Hector Neris

Hector Neris

33-Year-Old PitcherRP
Houston Astros
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Neris may have been miscast as a closer in Philadelphia, but he settled into a more suitable setup role after signing a 2-year deal to join the Astros. The veteran was still a workhorse, appearing in 70 games (seventh-most in baseball) while racking up 25 holds (sixth-most). He finished the year with an unspectacular 3.72 ERA (2.34 FIP) in 65.1 innings, but maintained a strong 30% strikeout rate and vastly improved his walk (6.5%) and home run (0.4 HR/9) rates. However, Neris' hard hit rate regressed from the mid-to-upper 30's to 44.7% last season and is something to monitor moving forward. The righty may no longer be elite by any one metric, but continues to be above-average in most and doesn't appear to be slowing down as he approaches his age-34 season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a two-year, $17 million contract with the Astros in November of 2021.
Nabs third save
PHouston Astros
August 31, 2022
Neris pitched a perfect ninth inning with two strikeouts to earn the save in a 4-2 victory over the Rangers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Neris was called in to protect a two-run lead in the ninth inning, and he shut the door with two strikeouts on 15 pitches. Neris has been excellent lately and now has three consecutive scoreless appearances with six strikeouts over the past week to lower his WHIP to 0.96 on the season. Neris has joined Rafael Montero in the mix for saves primary closer Ryan Pressly is sidelined with neck spasms.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
14
Last 10 Games
10
Last 5 Games
8
How many pitches does Hector Neris generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Hector Neris generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2022
Even Split
2021
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .226 317 95 45 61 13 0 7
Since 2020vs Right .201 352 105 17 65 12 2 8
2022vs Left .205 119 38 7 23 6 0 1
2022vs Right .205 144 41 10 26 7 1 2
2021vs Left .223 149 45 26 27 7 0 6
2021vs Right .185 161 53 6 28 4 1 6
2020vs Left .297 49 12 12 11 0 0 0
2020vs Right .239 47 11 1 11 1 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.49 1.06 90.1 8 5 8 11.7 3.3 0.8
Since 2020Away 4.18 1.32 71.0 4 8 12 11.0 3.7 0.9
2022Home 3.00 0.78 36.0 3 1 1 9.8 2.0 0.3
2022Away 4.60 1.30 29.1 3 3 2 12.3 2.8 0.6
2021Home 3.95 1.15 41.0 3 3 3 13.4 3.7 1.5
2021Away 3.24 1.20 33.1 1 4 9 10.0 4.1 1.4
2020Home 3.38 1.58 13.1 2 1 4 11.5 5.4 0.0
2020Away 6.48 1.92 8.1 0 1 1 10.8 5.4 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Hector Neris compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.65
 
