Luis Garcia

Luis Garcia

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/24/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Garcia sat out all of last season while recovering from the Tommy John surgery he underwent in May of 2023, but he was facing live batters in September and should be fully healthy for spring training. The right-hander made just six starts in 2023 prior to the surgery, but he was a reliable rotation piece for Houston the two prior years with a 3.60 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 in 58 outings. Garcia seemed prime to take a step forward in his third full year as a starter, but the elbow injury cost him the past two seasons, and he may also have a limited workload in 2025. The 28-year-old should be a solid mid-tier starter given his track record, but there's no guarantees while coming off Tommy John surgery. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#410
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.88 million contract with the Astros in January of 2025.
Throws off mound
PHouston Astros
Elbow
May 24, 2025
Garcia (elbow) threw a bullpen session Saturday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
Saturday appears to be the first time Garcia has done any sort of mound work since he was shut down with elbow inflammation at the start of the season. While getting back to throwing bullpens is a major step forward, he's still likely several weeks away from beginning a rehab assignment.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2025 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2024 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-42%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-42%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .318 49 12 4 14 6 1 0
Since 2023vs Right .186 66 19 6 11 2 0 3
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .318 49 12 4 14 6 1 0
2023vs Right .186 66 19 6 11 2 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.24 1.24 17.0 1 2 0 10.6 2.6 1.1
Since 2023Away 3.60 1.40 10.0 1 0 0 9.9 4.5 0.9
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 4.24 1.24 17.0 1 2 0 10.6 2.6 1.1
2023Away 3.60 1.40 10.0 1 0 0 9.9 4.5 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Garcia See More
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Top Plays and Strategy for Thursday, May 29
Yesterday
Thursday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include young slugger James Wood as the Washington Nationals face the Seattle Mariners.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
6 days ago
The Jays and Rays carry a full slate of games while the Cubs should continue to impress offensively at home.
AL FAAB Factor: Fantasy Baseball Waiver Pickups of the Week
12 days ago
Finding the next big thing on the mound is always a top priority in fantasy leagues, which makes young hurlers like the Minnesota Twins' Zebby Matthews intriguing targets.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
13 days ago
There will be many MLB clubs on seven games this week, including a Rockies offense projected for lots of runs based on a full allotment of home matchups.
MLB DFS: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Sunday, May 11
19 days ago
Stack some lefty Nationals bats against Miles Mikolas for your Sunday FanDuel MLB DFS lineups.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Garcia's 2023 season was almost as quickly over as it began. The righty got off to a decent start with 31 strikeouts in 27 innings winning 2 of his first 6 decisions before he joined the long and distinguished list of elbow injuries last season. Garcia had his TJ surgery on May 19th which means we likely will not see him until the late stages of 2024, It is unfortunate as Garcia is a rather fascinating pitcher given his cutter is one of the toughest pitches in baseball on opposing hitters and hit has generated swings and misses over 40% of the time since he ramped up his usage of the pitch in 2021. Like most pitchers in this state, Garcia is an interesting end-game selection in keeper leagues for managers looking to play the fantasy long game, but should otherwise be an afterthought for reset leagues this season.
Garcia registered his second straight solid season with nearly identical surface stats. His WHIP was a tad lower due to a small dip in walk rate and a fortunate .260 BABIP. However, Garcia's ERA inched up as a result of a few more homers and a drop in strikeout rate. His xFIP and SIERA were almost the same in both seasons, suggesting the small differences were variance. There was some hope the Astros would tweak Garcia's five-pitch mix to help him achieve the next level. They still may, but at least last season Garcia's arsenal remained unchanged, with his cutter and slider doing most of the heavy lifting. Still just 26-years-old, there is time for Garcia to take the next step, even if it's just upping the 28 starts he's registered each of the past two seasons and pitching a little deeper, adding some frames onto last season's career high 157.1. The mid rotation floor is stable, with the potential of more.
Garcia's first full season in the majors copped him second place in the AL Rookie of the Year voting. Houston did a good job limiting his innings by delaying his debut and giving him extended rest on a handful of occasions. Missing most of the spring on COVID-19 protocol helped the cause early. Garcia tweaked his pitch mix to feature more cutters while his control improvement was buoyed by better location of his four-seam fastball. He employs a five-pitch mix and pitches for an organization adept at adjusting to maximize effectiveness, so there is a good chance Garcia continues to improve. Garcia's flyball rate is above average, but in his case it's beneficial with so many power-suppressing parks in the AL West and his solid K-BB% to minimize traffic. Assuming the Astros loosen the reins a bit, Garcia has a chance to be a fantasy rotation anchor.
The 24-year-old Venezuelan made his big-league debut last season and didn't look out of place despite never having pitched above High-A. Garcia's fastball has gained velocity since signing in 2017 and averaged 94 mph last season, with the kind of spin rate you'd expect from an Astros hurler, and minor-league reports from 2019 suggest he's capable of even more heat. He leaned on a changeup as his primary offspeed offering against lefties and a slider/cutter combo against righties, mixing in an occasional curveball, and the depth of his arsenal bodes well for his chances of starting down the road as opposed to winding up in the bullpen. His short-arm delivery might suggest otherwise, but the Astros have every incentive to keep developing him as a rotation option, with Zack Greinke and Lance McCullers both free agents after this year.
Among MiLB pitchers who threw at least 100 innings, Garcia ranked first in K% (38.1) and fourth in K-BB% (26.8). He was a bit of an unknown coming into the year, and while his performance was loud in 2019, he remains under the radar. Garcia signed as a 20-year-old for just $20,000 out of Venezuela in 2017. He has added fastball velocity each year, with his heater sitting in the mid-90s in 2019. His short arm action, shaky third-pitch changeup and 12.4 BB% at High-A lead many evaluators to peg him for a relief role, but he should continue developing as a starter as long as the results are promising. This is not a pop-up arm getting by solely on deception or one great offspeed pitch. Garcia has has a couple plus or better pitches and held lefties and righties to a sub-.600 OPS. It's possible he could take another step forward with his secondaries and his command this year.
More Fantasy News
Plays catch Tuesday
PHouston Astros
Elbow
April 22, 2025
Garcia (elbow) played catch at Daikin Park on Tuesday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Moved to 60-day IL
PHouston Astros
Elbow
April 7, 2025
The Astros transferred Garcia (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Shut down for four weeks
PHouston Astros
Elbow
April 3, 2025
Garcia will be shut down for four weeks after an MRI revealed right elbow inflammation, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Goes on IL
PHouston Astros
Elbow
March 27, 2025
The Astros placed Garcia (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Thursday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Seeking second opinion
PHouston Astros
Elbow
March 25, 2025
Garcia met with doctors Tuesday regarding his right elbow and will seek a second opinion, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Tommy John surgery
PHouston Astros
May 6, 2023
Garcia will undergo Tommy John surgery and will miss the rest of the 2023 season, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has been a pivotal member of the Astros rotation after making his debut in 2020, and his absence represents a massive blow for the defending World Series champions. The surgery means Garcia will miss a good chunk of the 2024 campaign as well.
See All MLB Rumors