Hector Neris

Hector Neris

35-Year-Old PitcherRP
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Neris declined his $8.5 million player option for 2024 after tying for the league lead with a career-high 31 holds last season. The 34-year-old had yet another solid season in a setup role with metrics that were fairly consistent with recent outputs. One notable improvement lied within the quality of contact he allowed, as Neris' 28.0% hard-hit rate was a career-best and 16.7 percentage point drop from 2022's career-worst mark. This correlated with an 86.5 mph average exit velocity allowed that was in the top nine percent of the league. Neris also had the highest WPA for a non-closer at 3.82, which was tied for fifth overall among qualified relievers. Look for the veteran to open the year as the top setup man in front of Adbert Alzolay after signing a one-year deal with the Cubs in January. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#579
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Astros in August of 2024.
First 2024 save with Houston
PHouston Astros  
September 18, 2024
Neris got the save in Tuesday's 4-3 win over the Padres, allowing a walk and striking out a batter over a scoreless inning.
ANALYSIS
Neris picked up his 18th save of the season but his first of the year with the Astros after getting the ball in the 10th inning on the heels of Josh Hader recording the previous four outs. As he's done many times this season, Neris pitched his way into trouble, loading the bases with two outs before getting Manny Machado to ground out to end the game. Neris' reunion with the Astros has been a success so far, as he's posted a 2.53 ERA, 0.66 WHIP and 9:2 K:BB in 10.2 innings over 11 appearances.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
14
Last 5 Games
17
How many pitches does Hector Neris generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Hector Neris generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2022
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .195 359 103 42 61 12 0 4
Since 2022vs Right .217 436 117 34 84 19 3 14
2024vs Left .214 126 33 20 22 4 0 1
2024vs Right .270 134 31 8 33 7 2 7
2023vs Left .163 114 32 15 16 2 0 2
2023vs Right .181 158 45 16 25 5 0 5
2022vs Left .205 119 38 7 23 6 0 1
2022vs Right .205 144 41 10 26 7 1 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-19%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-59%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.44 1.12 102.0 10 6 12 10.1 2.7 1.0
Since 2022Away 2.77 1.18 91.0 12 6 11 10.5 4.5 0.7
2024Home 5.63 1.53 32.0 5 4 9 9.6 3.1 1.7
2024Away 2.30 1.24 27.1 5 1 9 9.9 5.6 0.7
2023Home 1.85 1.09 34.0 2 1 2 10.9 3.2 1.1
2023Away 1.57 1.02 34.1 4 2 0 9.4 5.0 0.8
2022Home 3.00 0.78 36.0 3 1 1 9.8 2.0 0.3
2022Away 4.60 1.30 29.1 3 3 2 12.3 2.8 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Hector Neris compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.29
 
K/9
9.7
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
4.10
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.313
 
