Luis Garcia

Luis Garcia

22-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Washington Nationals
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Garcia opened 2022 with Triple-A Rochester but was promoted to the big leagues at the start of June and had a .275/.295/.408 slash line with seven home runs across 93 games for the Nationals. He initially took over the starting job at shortstop but shifted to the keystone once CJ Abrams was deemed ready to go. Garcia had a manageable strikeout rate (22.3 percent), but an abysmal walk rate (3.0 percent) isn't sustainable for a big-league regular. Garcia should receive plenty of run in 2023 with the Nationals trying to determine what the young infielder can provide, but he'll need to show more than solid contact skills to warrant a regular role long term. He also has only eight steals since the 2019 minor-league season, so he won't provide much value on the basepaths in addition to his low power. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#314
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Nationals in August of 2020.
Left out of Tuesday's lineup
2BWashington Nationals
September 27, 2022
Garcia is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
The Nationals are loading up on right-handed hitters against opposing starter Kyle Muller, so Garcia will head to the bench and Cesar Hernandez will get the nod at second base.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
16
2
3
15
7
8
4
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
8
7
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+18%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+172%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .589 202 17 2 16 1 .239 .254 .335
Since 2020vs Right .724 557 59 13 65 3 .272 .300 .425
2022vs Left .577 101 9 1 8 1 .235 .250 .327
2022vs Right .751 276 20 6 37 2 .290 .312 .439
2021vs Left .771 66 6 1 7 0 .297 .318 .453
2021vs Right .655 181 23 5 15 0 .221 .260 .395
2020vs Left .286 35 2 0 1 0 .143 .143 .143
2020vs Right .778 100 16 2 13 1 .313 .340 .438
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+98%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .733 343 38 7 35 3 .286 .315 .418
Since 2020Away .670 402 36 8 45 1 .252 .272 .398
2022Home .817 185 18 4 26 2 .328 .351 .466
2022Away .596 192 11 3 19 1 .226 .241 .355
2021Home .720 111 15 3 6 0 .250 .297 .423
2021Away .659 136 14 3 16 0 .235 .257 .402
2020Home .447 47 5 0 3 1 .213 .213 .234
2020Away .885 74 11 2 10 0 .352 .378 .507
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Stat Review
How does Luis Garcia compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.13
 
BB Rate
2.9%
 
K Rate
22.3%
 
BABIP
.337
 
ISO
.133
 
AVG
.275
 
OBP
.295
 
SLG
.408
 
OPS
.704
 
wOBA
.305
 
Exit Velocity
87.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.0%
 
Barrels/PA
5.6%
 
Expected BA
.260
 
Expected SLG
.409
 
Sprint Speed
23.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
51.3%
 
Line Drive %
22.2%
 
Fly Ball %
26.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
Garcia hadn't yet conquered Double-A, let alone Triple-A, hitting just .257/.280/.337 at that level in 2019, but an injury crisis called him up to the majors early in the 2020 season. He was hardly a star, or even an average regular, but given the context, his respectable .276/.302/.366 slash line was quite impressive. His 83.5 mph average exit velocity and 3.6 BB% both fell in the bottom three percent of qualified hitters, but he did at least make a decent amount of contact, striking out at a 20.9% clip, and again, there was no reason to expect he wouldn't struggle. It's tough to call him big-league ready even after spending most of a season in the majors, however, especially as his defense graded out quite poorly at second base. He could use a fair bit more seasoning in the minors, but even if he gets more major-league chances, he's unlikely to provide much fantasy value outside of a decent average.
Garcia gets an A+ for age/level and a D- for statistical output at Double-A. He would have been the youngest hitter at High-A and was 15 months younger than the next youngest hitter at Double-A. He has the size (6-foot-2, 190 pounds) to grow into 20-plus-homer pop, but his swing is so contact-oriented (50.0 GB%, 38.0 Oppo%, 13.9 Hard%) that he will need to adjust his launch angle to get there. His elite bat-to-ball skills have led to him swinging at too many pitchers' pitches. Being a bit more picky early in the count in order to get better pitches to hit could go a long way. Including the Arizona Fall League, Garcia hit .287/.325/.431 with three home runs, six steals and a 33:13 K:BB in 53 games from August on, so he improved and finished strong. If everything clicks, he could go 20/10 while contending for batting titles in his prime. We probably won't see him in the majors until 2021.
Among qualified hitters, only Mookie Betts, Christian Yelich and Mike Trout hit .300 with 20 home runs and 15 steals last year. Garcia could eventually hit those baselines. He was 3.3 years younger and 11% better than the average hitter in the Sally League and 4.4 years younger and 12% better than the average hitter in the Carolina League. It may not seem like much, but his .113 ISO at High-A was a very positive indicator, given his age, hit tool (.297 AVG at Low-A was a career low) and contact skills (14.9 K% at High-A). Up-the-middle players simply don't have full-season debuts like that in their age-17/18 campaigns. Garcia has pedigree ($1.3 million bonus on July 2, 2016) and at 6-foot, 190 pounds, more power is coming. The one knock on him as a hitter: his splits against same-handed pitching (.330 AVG, .843 OPS against RHP, .234 AVG, .537 OPS against LHP). He may eventually move to second base, but that won't negatively affect his fantasy value.
Even without Braves or Padres-level exposure, the Nationals cleaned up on the 2016 international market -- inking a pair of shortstop prospects in Garcia and Yasel Antuna, both of whom have increased their stock significantly since signing. Antuna is more appealing for dynasty leagues because of his monstrous ceiling, but Garcia has the higher floor, and with plus-plus speed, his fantasy upside should not be overlooked. He was the fourth youngest hitter in the Gulf Coast League, yet finished 11th in batting average (.302) and tied for ninth in steals (11-for-13). Unlike Antuna, Garcia is a good bet to stick at shortstop, so at the very least he projects to hit for a high average, steal a lot of bases and quality at the second scarcest position in the game. His all-fields approach (36 percent to the pull side, 38.5 percent to the opposite field) allows him show off his hit tool, but it mutes any power potential. At 6-foot, 190 pounds, he could access over-the-fence power, but it would likely come at the expense of his batting average.
More Fantasy News
Stolen base, RBI in loss
2BWashington Nationals
September 20, 2022
Garcia went 1-for-5 with an RBI single and a stolen base in Tuesday's loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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On base three times Friday
2BWashington Nationals
September 17, 2022
Garcia went 1-for-2 with two walks and a run scored in Friday's 5-4 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Takes spot in Tuesday's lineup
2BWashington Nationals
September 13, 2022
Garcia (side) is in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Held out with sore side
2BWashington Nationals
Side
September 11, 2022
Garcia is dealing with a sore right side, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Riding pine Saturday
2BWashington Nationals
September 10, 2022
Garcia isn't in the lineup Saturday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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