Luis Garcia

Luis Garcia

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Garcia registered his second straight solid season with nearly identical surface stats. His WHIP was a tad lower due to a small dip in walk rate and a fortunate .260 BABIP. However, Garcia's ERA inched up as a result of a few more homers and a drop in strikeout rate. His xFIP and SIERA were almost the same in both seasons, suggesting the small differences were variance. There was some hope the Astros would tweak Garcia's five-pitch mix to help him achieve the next level. They still may, but at least last season Garcia's arsenal remained unchanged, with his cutter and slider doing most of the heavy lifting. Still just 26-years-old, there is time for Garcia to take the next step, even if it's just upping the 28 starts he's registered each of the past two seasons and pitching a little deeper, adding some frames onto last season's career high 157.1. The mid rotation floor is stable, with the potential of more. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#166
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Astros in April of 2020.
Reworks delivery
PHouston Astros
March 17, 2023
Major League Baseball forced Garcia to change his windup this offseason, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Garcia used a rocking motion with his arms during his windup in past seasons, but he has been forced to eliminate that as the league institutes a crackdown on deliveries that would be balks according to the letter of the rulebook. As a result, he shortened his windup and made it more compact. Garcia's results in the Cactus League have been positive to this point, as he's allowed only one earned run across five innings while maintaining a 5:1 K:BB.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
67
How many pitches does Luis Garcia generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Luis Garcia generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-35%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-81%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .256 631 146 45 148 32 5 26
Since 2020vs Right .193 688 187 57 120 27 1 17
2022vs Left .234 296 68 18 64 14 4 12
2022vs Right .213 347 89 29 67 13 0 11
2021vs Left .279 316 75 25 80 17 0 13
2021vs Right .182 317 92 25 52 14 1 6
2020vs Left .250 19 3 2 4 1 1 1
2020vs Right .048 24 6 3 1 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-93%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.55 1.07 165.0 17 9 0 9.8 2.1 1.3
Since 2020Away 3.41 1.22 158.1 9 8 0 8.7 3.6 1.1
2022Home 4.46 1.11 84.2 11 3 0 9.2 2.0 1.7
2022Away 2.85 1.16 72.2 4 5 0 8.7 3.5 0.9
2021Home 2.39 1.01 79.0 6 5 0 10.3 2.2 0.9
2021Away 4.24 1.34 76.1 5 3 0 9.1 3.7 1.3
2020Home 13.50 2.25 1.1 0 1 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2020Away 0.96 0.75 9.1 0 0 0 5.8 4.8 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luis Garcia compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.34
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
94.0 mph
 
ERA
3.72
 
WHIP
1.13
 
BABIP
.274
 
GB/FB
0.94
 
Left On Base
74.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2387 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%
 
Swinging Strike
13.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Garcia See More
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20 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Garcia's first full season in the majors copped him second place in the AL Rookie of the Year voting. Houston did a good job limiting his innings by delaying his debut and giving him extended rest on a handful of occasions. Missing most of the spring on COVID-19 protocol helped the cause early. Garcia tweaked his pitch mix to feature more cutters while his control improvement was buoyed by better location of his four-seam fastball. He employs a five-pitch mix and pitches for an organization adept at adjusting to maximize effectiveness, so there is a good chance Garcia continues to improve. Garcia's flyball rate is above average, but in his case it's beneficial with so many power-suppressing parks in the AL West and his solid K-BB% to minimize traffic. Assuming the Astros loosen the reins a bit, Garcia has a chance to be a fantasy rotation anchor.
The 24-year-old Venezuelan made his big-league debut last season and didn't look out of place despite never having pitched above High-A. Garcia's fastball has gained velocity since signing in 2017 and averaged 94 mph last season, with the kind of spin rate you'd expect from an Astros hurler, and minor-league reports from 2019 suggest he's capable of even more heat. He leaned on a changeup as his primary offspeed offering against lefties and a slider/cutter combo against righties, mixing in an occasional curveball, and the depth of his arsenal bodes well for his chances of starting down the road as opposed to winding up in the bullpen. His short-arm delivery might suggest otherwise, but the Astros have every incentive to keep developing him as a rotation option, with Zack Greinke and Lance McCullers both free agents after this year.
Among MiLB pitchers who threw at least 100 innings, Garcia ranked first in K% (38.1) and fourth in K-BB% (26.8). He was a bit of an unknown coming into the year, and while his performance was loud in 2019, he remains under the radar. Garcia signed as a 20-year-old for just $20,000 out of Venezuela in 2017. He has added fastball velocity each year, with his heater sitting in the mid-90s in 2019. His short arm action, shaky third-pitch changeup and 12.4 BB% at High-A lead many evaluators to peg him for a relief role, but he should continue developing as a starter as long as the results are promising. This is not a pop-up arm getting by solely on deception or one great offspeed pitch. Garcia has has a couple plus or better pitches and held lefties and righties to a sub-.600 OPS. It's possible he could take another step forward with his secondaries and his command this year.
More Fantasy News
Ends regular season on high note
PHouston Astros
October 2, 2022
Garcia (15-8) earned the win Sunday, allowing one run on three hits and one walk over six innings with four strikeouts in a 3-1 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises against Diamondbacks
PHouston Astros
September 27, 2022
Garcia (14-8) earned the win Tuesday, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over six innings against the Diamondbacks. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Tuesday vs. Arizona
PHouston Astros
September 27, 2022
Garcia will start Tuesday's game against the Diamondbacks, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Available in relief
PHouston Astros
September 25, 2022
Garcia is available out of the bullpen Sunday against the Orioles, Julia Morales of AT&T SportsNet Southwest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Status unclear
PHouston Astros
September 25, 2022
Garcia is not listed as a starter for next week's series against the Diamondbacks, Danielle Lerner of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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