Jake Burger

Jake Burger

28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Miami Marlins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Burger didn't even make the Opening Day roster last year, but he ended up having a big impact for both the White Sox and Marlins. He finished second on the White Sox in home runs with 25 despite playing in only 88 games with the club. Burger added nine more long balls in 53 games with Miami following a deadline trade, finishing 15th in MLB with 34 homers in total. In a surprising twist, Burger cut his strikeout rate by nearly 10 percentage points following the move to South Beach, which lends some hope to the idea that he could be more than a one-dimensional slugger. Thanks in large part to the improved contact rate, he hit .303 with a 131 wRC+ in his small sample with Miami. Burger, the 11th overall pick in 2017, lost multiple years of development time due to two tears of his left Achilles' tendon. The health history has to be taken into account, but even with those concerns Burger has quite a bit of appeal as a third baseman/corner infielder in fantasy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#137
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $760,000 contract with the Marlins in March of 2024.
Knocks 29th long ball
1BMiami Marlins
September 25, 2024
Burger went 2-for-5 with a three-run home run and a double in a loss to the Twins on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Miami got off to a fiery start Wednesday, as Burger's three-run homer was one of five straight baserunners for the team to open the contest. However, the Marlins didn't score over the remaining eight frames, and Burger struck out in three of his remaining four at-bats (though he also recorded a double). The slugger has gone deep four times in his past eight games and needs one more long ball to reach 30 for the second straight season.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
18
24
13
29
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
23
13
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+57%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .809 373 49 23 49 0 .249 .300 .509
Since 2022vs Right .780 929 110 48 133 2 .251 .306 .474
2024vs Left .678 185 17 9 20 0 .221 .259 .419
2024vs Right .799 394 51 20 56 1 .264 .320 .479
2023vs Left .906 139 23 11 17 0 .260 .324 .583
2023vs Right .800 401 48 23 63 1 .247 .304 .496
2022vs Left 1.039 49 9 3 12 0 .326 .388 .651
2022vs Right .663 134 11 5 14 0 .224 .271 .392
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+22%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+53%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+101%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .866 658 94 42 108 1 .272 .330 .537
Since 2022Away .708 644 65 29 74 1 .228 .278 .430
2024Home .705 285 37 14 35 1 .227 .281 .424
2024Away .814 294 31 15 41 0 .273 .320 .494
2023Home 1.006 265 42 21 53 0 .305 .370 .636
2023Away .658 275 29 13 27 1 .198 .251 .407
2022Home .957 108 15 7 20 0 .313 .361 .596
2022Away .477 75 5 1 6 0 .159 .216 .261
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Stat Review
How does Jake Burger compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.21
 
BB Rate
5.4%
 
K Rate
25.9%
 
BABIP
.292
 
ISO
.209
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.301
 
SLG
.460
 
OPS
.760
 
wOBA
.330
 
Exit Velocity
91.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.3%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Expected BA
.256
 
Expected SLG
.476
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.2%
 
Line Drive %
15.2%
 
Fly Ball %
40.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2018
Burger spent another season on the CLT to MDW shuttle as he continues his efforts to stay healthy over the course of a full season. He has had absolutely rotten luck with injury as he has played just three professional seasons since being drafted in the June 2017 draft. Burger found himself in a complementary role with the White Sox on the short side of a platoon as he hit lefties 100 points better than righties with much better contact as well. The injuries were still there as he dealt with a hand/wrist bruise mid-summer. Burger's time in 2023 will come should Moncada continue his downward trend because DH is clogged by Jimenez. The limited path to playing time makes Burger draftable in solely 50-round draft and hold formats.
It's hard to overstate how impressive Burger's 2021 season was, given the context. He missed 2018 and 2019 while recovering from multiple Achilles injuries and only worked at the alternate training site in 2020. Since he was 25 and already on the 40-man roster, Burger was given an aggressive assignment to Triple-A after having never played above Low-A. The No. 11 overall pick in 2017 held his own, hitting .274/.332/.513 with 18 home runs in 82 games, good for a 122 wRC+. He was rewarded with a brief run in the majors in July, during which he hit .263/.333/.474 with one home run, a 115.2 maxEV and 60.9 Hard% in 23 batted-ball events. Burger's 0.26 BB/K at Triple-A and 35.7 K% in the majors are red flags, but it's not like he was going to be a flawless hitter in his first game action since 2017. At the very least, he established that he has a future in the majors, especially considering he improved his defense at third base from when he was drafted. He should head back to Triple-A to work on improving his approach, and an injury to any of a handful of players in the majors could result in him getting the call. His plus power, proximity and the possibility that he is still improving as a hitter make him an appealing player to hold in deeper dynasty leagues.
It's easy to look at the aptly surnamed Burger's body and question why he was the 11th player selected in the 2017 draft. The White Sox were able to sign him for $500,000 under slot, which allowed them to go way over slot with their next pick (Gavin Sheets), but in addition to being a bargain, he has some intriguing offensive tools and has surprised evaluators with his defense at third base. For a college bat, his approach was a little too pull heavy (48.7 percent), but he excelled at making contact (14 percent strikeout rate), so it's easy to buy into him posting relatively high batting averages as he moves up the ladder. His top tool is his plus power, and he hit five home runs in his first taste of pro ball, which is notable considering the two college corner infielders who went ahead of him (Brendan McKay and Pavin Smith) combined for four home runs. The ingredients are here for a third baseman who hits 25-to-30 home runs with a .275 average. He should arrive in 2019 or 2020.
More Fantasy News
Swats 28th homer
1BMiami Marlins
September 23, 2024
Burger went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Sunday
1BMiami Marlins
September 1, 2024
Burger is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Notches homer, swipes bag in loss
1BMiami Marlins
August 21, 2024
Burger went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run, a walk and a stolen base in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Stays hot at plate
1BMiami Marlins
August 11, 2024
Burger went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run and two additional runs scored during Sunday's 7-6 win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Belts homer No. 20
1BMiami Marlins
August 10, 2024
Burger went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 6-2 extra-inning loss to the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
More reps at keystone?
1BChicago White Sox
July 23, 2023
Manager Pedro Grifol suggested Sunday that Burger could see some time at second base once Yoan Moncada returns from his back injury, according to Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times.
ANALYSIS
Similar discussions were had earlier in the session as Grifol juggled injuries, but Burger has played only two innings at the keystone so far this year. The 27-year-old is hitting just .214 with a 32.7 percent strikeout rate, though he has shown plenty of pop with 15 doubles and 21 home runs among his 59 hits. Burger's defense is a negative wherever he ends up, but Eloy Jimenez and Yasmani Grandal have lately been dominating the plate appearances at designated hitter.
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