Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the Opening Day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove-level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard-hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, and now it's up to him to translate them to better quality of contact. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#190
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $46 million extension with the Red Sox in April of 2024. Contract includes $16 million team option ($4 million buyout) for 2032.
Plays hero with another homer
OFBoston Red Sox
June 4, 2025
Rafaela went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 11-9 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
With the score tied 9-9 in the ninth inning, Rafaela sliced a Brock Burke changeup down the right-field line and tucked it just inside Pesky's Pole for the game-winner homer. Rafaela has gone yard in three straight games, accounting for half his home runs on the season, while Wednesday's clutch blast extended the 24-year-old's hitting streak to eight games -- a stretch in which he's batting .412 (14-for-34).
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
4
35
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
12
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .654 242 42 7 25 6 .218 .263 .391
Since 2023vs Right .683 636 74 16 80 23 .258 .287 .396
2025vs Left .782 63 16 3 11 1 .246 .290 .491
2025vs Right .678 155 19 3 14 6 .255 .299 .379
2024vs Left .603 152 21 3 11 4 .211 .258 .345
2024vs Right .685 419 49 12 64 15 .259 .280 .405
2023vs Left .645 27 5 1 3 1 .192 .222 .423
2023vs Right .675 62 6 1 2 2 .263 .306 .368
More Splits View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .702 441 61 12 48 11 .253 .296 .406
Since 2023Away .647 437 55 11 57 18 .242 .264 .383
2025Home .758 109 21 4 12 3 .263 .324 .434
2025Away .657 109 14 2 13 4 .243 .269 .388
2024Home .661 286 32 6 32 7 .247 .281 .380
2024Away .667 285 38 9 43 12 .245 .268 .399
2023Home .838 46 8 2 4 1 .268 .326 .512
2023Away .494 43 3 0 1 2 .214 .233 .262
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Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
4.7%
 
K Rate
19.2%
 
BABIP
.296
 
ISO
.147
 
AVG
.254
 
OBP
.299
 
SLG
.401
 
OPS
.700
 
wOBA
.307
 
Exit Velocity
90.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.3%
 
Barrels/PA
9.4%
 
Expected BA
.266
 
Expected SLG
.470
 
Sprint Speed
25.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.6%
 
Line Drive %
15.3%
 
Fly Ball %
40.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ceddanne Rafaela See More
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26 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready.
Rafaela put up impressive offensive numbers in 2022 that oversold his realistic MLB upside, but his center field defense is so good that he should have no problem carving out a big-league career. He doesn't hit the ball very hard and is prone to chasing, but Rafaela still managed a .301/.342/.540 slash line despite an ugly 4.8 BB%. Thankfully, he has plus speed to go with his plus-plus defense, so the 28-for-35 success rate on the bases could translate as he continues to climb. If he can just hit .230 or .240, Rafaela could be allowed to play every day in center field while hitting at the bottom of the order and chipping in 10-to-20 home runs with 20-plus steals. He is on the 40-man roster but may not debut until 2024.
More Fantasy News
Belts fifth homer
OFBoston Red Sox
June 4, 2025
Rafaela went 3-for-5 with a double and a two-run home run in Tuesday's 4-3 extra-inning loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves the yard
OFBoston Red Sox
June 2, 2025
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with a solo home run during Monday's 7-6 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Pops third homer
OFBoston Red Sox
May 28, 2025
Rafaela went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 6-5 extra-inning loss to the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Monday
OFBoston Red Sox
May 26, 2025
Rafaela isn't part of Boston's lineup for Monday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Two extra-base hits Saturday
OFBoston Red Sox
May 11, 2025
Rafaela went 2-for-5 with a double, a triple and two runs scored in Saturday's 10-1 win over Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Position shift on tap?
OFBoston Red Sox
May 21, 2025
Christopher Smith of MassLive.com posits that the Red Sox could shift Rafaela from center field to shortstop to make space in the outfield for top prospect Roman Anthony.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela is sitting at a .646 OPS in 165 plate appearances this season, but the 24-year-old has been better at the plate in May with a .281/.305/.421 slash line with a triple and three RBI across 61 plate appearances. Considering how well Anthony has been playing in Triple-A Worcester, Smith believes the Red Sox could make room for Anthony in left field by moving Rafaela to shortstop in place of Trevor Story while shifting Jarren Duran to center field. A promotion to the majors doesn't appear to be in the cards just yet for Anthony, with manager Alex Cora saying Wednesday that the team "hasn't made that decision."
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