Jurickson Profar

32-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Atlanta Braves

2024 Stats

AVG

.280

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Profar wasn't guaranteed a starting role when he re-upped with the Padres on a one-year deal last offseason, but the veteran outfielder not only maintained an everyday spot in the lineup, he put together his first All-Star and Silver Slugger campaign while blowing away his previous career-best mark with an .839 OPS. Profar has always been adept at making contact and maintaining good plate discipline, and that was evidenced again in 2024 with his 15.1 percent strikeout rate along with a chase rate and whiff rate that were both in the top 90th percentile leaguewide. Where he really made strides, though, was in the quality of his contact -- Profar's average exit velocity (91.1 percent) ranked in the 80th percentile across baseball while his 44.4 percent hard-hit rate ranked in the 71st percentile. Those are stark contrasts to his previous campaigns, as Profar had never before ranked above even the 25th percentile in either category since Statcast was introduced. Such a dramatic improvement naturally begs for an explanation, and the answer for Profar likely lies in a change to his batting stance that also helped produce a career-best 7.2 percent barrel rate. While it needs to be noted that Profar's numbers tailed off to some extent late in the season, it should also be mentioned that he followed a miserable August during which he batted just .196 with a .689 OPS with a bounce-back September that included a .275 batting average and .818 OPS. Profar's outstanding campaign will likely land him a significant pay raise in 2025, and while his lack of speed, non-elite power and poor previous track record prevents him from being among fantasy's most desirable outfielders, he could settle within the top 25 to 30 at the position given his 2024 numbers and the underlying metrics that support them. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

#184

ADP

League Majors

Bats B

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 184

DOB 2/20/1993

Born Willemstad, Netherlands Antilles

College None

Drafted 2009 TEX

Candidate to hit leadoff

OFAtlanta Braves

February 11, 2025

Profar could hit leadoff for Atlanta until Ronald Acuna (knee) is fully healthy, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
Michael Harris might also see action at the top of the lineup, but Profar appears to be the team's best leadoff option while Acuna completes his recovery from ACL surgery. In 83 regular-season plate appearances at leadoff for the Padres last season, Profar delivered an eye-popping .451 OBP, helping to fuel his career-high .380 season-long mark in that category. The 31-year-old also scored a career-high 94 runs in 2024, and he could challenge triple digits if he sees significant time hitting ahead of the likes of Austin Riley, Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna this season.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+8%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+8%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+18%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+2%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.796	519	57	13	61	2	.277	.362	.435
Since 2022vs Right	.738	1327	174	35	128	14	.248	.340	.398
2024vs Left	.885	175	21	8	31	1	.300	.385	.500
2024vs Right	.823	493	73	16	54	9	.273	.378	.444
2023vs Left	.774	147	15	2	11	0	.275	.347	.427
2023vs Right	.656	373	40	7	35	1	.229	.311	.345
2022vs Left	.734	197	21	3	19	1	.259	.352	.382
2022vs Right	.718	461	61	12	39	4	.237	.322	.395
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+18%

OPS at Home

2024

+18%

OPS at Home

2023

+25%

OPS at Home

2022

+12%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.820	871	106	27	94	8	.273	.361	.458
Since 2022Away	.696	975	125	21	95	8	.240	.332	.364
2024Home	.913	311	39	15	46	5	.297	.385	.528
2024Away	.772	357	55	9	39	5	.264	.376	.397
2023Home	.774	238	28	3	21	1	.273	.353	.421
2023Away	.618	282	27	6	25	0	.216	.294	.324
2022Home	.764	322	39	9	27	2	.251	.345	.419
2022Away	.683	336	43	6	31	3	.236	.318	.365
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Stat Review

How does Jurickson Profar compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.75

BB Rate

11.4%

K Rate

15.1%

BABIP

.302

ISO

.179

AVG

.280

OBP

.380

SLG

.459

OPS

.839

wOBA

.369

Exit Velocity

91.1 mph

Hard Hit Rate

31.5%

Barrels/PA

5.1%

Expected BA

.282

Expected SLG

.444

Sprint Speed

21.4 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

42.2%

Line Drive %

19.8%

Fly Ball %

37.9%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Profar was a solid offensive piece for the Padres in 2022 with a 111 wRC+ in 152 contests, but he scuffled to a .242/.321/.368 slash line between the Rockies and Padres last season. He then re-signed with San Diego on a one-year deal for 2024, and the offseason departures of Juan Soto and Trent Grisham leave plenty of playing time in the outfield. Profar has a limited ceiling given his career .705 OPS and below-average power and speed, but he could be a volume contributor in deeper fantasy leagues. That's assuming, however, he can maintain a regular spot in the lineup.

