Cristian Javier

25-Year-Old PitcherSP

Houston Astros

2022 Stats

W-L

11-9

ERA

2.54

WHIP

0.95

194

2023 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

After throwing only 101.1 innings in 2021, Javier started the year in the bullpen with the intention of conserving innings for the playoffs. The plan worked perfectly as Javier ended up starting 25 of his 30 appearances, compiling 148.2 frames before dominating in the postseason. Javier benefited from a fortunate 83.6% LOB mark and .228 BABIP. With a 26% groundball rate, his low 9.1% HR/FB mark came in handy. Javier's success wasn't just luck-driven as he posted a career high 24.3% K-BB%, the eighth best among pitchers with at least 140 innings. He used his four-seamer 60% of the time and a slider at a 28% clip. These are Javier's best pitches, but he mixes in a curve and changeup. He's due an ERA correction, but the kid gloves should be off with Javier working with no innings restrictions. Fly ball pitchers carry extra risk, but Javier's 33% strikeout rate limits concerns, so he warrants SP2/SP3 status. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#64

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'1"

Weight 213

DOB 3/26/1997

Born Santo Domingo, DR

College None

Drafted 2015 HOU

Four innings in return from WBC

PHouston Astros

March 20, 2023

Javier allowed three earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out five across four innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Marlins.

ANALYSIS
Javier's line wasn't that impressive in his first official outing since returning from the World Baseball Classic. However, he managed to throw 76 total pitches, 51 of which went for strikes. Framber Valdez is likely to serve as the Astros' Opening Day starter, but Javier looks to be ready when he takes the mound for the first time during the 2023 regular season.

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Pitching Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2022 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Cristian Javier generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Cristian Javier generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-33%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-22%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-33%

BAA vs RHP

2020

-59%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2020vs Left	.212	630	161	72	116	21	1	21
Since 2020vs Right	.143	593	217	51	76	14	1	23
2022vs Left	.189	322	90	31	54	11	1	8
2022vs Right	.147	263	104	21	35	7	0	9
2021vs Left	.230	183	44	31	34	4	0	6
2021vs Right	.155	241	86	22	33	7	1	10
2020vs Left	.248	125	27	10	28	6	0	7
2020vs Right	.101	89	27	8	8	0	0	4
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-31%

ERA at Home

2022

-20%

ERA at Home

2021

-29%

ERA at Home

2020

-56%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2020Home	2.52	0.98	164.0	12	6	0	10.9	3.7	1.2
Since 2020Away	3.66	1.10	140.1	8	6	2	11.5	3.5	1.4
2022Home	2.26	0.89	75.2	6	5	0	11.4	3.2	1.2
2022Away	2.84	1.01	73.0	5	4	0	12.1	3.1	0.9
2021Home	3.03	1.21	59.1	3	1	0	11.4	4.9	1.2
2021Away	4.29	1.14	42.0	1	0	2	11.8	4.5	1.7
2020Home	2.17	0.76	29.0	3	0	0	8.7	2.8	1.2
2020Away	4.97	1.26	25.1	2	2	0	9.2	3.2	2.5
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Cristian Javier compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

3.73

K/9

11.7

BB/9

3.1

HR/9

1.0

Fastball

93.9 mph

ERA

2.54

WHIP

0.95

BABIP

.242

GB/FB

0.50

Left On Base

82.8%

Exit Velocity

79.0 mph

Barrels/BBE

3.8%

Spin Rate

2448 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

16.8%

Swinging Strike

14.1%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Cristian Javier Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cristian Javier See More

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Javier came into 2021 with some noise given his efforts during his rookie season, but 2021 was a bit all over the place. He opened the season in the rotation, and even tied a franchise record by striking out the first eight batters of a game in his third start. By the end of May, he was 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and was holding hitters to a .171 average. Despite the success, the club decided to move him to the bullpen as Jake Odorizzi and Framber Valdez joined the rotation, and Javier's value plunged as he went on to win one game, save two others and run into issues with walks and homers out of the bullpen around plenty of strikeouts. Those issues carried over into the postseason as well. In all, he showed both what he is capable of when things are going right for him as well as how bad things can get when he struggles to locate his offerings. He is at his best when he is isn't overusing his fastball.

It's fairly easy to see that Javier overachieved as a rookie with a 5-2 record and 3.48 ERA over 12 appearances (10 starts) for the Astros. He served up 11 HR in 54.1 regular-season innings, and of course the estimators will ding him for all those long balls and a 86.2 LOB% (4.94 FIP, 4.86 xFIP, 4.43 SIERA). At age 23, Javier did not light up the radar gun with a four-seamer that averaged just 92.2 mph, but his slider was virtually unhittable. The right-hander threw 227 sliders during the regular season and allowed four hits, all singles, with 24 strikeouts. The changeup and curveball were distant third and fourth offerings, and the fact that Javier is currently mostly a fastball-slider pitcher leaves open a good deal of bullpen risk. Indeed the bullpen is where Javier spent the postseason. If the third pitch comes along, Javier could take off as the other pieces are there. Don't write off the possibility.

An international signee out of the Dominican Republic, Javier was added to the Astros 40-man roster, shielding him from the Rule 5 draft. The 6-foot-1 righthander features a fastball in the low 90s, touching 96. Not surprisingly considering the organization, what Javier's fastball lacks in velocity is made up for via high spin. He throws a curve and slider, both highly reliant on rotation. Javier's fate may depend on how well he develops his change-up, an offering better with less spin. With that effective pitch to combat lefthanders, Javier's long-term role is in the rotation with the bullpen as a fallback. Javier worked at three levels last season, finishing with a short stint at Triple-A Round Rock where he'll likely start the 2020 campaign. Javier has excelled at every level. If he impresses with the Express, he could get a look as a reliever later in the season as Houston often does with young arms.

More Fantasy News

Signs five-year, $64M extension

PHouston Astros

February 10, 2023

Javier signed a five-year, $64 million extension with the Astros on Friday, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.