work to the finish line that featured the upside that made him the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 draft. One major difference between the two seasons was a big improvement in his walk rate, but it came at the expense of his command as he allowed more hits and nearly twice as many home runs. The season still stands as a worthy building block for a 24-year-old lefty trying to fulfill his frontline upside. His elite slider was even better in 2016, and his changeup took a big step forward, but not enough to offset his fastball getting less effective. Velocity is great, but a good fastball requires much more (namely, command). His walk gains came via the fastball, but it was also responsible for the home run troubles. This is exactly the kind of profile you want to bet on, though: The cost doesn't require major gains to pay off, but the upside is massive.
Rodon’s transition to the majors was rocky, and while he struck out 64 through his first 60 innings as a starter, he also walked 37 over that same stretch. However, he learned on the job and was stellar in the season’s final two months - he posted a 1.81 ERA and .198 BAA over his final eight outings. Rodon entered the big leagues with a big league-ready slider, and the pitch was as good as advertised. Ninety-seven of his 139 strikeouts came off the slider, and his upper-90s fastball was also impressive. He could take the jump if he polishes a third pitch. Rodon should slot behind Chris Sale and Jose Quintana in the White Sox’s rotation.
Rodon entered his junior year at North Carolina State as the prohibitive No. 1 overall pick. However, concerns about his workload budged him from the top spot in the 2014 June draft, and he fell to the White Sox at No. 3. It took much of the summer for the two sides to agree on a contract, which may have worked out better for his overworked arm. His plus fastball and slider blew away college batters, and the White Sox want him to add a changeup to the mix. Even without a refined third pitch, he ranks as one of the top prospects in the system and could be in the mix for a rotation spot out of camp, though vice president of baseball operations Ken Williams said in December that a multi-innings bullpen role is more likely for Rodon in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Drops fifth straight
PNew York Yankees
July 9, 2024
Rodon (9-7) took the loss Tuesday against the Rays, allowing four runs on five hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in loss
PNew York Yankees
July 4, 2024
Rodon allowed three runs on three hits and two walks while striking out eight batters over 5.1 innings in a loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles again Thursday
PNew York Yankees
June 27, 2024
Rodon (9-5) took the loss against Toronto on Thursday, allowing eight runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out eight batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Hammered by Atlanta
PNew York Yankees
June 22, 2024
Rodon (9-4) took the loss Friday as the Yankees fell 8-1 to Atlanta, surrendering eight runs (seven earned) on 11 hits -- including three home runs -- and two walks over 3.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Win streak snapped in Boston
PNew York Yankees
June 15, 2024
Rodon (9-3) allowed five runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings to take the loss Saturday versus the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
New pitch making impact
PNew York Yankees
May 1, 2024
Rodon developed a cutter during the offseason and is utilizing it at a 13.8 percent clip through six starts, reports Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News.
ANALYSIS
Modern pitch tracking allowed the left-hander to quickly develop and refine the pitch, which he's using as a third offering behind his four-seamer and slider. Rodon has heavily relied on those two main pitches over the past few years, with his changeup and curveball combining for under 15 percent usage since 2021. The early results in 2024 are promising with a 2.48 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 32.2 innings.
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