K/9
10.9
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
94.4 mph
 
ERA
3.72
 
WHIP
1.01
 
BABIP
.304
 
GB/FB
0.90
 
Left On Base
59.9%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.7%
 
Spin Rate
2109 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.0%
 
Swinging Strike
14.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
After an unlucky 2020, Neris rebounded last season, albeit it with 12 homers in 74.1 innings. A 31.6% strikeout rate helped minimize damage, as did a fortunate .262 BABIP. Despite the penchant for allowing homers, the Phillies deployed Neris in high-leverage scenarios, where he notched 12 saves and 11 holds. Neris signed with the Astros where he'll help Rafael Montero set up Ryan Pressly. His ratios are risky, but Neris is one of the better middle reliever candidates to add strikeouts as he's durable along with a dominant strikeout rate.
Neris was one of the Phillies' best bullpen arms in 2020, though that's saying incredibly little, as the unit produced an awful 7.06 ERA. His 4.57 ERA looks outstanding by those standards, though it wouldn't have been enough to keep him in a high-leverage role long enough to earn his five saves on many other teams. A .381 BABIP and 59.5% strand rate inflated his ERA, though his 0.0% HR/FB rate mostly cancelled out that bad luck. In the areas where he had more direct control, he regressed, as his K% fell from 32.4% to 26.2% while his BB% jumped from 8.7% to a career-high 12.6%. Neris was a fairly unconvincing closer at the best of times, and the Phillies can't be feeling too confident having him in that role this year. If his ERA rebounds to the range of his career-long 3.38 mark, he'll be a solid mid-tier option at the position, but it's also possible he regresses even more in his age-32 campaign.
Neris entered the year looking like the third option for saves in Philadelphia behind Seranthony Dominguez and David Robertson. That pair recorded a combined zero saves while elbow injuries limited them to just 31.1 innings. Meanwhile, Neris rebounded from a shaky 2018 campaign to save 28 games while recording a 2.93 ERA and a 32.4% strikeout rate. He also dramatically increased his groundball rate, which came in at 45.5% after sitting at 30.8% in 2018. Neris is a step down from the league's elite relievers, and fears of his 2018 struggles returning are understandable, but he should begin the season with a clear hold on the closer role with Robertson recovering from Tommy John surgery and Dominguez's status questionable. He should be able to pick up most of the Phillies' saves while striking out a high number of batters, provided he doesn't lose feel for his splitter like he did in 2018.
Neris entered 2018 as the Phillies' closer following a campaign that featured 26 saves and a 3.01 ERA. Much of that success came via his excellent splitter, a pitch he seemed to lose feel for early in 2018. He was optioned to Triple-A in mid-July after posting a 6.00 ERA through his first 30 appearances. The demotion seemed to help. He recorded a 2.04 ERA from Aug. 15 onward, though he didn't regain his closing job, earning just one save from that point on. The emergence of Seranthony Dominguez and the addition of David Robertson make even a revitalized Neris' value murky for the 2019 season. It's unclear which pitcher will have the edge in save chances. It's possible manager Gabe Kapler will decide to go without a dedicated closer. Kapler spent large stretches of last season without one, deploying his most trusted relievers in the highest-leverage spots, with the save going to whomever was left over when the game got to the ninth.
The Phillies refused to formally name Neris the closer early on, but he eventually emerged as the clear-cut option after the Phillies traded veterans Joaquin Benoit and Pat Neshek at the deadline. Following a blown save on June 21, Neris converted 20 straight opportunities, striking out 52 batters with a 2.49 ERA in his final 42 games. The right-hander's spike in flyball percentage to 44.4 is worrisome considering his homer-friendly digs, but relievers can typically work around this if they boast his dominance (career 10.5 strikeouts per nine and 16.6 percent swinging-strike rate). Also, Neris carries one of baseball's best split-fingered fastballs, and that pitch could help limit big flies with more refinement. Even on a 66-win club, Neris churned out 26 saves. Unlike last offseason, he won't come cheaply, but he could still pay off handsomely at his increased price point.
Neris came out of nowhere last season to become one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. It started with a decision by the Phillies' brass to have him focus primarily on throwing his splitter, which had always been his best pitch. Neris went from throwing the split 21 percent of the time in 2015 to throwing it nearly 50 percent of the time in 2016 while curtailing use of his slider. The move paid off as his strikeout rate rocketed to 11.4 K/9, more than two points higher than his 2015 rate. He did see his walk rate creep up but avoided blow-ups thanks in part to an 82.5 percent strand rate. Neris managed just two saves last season despite having the best stuff in the Phillies' pen. However, Jeanmar Gomez lost the closer role late last season, which opens the door for Neris to earn the job this spring. He likely won't cost as much as established closers, but he has the skill set to be one of the most dominant options in baseball as long as he keeps having success with his splitter.
Neris shuttled between Triple-A and the majors last season. He was pretty tough against the 101 right-handed batters he faced with a .232 batting average against, 26 strikeouts and just two walks. Neris' fastball is about 93 mph, and he throws a slider and changeup. He will compete for a bullpen job this spring.
Neris got a brief, one-game look from the Phillies last season when the team needed an extra arm for their bullpen. He spent the majority of his season at Triple-A, where he posted a 9.0 K/9 ratio and 2.9 BB/9 ratio in 58 innings including one start. Neris sits around 93 mph with his fastball and throws a slider and changeup. He will have an opportunity to compete for a middle-relief job this spring.
More Fantasy News
Picks up second save
PHouston Astros
August 13, 2022
Neris pitched a perfect ninth inning with one strikeout to earn the save in a 7-5 victory over the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back Friday
PHouston Astros
July 22, 2022
Neris allowed a hit and struck out one in a scoreless inning to earn his first save of the season in Friday's 5-2 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Blows save chance
PHouston Astros
July 22, 2022
Neris (3-3) allowed one earned run on two hits and a walk to blow the save but earn a win in the first game of Thursday's doubleheader against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies 16th hold
PHouston Astros
June 26, 2022
Neris walked two but turned in a scoreless eighth inning to record a hold Saturday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Clean inning in return
PHouston Astros
June 18, 2022
Neris (suspension) struck out one in a perfect inning during Saturday's 7-0 loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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