Welcome to the oldest 29 year old player you have ever met. Profar made his major league debut in 2012, and just when it appeared he had found a home in San Diego, he declined his player option to become a free agent. Profar no longer has multi-positional versatility as his limited defensive skills put him in the outfield full-time last season. He remains a high contact hitter who will accept his walks but has not hit over .245 in the last three full seasons of play despite the disciplined approach at the plate. He signed with Colorado in the offseason, which should boost his offense and could give him regular playing time in the outfield. He was very recently 1B/2B/OF eligible in San Diego, so perhaps the Rockies will be willing to give him some time at first base or the infield in 2023. It is unlikely he regularly plays a middle infield position again, particularly second base with the premium on defense reset with the rule changes.

Profar opened the 2021 season as a utility player for San Diego, but his ability to play all over the infield and outfield allowed him to pick up semi-regular playing time for much of the campaign while the Padres contended with both injuries and endured slumps from multiple everyday players. The 28-year-old did little to raise the offensive floor for the Padres when he was included in the lineup, as he finished with a .093 ISO and .649 OPS after clearing .150 and .700 in those respective categories each of the previous three seasons. He'll return in a utility role and could find stretches of regular playing time again. He did steal 10 bases, so he'll have value in deeper formats when he finds his way into the lineup.

That is not a misprint in Profar's bio line; he really is just turning 28 years old. Profar has seemingly been in the league forever, but 2020 was as close as he has come to the type of breakout performance fantasy players have long wanted to see from him. While 2018's numbers were big, they were mostly a byproduct of volume whereas he was on a 20-20 pace while playing in the talented San Diego lineup in 2020. The bounce-back for the switch hitter was centered around his best season yet in handling right-handed pitching, but that skill lacks much stickiness; view it partly as growth but more anomaly given he hit below .200 against righties in two of the prior three seasons. He has 2B/OF eligibility on draft day and the Padres will likely continue to use his defensive versatility. The ceiling is not very high, but the floor is not all that bad when he is healthy.

Profar has now been able to stay healthy for the majority of back-to-back seasons, appearing in 285 games over the last two years. The 26-year-old hit .218 after batting .254 in his final year with Texas. A spike in his Pull% (from 39.8% to 49.9%) without a notable dip in his groundball rate led to the decline in batting average, while his BB% (9.3%) and K% (14.5) remained stable. He also battled the yips making throws from second base -- a new development. Padres general manager A.J. Preller, who was the Rangers assistant GM when Profar was a top prospect with Texas, bought low on him in a trade this offseason and he will enter spring training as the favorite to be San Diego's starting second baseman. Profar has hit 20 home runs in back-to-back seasons and is 19-for-20 on stolen-base attempts over that span. His performance in the field will be as important as his hitting if he is to hold the everyday job.

Once considered the top prospect in baseball, Profar's previous five seasons had been marred by injury and disappointment, but that finally changed in 2018. The Rangers dealt with a myriad of injuries but he was able to stay healthy and play in 146 games, finishing with a 108 wRC+. His 20 home runs were an especially welcome sight, as Profar totaled only 17 home runs between Triple-A and MLB over the previous two seasons. His 13.2% HR/FB was roughly league average, so he could reprise that power output. He was also 10-for-10 on stolen-base attempts. Profar hits the ball to all fields and rarely strikes out (14.8 K%), so he could improve on last year's AVG (.269 BABIP). He was traded to the A's as part of a surprise three-team deal this offseason. In Oakland, he figures to serve as the primary second baseman, but could also get occasional starts at shortstop and third base.

Widely regarded as the game's No. 1 prospect five years ago, Profar has tamed Triple-A pitching, but he's yet to make an impact at the highest level. The 25-year-old has career major-league rates of 9.1 walks and 19.8 strikeouts, teasing a high-upside batting eye. The .352/.379/.516 line he flashed in his first 23 games of 2016 suggested he regained power and harder contact through increased shoulder strength following significant time lost in 2014 and 2015. Profar doesn't have a daily lineup spot to start the season, which has been an evergreen statement. He likely will have to get by in 2018, at least initially, by piecing together work at numerous positions. Whether he does this for a so-far patient Rangers team or another squad remains to be seen. Repeating the final point from his 2017 outlook: "He's still an interesting lottery ticket."

