Corbin Carroll

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Arizona Diamondbacks

2022 Stats

AVG

.260

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Carroll was part of the new trend in 2022 of the game's best prospects in the upper levels debuting for the final month, rather than early the following season. He laid waste to every minor-league stop along the way, showcasing an extremely fantasy-friendly skillset. Carroll has played in some hitter-friendly environments, but his .240 ISO in the majors was his worst such mark since rookie ball in 2019. He may never hit 40 home runs, but power will be a strength (39.0 Hard% in the minors). His 100th percentile sprint speed will also be a strength - he stole 33 bases on 39 attempts last year. Carroll had a .777 OPS against lefties and a 1.062 OPS against righties in the minors in 2022, but considering he is already the Diamondbacks' best position player and a strong defender, it would be surprising if he fell into a strict platoon. His most common lineup spots were sixth, seventh and eighth, but he could assume a spot in the top third sometime this season. The trade of Daulton Varsho to Toronto also opens up center field in Arizona, with Lourdes Gurriel set to play left. Carroll had a plus-four DRS in just 32 games last year, and that strong level of defense in center field should afford him a longer leash if he struggles early in 2023. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#65

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

Prospect

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 5'10"

Weight 170

DOB 8/21/2000

Born Seattle, WA

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2019 ARI

Strikes eight-year deal with Arizona

OFArizona Diamondbacks

March 11, 2023

Carroll and the Diamondbacks agreed to terms on an eight-year, $111 million deal Saturday with a club option for 2031, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
If the club option is declined, he'll receive a $5 million buyout. Carroll has played in only 32 big-league games -- and only 174 total professional games -- but the Diamondbacks are already sure that they want him in town for a long time. The contract will keep Carroll in Arizona through 2030 (his age-29 season) with a $23 million club option for 2031. Considered to be one of the top prospects in baseball, Carroll is now one of the building blocks for the Arizona club over the next decade, and he has the talent to be a player that contributes in all possible fantasy categories.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+55%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+55%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.590	30	1	0	3	1	.179	.233	.357
Since 2020vs Right	.917	85	12	4	11	1	.289	.365	.553
2022vs Left	.590	30	1	0	3	1	.179	.233	.357
2022vs Right	.917	85	12	4	11	1	.289	.365	.553
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+104%

OPS on Road

2022

+104%

OPS on Road

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.540	53	7	1	7	0	.196	.226	.314
Since 2020Away	1.099	62	6	3	7	2	.321	.419	.679
2022Home	.540	53	7	1	7	0	.196	.226	.314
2022Away	1.099	62	6	3	7	2	.321	.419	.679
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Corbin Carroll compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.26

BB Rate

7.0%

K Rate

27.0%

BABIP

.333

ISO

.240

AVG

.260

OBP

.330

SLG

.500

OPS

.830

wOBA

.360

Exit Velocity

85.8 mph

Hard Hit Rate

24.7%

Barrels/PA

3.5%

Expected BA

.221

Expected SLG

.359

Sprint Speed

27.8 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

47.9%

Line Drive %

24.7%

Fly Ball %

27.4%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Corbin Carroll See More

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Carroll entered the season as the No. 16 overall prospect for dynasty, and if he hadn't suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in May, he may have finished the year as a top-five prospect. He had a 53.3 Hard%, 20.7 BB%, .478 ISO and three steals in 29 plate appearances at High-A, so he couldn't have played much better before getting hurt. Carroll has a potentially special set of fantasy-relevant tools, including 70-grade speed, burgeoning power and a hit tool and approach that offer a level of safety with regards to projecting his performance as he moves up the ladder. Any hitter returning from a significant shoulder surgery carries at least some risk, and we don't know how long it will take Carroll to return to form. However, he is the type of prospect who could cement himself as a blue-chip building block in dynasty in short order. Look for Arizona's center fielder of the future to spend the bulk of his age-21 season at Double-A.

Height and weight are less predictive for future power than bat speed and swing plane, and Carroll has the latter aspects figured out, which allows him to project for 20-plus homer power despite being listed at 5-foot-10, 165 pounds. Traditional scouts love Carroll, the 16th overall pick in 2019, for his leadoff-hitting center fielder skill set and strong makeup. He is appealing in fantasy because he is a plus-plus runner who should be an everyday player who hits for average and power. In a normal year, Carroll would have spent his age-19 season at Low-A and High-A. Instead, he got to face a majority of pitchers at the alternate site who either have significant experience in the upper levels of the minors and/or experience in the majors. Carroll's ceiling is an Andrew McCutchen type of statistical profile, and even if the bat doesn't quite get to that level, he should still be a five-category contributor.

The Diamondbacks appear to have struck gold with Carroll, the No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 draft. From a tools perspective, he was worthy of a top-10 pick, but his size (5-foot-10, 165 pounds) scared some teams off. His plus-plus speed is his top tool (18-for-19 on stolen base attempts in 42 games), but he could also be a plus hitter and plus center fielder. His strong hands and wrists generate excellent bat speed and he is adept at using compact torque to produce surprising pop. His 22.0 K% and 15.6 BB% were strong marks for an 18-year-old, and after some early adjustments, he started lifting the ball more in his pro debut. Leadoff-hitting everyday center fielder seems like a median outcome, but there is a chance he gets to enough power to hit second or third. This is a deep draft class for impactful position players, but Carroll clearly belongs in the top-10 for fantasy purposes.

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