Matt Chapman

29-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

Toronto Blue Jays

2022 Stats

AVG

.229

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

2022 was a mixed bag of fantasy success for Chapman. He made the adjustment from Oakland to Toronto, and an eight-percentage point reduction in his strikeout rate helped him raise his batting average 19 points last season. Yet, he still hit 14 points below the league average and simply replicated his home run total from the previous season when many were expecting a Rogers Centre boost to his homers away from O.co Coliseum. On the plus side, he once again avoided the IL as he has done for three of the past four seasons but even hitting .250 in a season appears to be a distant memory for him as he has not done so now in four seasons. He still makes excellent hard contact and could potentially benefit from the new shifting rules as his wOBA against the shift fell 103 points when he changed divisions. It would be foolish to expect a full rebound in that area as a well-positioned second baseman next to the bag still has a fighter's chance of stopping anything up the middle. He would hit higher in a less talented lineup as he did in Oakland, but that is not likely to happen in Toronto in 2023. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#154

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 215

DOB 4/28/1993

Born Victorville, CA

College Cal State Fullerton

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 OAK

Locking in at plate

3BToronto Blue Jays

March 18, 2023

Chapman went 1-for-3 with a double in Friday's split-squad game against the Phillies.

ANALYSIS
The third baseman seems to have found his timing at the plate, going 6-for-22 (.273) over his last eight games with three doubles and a 2:2 BB:K. Chapman's still looking for his first spring homer, but hitting for power hasn't been an issue for the 29-year-old during his career. With free agency looming next winter, Chapman has plenty of incentive to put together a big 2023 after posting a .757 OPS last year with 27 home runs and 76 RBI.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+5%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+2%

OPS vs RHP

2021

+20%

OPS vs LHP

2020

+31%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.774	349	53	19	44	3	.231	.315	.459
Since 2020vs Right	.736	1046	127	45	129	2	.217	.314	.422
2022vs Left	.747	118	17	4	12	0	.245	.322	.425
2022vs Right	.759	503	66	23	64	2	.225	.324	.435
2021vs Left	.806	208	31	14	30	3	.228	.317	.489
2021vs Right	.670	414	44	13	42	0	.201	.312	.358
2020vs Left	.642	23	5	1	2	0	.190	.261	.381
2020vs Right	.841	129	17	9	23	0	.240	.279	.562
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+5%

OPS at Home

2022

+19%

OPS at Home

2021

+24%

OPS on Road

2020

+58%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.763	690	90	36	88	2	.220	.316	.447
Since 2020Away	.729	705	90	28	85	3	.221	.312	.417
2022Home	.826	300	42	19	46	0	.240	.333	.492
2022Away	.693	321	41	8	30	2	.218	.315	.379
2021Home	.639	307	33	10	29	2	.185	.296	.342
2021Away	.791	315	42	17	43	1	.234	.330	.461
2020Home	.975	83	15	7	13	0	.273	.325	.649
2020Away	.617	69	7	3	12	0	.185	.217	.400
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Stat Review

How does Matt Chapman compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.40

BB Rate

11.0%

K Rate

27.4%

BABIP

.277

ISO

.204

AVG

.229

OBP

.324

SLG

.433

OPS

.757

wOBA

.333

Exit Velocity

92.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

40.2%

Barrels/PA

7.7%

Expected BA

.234

Expected SLG

.440

Sprint Speed

23.0 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

34.0%

Line Drive %

17.4%

Fly Ball %

48.5%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Chapman missed the second half of the abbreviated 2020 season after undergoing surgery to repair a torn hip labrum. While he continued to flourish defensively in 2021 -- he took home his third Rawlings Gold Glove at the hot corner -- his struggles on the other side of the ball make it hard to not wonder if he was still experiencing discomfort in his hip. After seeing his K% drop in both 2018 and 2019, Chapman endured ugly swing-and-miss numbers for the second year in a row. His 202 strikeouts set an Athletics franchise record and left him behind only Joey Gallo for the major-league lead. Despite his struggles making contact, however, Chapman was still able to log 27 home runs and a career-high 80 walks while slashing .210/.314/.403. Fantasy owners can expect the 28-year-old's elite defense to keep him in the lineup everyday, and if he's able to cut down substantially on his strikeout numbers, Chapman still possesses an offensive ceiling that could be worth taking a flyer on in 2022.

If defense was a category in standard mixed leagues, Chapman could be a top-20 selection. Even without the glove, there is so much to like about him at the plate. He does not hit for a high average, but when he puts a ball in play, it comes off his bat hot. His batted-ball metrics in 2020 were near the top of the league in terms of hard contact, but something was off. His strikeout rate had improved every season from 2017-2019, but it spiked in 2020 in a big way, jumping from 21.9% to 35.5%. That, coupled with a plunge in his walk rate, showed something was not right, and then we learned Chapman was going to shut it down early to have hip labrum surgery in September. Players who recently had the same surgery include Troy Tulowitzki (2014), Mark Canha (2016), Nick Ahmed (2016) and Buster Posey (2018). Check out their subsequent seasons as you decide where you want to draft Chapman in 2021.

