Justin Topa

Justin Topa

34-Year-Old PitcherRP
Minnesota Twins
2026 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Justin Topa in 2026. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
Signed a one-year, $1.225 million contract with the Twins in November of 2025.
Avoids arbitration with Twins
PMinnesota Twins
November 21, 2025
The Twins and Topa avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year contract Friday, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Darren Wolfson of Channel 5 Saint Paul says the deal is worth $1.225 million. Topa had been viewed as a non-tender candidate, but he will stick around and could be a high-leverage reliever again on a Twins team unlikely to make any big offseason bullpen additions. The righty held a 3.90 ERA and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings in 2025, posting a 46.7 percent groundball rate along the way.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
18
Last 10 Games
23
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Justin Topa generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Justin Topa generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .263 224 42 21 52 10 2 3
Since 2023vs Right .255 331 70 15 78 13 0 3
2025vs Left .305 118 18 11 32 8 0 1
2025vs Right .263 150 31 7 36 9 0 1
2024vs Left .200 5 1 0 1 0 0 0
2024vs Right .000 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .216 101 23 10 19 2 2 2
2023vs Right .253 178 38 8 42 4 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-54%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-75%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.36 1.50 64.0 3 5 2 8.4 2.7 0.4
Since 2023Away 2.00 1.04 67.1 3 4 5 7.0 2.3 0.4
2025Home 6.16 1.73 30.2 1 4 0 7.3 2.6 0.6
2025Away 1.53 1.13 29.1 0 1 4 7.4 2.8 0.0
2024Home 0.00 0.43 2.1 0 0 0 7.7 0.0 0.0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.90 1.35 31.0 2 1 2 9.6 2.9 0.3
2023Away 2.37 0.97 38.0 3 3 1 6.6 1.9 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Justin Topa compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.72
 
K/9
7.4
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
0.3
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
3.90
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.354
 
GB/FB
1.90
 
Left On Base
64.9%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2265 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.9%
 
Swinging Strike
8.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Topa See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Topa See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2021
Topa will look to re-establish himself as a key setup man after essentially a lost season. He began 2024 on the injured list due to left patellar tendinitis and then suffered a small tear in his left patellar tendon while rehabbing in late May. Topa finally returned to throw 2.1 innings in September. He throws a bowling-ball sinker that can reach the high 90-mph range and his slider can be a swing-and-miss weapon. He generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile in 2023. He still holds some promise as a setup man if he can shake his injury woes from last year.
With two Tommy John surgeries and only 18.1 major league innings on his resume, Topa looked healthy during spring training after Seattle acquired him via trade last January. The 32-year-old didn't break camp with the Mariners, but he was recalled early in the season and given opportunities to pitch in a setup role. With health prevailing, Topa pitched a career-high 69 innings across 75 appearances (T-2nd among relievers) and finished with 5 wins, 3 saves and 24 holds (T-11th). With a sinker-heavy approach (-8 degree launch angle on batted balls), the right-hander generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile. He also implemented a successful cutter against left-handed batters. Topa figures to open 2024 as one of Minnesota's primary setup men after a January trade from Seattle and is a solid target in leagues that count holds, but don't dismiss the health risks that come along with clicking his name in the draft room.
While it was only 7.2 innings, Topa opened eyes with his performance in 2020. A 17th-round pick by the Pirates in 2013, Topa was out of affiliated ball a couple years later. He spent time in the independent Can-Am league and a year in the Rangers organization before the Brewers took a chance on him late in 2019. Topa spent the first month of the 2020 season at the alternate site, ultimately debuting Sept. 1. The right-hander went on to rack up 12 strikeouts without a walk and only one homer allowed. He throws a bowling-ball sinker that is routinely up at 97-98 and generates a good number of groundballs, and his slider is a real swing-and-miss weapon. Devin Williams has received a lot of attention and deservedly so, but don't sleep on Topa in this Milwaukee bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Option declined, but arb eligible
PMinnesota Twins
November 6, 2025
The Twins declined Topa's $2 million option for 2026 on Thursday, Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
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On IL with oblique injury
PMinnesota Twins
Oblique
September 12, 2025
The Twins placed Topa on the 15-day injured list Friday due to a left oblique strain.
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Exits with knee soreness
PMinnesota Twins
Knee
September 7, 2025
Topa was removed from his relief appearance in Sunday's 5-1 win over Kansas City in the ninth inning due to left knee discomfort, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports. "I had the doctor look at it and he said that structurally, everything looks good," said Topa.
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Can't rebound in loss, blown save
PMinnesota Twins
September 3, 2025
Topa (1-5) was charged with the loss and a blown save in a 4-3 defeat to the White Sox on Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and no walks with one strikeout in two-thirds of an inning.
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Secures save Tuesday
PMinnesota Twins
August 26, 2025
Topa allowed a run on two hits in one inning of work while earning a save over Toronto on Tuesday. He struck out one batter.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could lose roster spot
PMinnesota Twins
November 20, 2025
Topa is a candidate to be non-tendered by the Twins ahead of Friday's roster deadline, report Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic.
Analysis
Minnesota recently declined Topa's $2 million option for 2026, but he remains under team control through the arbitration process. The right-hander's estimated salary for next season is around $1.7 million, which isn't a significant difference from the option the Twins already turned down. He was a solid bullpen piece for Minnesota last season with a 3.90 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings, but he's had trouble staying healthy since making his debut in 2020.
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