GB/FB
1.14
 
Left On Base
72.4%
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
1925 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Neris may have been miscast as a closer in Philadelphia, but he settled into a more suitable setup role after signing a 2-year deal to join the Astros. The veteran was still a workhorse, appearing in 70 games (seventh-most in baseball) while racking up 25 holds (sixth-most). He finished the year with an unspectacular 3.72 ERA (2.34 FIP) in 65.1 innings, but maintained a strong 30% strikeout rate and vastly improved his walk (6.5%) and home run (0.4 HR/9) rates. However, Neris' hard hit rate regressed from the mid-to-upper 30's to 44.7% last season and is something to monitor moving forward. The righty may no longer be elite by any one metric, but continues to be above-average in most and doesn't appear to be slowing down as he approaches his age-34 season.
After an unlucky 2020, Neris rebounded last season, albeit it with 12 homers in 74.1 innings. A 31.6% strikeout rate helped minimize damage, as did a fortunate .262 BABIP. Despite the penchant for allowing homers, the Phillies deployed Neris in high-leverage scenarios, where he notched 12 saves and 11 holds. Neris signed with the Astros where he'll help Rafael Montero set up Ryan Pressly. His ratios are risky, but Neris is one of the better middle reliever candidates to add strikeouts as he's durable along with a dominant strikeout rate.
Neris was one of the Phillies' best bullpen arms in 2020, though that's saying incredibly little, as the unit produced an awful 7.06 ERA. His 4.57 ERA looks outstanding by those standards, though it wouldn't have been enough to keep him in a high-leverage role long enough to earn his five saves on many other teams. A .381 BABIP and 59.5% strand rate inflated his ERA, though his 0.0% HR/FB rate mostly cancelled out that bad luck. In the areas where he had more direct control, he regressed, as his K% fell from 32.4% to 26.2% while his BB% jumped from 8.7% to a career-high 12.6%. Neris was a fairly unconvincing closer at the best of times, and the Phillies can't be feeling too confident having him in that role this year. If his ERA rebounds to the range of his career-long 3.38 mark, he'll be a solid mid-tier option at the position, but it's also possible he regresses even more in his age-32 campaign.
Neris entered the year looking like the third option for saves in Philadelphia behind Seranthony Dominguez and David Robertson. That pair recorded a combined zero saves while elbow injuries limited them to just 31.1 innings. Meanwhile, Neris rebounded from a shaky 2018 campaign to save 28 games while recording a 2.93 ERA and a 32.4% strikeout rate. He also dramatically increased his groundball rate, which came in at 45.5% after sitting at 30.8% in 2018. Neris is a step down from the league's elite relievers, and fears of his 2018 struggles returning are understandable, but he should begin the season with a clear hold on the closer role with Robertson recovering from Tommy John surgery and Dominguez's status questionable. He should be able to pick up most of the Phillies' saves while striking out a high number of batters, provided he doesn't lose feel for his splitter like he did in 2018.
Neris entered 2018 as the Phillies' closer following a campaign that featured 26 saves and a 3.01 ERA. Much of that success came via his excellent splitter, a pitch he seemed to lose feel for early in 2018. He was optioned to Triple-A in mid-July after posting a 6.00 ERA through his first 30 appearances. The demotion seemed to help. He recorded a 2.04 ERA from Aug. 15 onward, though he didn't regain his closing job, earning just one save from that point on. The emergence of Seranthony Dominguez and the addition of David Robertson make even a revitalized Neris' value murky for the 2019 season. It's unclear which pitcher will have the edge in save chances. It's possible manager Gabe Kapler will decide to go without a dedicated closer. Kapler spent large stretches of last season without one, deploying his most trusted relievers in the highest-leverage spots, with the save going to whomever was left over when the game got to the ninth.
The Phillies refused to formally name Neris the closer early on, but he eventually emerged as the clear-cut option after the Phillies traded veterans Joaquin Benoit and Pat Neshek at the deadline. Following a blown save on June 21, Neris converted 20 straight opportunities, striking out 52 batters with a 2.49 ERA in his final 42 games. The right-hander's spike in flyball percentage to 44.4 is worrisome considering his homer-friendly digs, but relievers can typically work around this if they boast his dominance (career 10.5 strikeouts per nine and 16.6 percent swinging-strike rate). Also, Neris carries one of baseball's best split-fingered fastballs, and that pitch could help limit big flies with more refinement. Even on a 66-win club, Neris churned out 26 saves. Unlike last offseason, he won't come cheaply, but he could still pay off handsomely at his increased price point.
Neris came out of nowhere last season to become one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. It started with a decision by the Phillies' brass to have him focus primarily on throwing his splitter, which had always been his best pitch. Neris went from throwing the split 21 percent of the time in 2015 to throwing it nearly 50 percent of the time in 2016 while curtailing use of his slider. The move paid off as his strikeout rate rocketed to 11.4 K/9, more than two points higher than his 2015 rate. He did see his walk rate creep up but avoided blow-ups thanks in part to an 82.5 percent strand rate. Neris managed just two saves last season despite having the best stuff in the Phillies' pen. However, Jeanmar Gomez lost the closer role late last season, which opens the door for Neris to earn the job this spring. He likely won't cost as much as established closers, but he has the skill set to be one of the most dominant options in baseball as long as he keeps having success with his splitter.
Neris shuttled between Triple-A and the majors last season. He was pretty tough against the 101 right-handed batters he faced with a .232 batting average against, 26 strikeouts and just two walks. Neris' fastball is about 93 mph, and he throws a slider and changeup. He will compete for a bullpen job this spring.
Neris got a brief, one-game look from the Phillies last season when the team needed an extra arm for their bullpen. He spent the majority of his season at Triple-A, where he posted a 9.0 K/9 ratio and 2.9 BB/9 ratio in 58 innings including one start. Neris sits around 93 mph with his fastball and throws a slider and changeup. He will have an opportunity to compete for a middle-relief job this spring.
More Fantasy News
Reuniting with Houston
PHouston Astros  
August 22, 2024
Neris agreed to a one-year contract with the Astros on Thursday, Ari Alexander of KPRC 2 in Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Released by Cubs
PFree Agent  
August 20, 2024
The Cubs released Neris on Tuesday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in fifth blown save
PChicago Cubs  
August 16, 2024
Neris was charged with a blown save Friday against the Blue Jays, allowing three runs on four hits in the ninth inning. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Secures 17th save
PChicago Cubs  
August 10, 2024
Neris struck out two over a hitless and scoreless inning to earn the save in Saturday's 3-1 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Escapes with 16th save
PChicago Cubs  
August 10, 2024
Neris gave up two hits and a walk in a scoreless ninth inning Friday to record his 16th save of the season in a 7-6 win over the White Sox.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to be waived?
PChicago Cubs  
July 31, 2024
Buster Olney of ESPN listed Neris as a candidate to be put on waivers by the Cubs during August in an attempt to cut salary.
ANALYSIS
The veteran reliever stayed put through Tuesday's trade deadline, but Chicago could still elect to waive him in order avoid paying what remains of his $9 million salary, assuming he's claimed by another team. Neris also has a $9 million club option for 2025 that can vest into a player option, but he's unlikely to reach the 60 appearances or the 45 games finished required for the option to convert. He has a 3.58 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 39:24 K:BB across 37.2 innings this season.
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