Chapman burnished his reputation as one of the sport's top two-way talents in 2019, popping 36 homers and claiming his second Platinum Glove. The 26-year-old may have already reached his peak defensively, but fortunately for fantasy purposes, there's reason to think his best is yet to come on the offensive side. Though Chapman took steps forward in terms of isolated power (.257) and plate discipline (career-best 21.9 K% and 11.1 BB%), a 29-point drop in batting average from 2018 kept him from being a top-10 fantasy option at the loaded third-base position. Chapman's elite exit velocity and hard-hit rate offer hope for a turnaround in BABIP, but he'll still likely need to trade more groundballs for line drives before he becomes a trusted annual batting-average asset. Even if that never comes to fruition, Chapman's plate skills as is make him eminently valuable and give him a high floor in three categories.

One of the league's best defenders, Chapman built on the offensive skills he teased during his 84-game big-league debut in 2017, increasing his batting average, OBP and SLG all by at least 30 points. He cut his K% from 28.2 to 23.7 and maintained a walk rate above 9%. While hitting second for his final 57 games of the season, he rolled to the tune of a .294/.354/.563 line over 254 plate appearances. Chapman held several prominent spots on the 2018 Statcast leaderboards, highlighted by an eighth-place finish in average exit velocity (93.0 mph). He underwent left thumb surgery in October and shoulder surgery in December, but the expectation is that he will be fine for spring training. As long as his March tune-ups look normal, Chapman should end up a bargain in mixed leagues, but expect the price to climb in AL-only, where playing time with Chapman's stability will command a surcharge.

Many of the skills that Chapman showcased in Oakland's farm system were on display during his first year in the majors. He was solid defensively, helping turn 34 double plays, ranking fourth among American League third basemen. The power translated, as Chapman finished the year with 14 home runs, 23 doubles and two triples (.472 slugging percentage) in just over a half-season's worth of games (84). He also walked at a strong 9.8 percent clip. Strikeouts hindered what could have been a great showing; Chapman struck out in 28.2 percent of his plate appearances, which was in line with what he'd done at Double-A Midland and Triple-A Sacramento where his K-rates always hung around the 30.0 percent mark. His defensive ability should keep Chapman at the hot corner close to every day in 2018. It'd be nice to see him cut down on strikeouts, but there's enough here already to like Chapman as a low-cost corner infield option.

Chapman has done almost all of his damage at Stockton, a park notorious for artificially boosting the stock of hitting prospects, and Midland, which also favors hitters. He sold out for power at Double-A, posting a 29.2 percent strikeout rate, and was even more power-hungry after a brief promotion to Triple-A, notching just a 101 wRC+ despite hitting seven home runs in 18 games. This is not the first time an A's hitting prospect has boosted their stock at High-A and Double-A, but Renato Nunez and Matt Olson, for instance, are younger, have reached the big leagues, and have shown the ability to make contact at an acceptable clip in the upper levels of the minors. Chapman has more raw power than those two, but he may also have the worst hit tool of the three. Unless he can close some of the holes in his swing, Chapman seems destined to occupy the short side of a platoon. With Ryon Healy's emergence, that may come in right field or at DH.

Chapman was the A's first-round selection in 2014, and that pick started paying dividends in 2015, as he slugged 23 homers at High-A Stockton in only 304 at-bats. Chapman greatly improved his walk rate from 3.5% in 2014 to 11.1% in 2015 while keeping his strikeouts stable. His ISO of .316 was extremely promising and most scouting reports rave about his raw power. Chapman projects to be a solid third baseman on defense and possesses a gigantic arm — he actually pitched at Cal State Fullerton and threw in the mid-90s. He was scheduled to play in the 2015 Arizona Fall League, but a lingering wrist injury caused him to skip it. Assuming the wrist is healed by the spring, Chapman will probably begin the season in Double-A with his likely debut in Oakland coming in 2017.

Chapman was the A's first-round pick in 2014 out of Cal State Fullerton. The third baseman received 207 professional at-bats in 2014, mostly at Low-A Beloit, where he hit only .246 with five homers. His plate discipline still needs to be refined, as he struck out 47 times in 2014 while only walking eight times. There was some concern about the amount of swing-and-miss in Chapman's approach entering the draft, but he could become a good right-handed bat in time. If Chapman fails to stick as a position player, he could eventually surface as a late-inning reliever, as he touches 98 mph with his fastball. As a position player, Chapman profiles as a gap power hitter with solid bat speed and a cannon of an arm at the hot corner. He could move through the system reasonably quickly if he puts the contact concerns to rest, and the A's are likely to assign him to High-A Stockton to begin 2015.

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