Profar serves as a prime example of the disastrous effects shoulder injuries can have on hitters, most of the time severely sapping power. After missing nearly two years due to ongoing shoulder issues, he's still trying to rediscover the stroke that made him the top prospect in every publication across the land just four years ago. He teased that potential by starting 2016 with a .352/.379/.516 line through his first 23 games, but the outstanding performance was short-lived, as Profar hit a meager .180/.291/.250 in 201 plate appearances from July 3 through the end of the season. He hit decently for a 23-year-old at Triple-A, but considering the offense-heavy context of the Pacific Coast League, his Round Rock performance was still disappointing for a player of Profar's pedigree, experience and theoretical upside. His greatest fantasy asset in 2017 might be his positional flexibility, depending on your league's qualification parameters, as last season Profar played 11 or more games at every spot on the infield (other than catcher) in addition to left field. He's still an interesting lottery ticket.

Profar had another lost season, making it two in a row, due to continued issues with shoulder muscles. The injuries have prevented him from taking a professional at-bat for nearly two full years, costing the former top prospect valuable development time. Still just 22 (he'll turn 23 in February), Profar still has plenty of time to carve out a major-league career and he was a surprise addition to Arizona Fall League rosters this winter. Through 19 games (all at DH), he's slashed .264/.352/.458 with 11 walks against just 10 strikeouts. His return to relative health has his name coming up in trade rumors this winter, and there's no real room for him in Texas with Rougned Odor and Elvis Andrus entrenched up the middle and Joey Gallo set to inherit third base, but the first step in Profar regaining fantasy relevance again is simply to show he's healthy and get back to playing.

Profar missed all of 2014 with shoulder troubles. He first tore a muscle in his right shoulder during spring training, and then had multiple setbacks throughout the season. He had platelet-rich plasma injections to the joint in late September and a late October MRI said the shoulder was 95 percent clean. However, it was not clean enough for him to play in the Arizona Fall League as originally hoped. He seemed to be making steady progress throughout the winter, but a follow-up MRI showed increase strain in the subscapularis muscle in his shoulder, and the decision was made to schedule surgery. Profar is expected to miss the entire 2015 season as a result, but he's still just 22 years old and those in keeper and dynasty leagues who are willing to ride out the storm could use this to get the talented infielder at a discount.

Profar was called up in early May with the injury to Ian Kinsler and remained in the majors, largely in a utility role, for the rest of the season. He hit poorly in that role, slashing just .234/.308/.336 and fanning 63 times in 286 at-bats. The winter trade of Kinsler to Detroit throws the second base door wide open, and it's expected that Profar will be the heavy favorite to begin the 2014 season as the everyday second baseman. With regular at-bats and without having to learn a new position, Profar should be able to deliver much better results the second time around.

The current holder, in many eyes, of the "Best Prospect In Baseball" title, Profar proved that 2011's breakout was legit, racking up 26 doubles, seven triples and 14 homers in 480 at-bats at Double-A Frisco as a 19-year-old. He showed solid plate discipline (66:79 BB:K) on top of the power, and got a brief taste of the majors late in the season (homering in his first at-bat). Texas currently has Ian Kinsler and Elvis Andrus up the middle, but there's been talk of Kinsler moving to the outfield to make room in 2013 for Profar despite not having a single at-bat at Triple-A. Profar's name has been tossed around in trade rumors too, but there's little doubt that he will be a fantasy asset once he ascends to the majors for good.

Profar took a big leap forward in 2011, showing much more power than in his professional debut the year prior, as he racked up 37 doubles, eight triples and 12 homers in 420 at-bats at Low-A Hickory as an 18-year-old. Mix in tremendous plate discipline (65:63 BB:K) considering his age, and there's something potentially really special here. He gets praise for his defense at shortstop, and there's no large platoon splits for him from either side of the plate (.852 OPS against lefties, .897 against righties). The only knock on him entering the year was some scouts wondered if they were already looking at the finished product; Profar's big leap forward in the power department should quiet that talk. This could be baseball's next great shortstop.

Profar made his professional debut at short-season Spokane as a 17-year-old and showed advanced skills for a young player against some college-aged competition. His overall .250/.323/.373 line doesn't jump off the page, but he managed 28 walks and 23 extra-base hits (including four home runs) in 252 at-bats and was also successful in 8-of-11 stolen base attempts. He's still several years away, but there's already talk that he could force Elvis Andrus off of shortstop once he's ready. A switch-hitter, he hit .258/.335/.389 against right-handed pitching and hit well overall in August (.284/.354/.477 in 88 at-bats) showing that he's capable of making adjustments against advanced pitching.

More Fantasy News

Agrees to contract with Atlanta

OFAtlanta Braves

January 23, 2025

Atlanta agreed to terms on a three-year, $42 million contract with Profar on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.