2023 Stats
AVG
.281
HR
6
RBI
35
R
41
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe had a surprisingly terrific fantasy season in his second full season at the major leagues setting career highs nearly across the board. The .302 batting average was a huge surprise given he is not the quickest of players, but 19 infield hits on mostly weakly hit balls against the shift certainly helped push his batting average up this season. He also finally showed more consistent loft in his swing, and while he still has a 1.5:1 grounder to flyball ratio, that is an improvement over the 2.0 level he was living at in previous seasons. He has always been an excellent hitter when ahead in the count, but 2022 was the first time he wasn't futile when down in the count. Lowe hit .281 in such situations this past season going .179 in such situations previously. If you are banking on him hitting near .300 again, factor in that data point as well as the infield hits with the shifting rules changing. Draft for run production and level set your batting average projections a tercile lower. Read Past Outlooks
Two hits to extend streak
Lowe went 2-for-4 with a walk, double and run scored in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Lowe extended a hit streak to six games with a first-inning single. He later doubled and now is 12-for-23 (.522) with four walks, three doubles and seven runs scored during that stretch. The 27-year-old is putting together another fine season and ranks fifth in MLB among first basemen with 1.4 fWAR.
Lowe extended a hit streak to six games with a first-inning single. He later doubled and now is 12-for-23 (.522) with four walks, three doubles and seven runs scored during that stretch. The 27-year-old is putting together another fine season and ranks fifth in MLB among first basemen with 1.4 fWAR.
Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
40
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
17
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
Even Split
2023
+27%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .811 | 507 | 15 | 58 | .295 | ||||
| Since 2021vs Right | .809 | 1038 | 36 | 125 | .277 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .675 | 89 | 1 | 10 | .247 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .857 | 169 | 5 | 25 | .298 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | .920 | 211 | 10 | 29 | .330 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | .817 | 434 | 17 | 47 | .288 | ||||
| 2021vs Left | .754 | 207 | 4 | 19 | .277 | ||||
| 2021vs Right | .780 | 435 | 14 | 53 | .257 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
+8%
OPS on Road
2023
+18%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | .776 | 747 | 22 | 83 | .277 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | .840 | 798 | 29 | 100 | .289 | ||||
| 2023Home | .872 | 114 | 4 | 19 | .293 | ||||
| 2023Away | .736 | 144 | 2 | 16 | .271 | ||||
| 2022Home | .778 | 314 | 10 | 27 | .280 | ||||
| 2022Away | .919 | 331 | 17 | 49 | .322 | ||||
| 2021Home | .740 | 319 | 8 | 37 | .268 | ||||
| 2021Away | .803 | 323 | 10 | 35 | .260 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Nathaniel Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.54BB Rate
10.7%K Rate
19.8%BABIP
.331ISO
.149AVG
.275OBP
.353SLG
.423OPS
.777wOBA
.342Exit Velocity
90.1 mphHard Hit Rate
35.6%Barrels/PA
4.4%Expected BA
.275Expected SLG
.428Sprint Speed
23.7 ft/secGround Ball %
49.4%Line Drive %
22.4%Fly Ball %
28.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nathaniel Lowe See More
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Chris Morgan details a hitter who's been more than a big bat this season and continues to be undervalued in DFS.
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Chris Morgan likes Austin Riley at his surprisingly inexpensive salary to help lead his Friday FanDuel lineups.
Chris Morgan backs Yordan Alvarez to lead his Sunday Yahoo lineups against James Kaprielian and the Athletics.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
In Lowe's first full MLB season, his output was acceptable. The 18 homers were disappointing from a first baseman, but he contributed eight steals after stealing five total in his five previous seasons. Hitting the ball hard is not the issue, with most of his Statcast hard-hit metrics in the league's top 25%. Instead, his power production will be limited if he continues to post a 55 GB%, a number that kept ballooning as the season went on (59.4 GB% in the second half, 62.8% in September). On the other hand, he did show a nice improvement in his plate discipline with his walk rate up and his strikeouts down from 36.8% to 25.2%. He's sort of morphing into an Eric Hosmer clone. His profile has been bouncing around, so it's tough to get a read on his future value. There is some hope for upside if he raises his launch angle and becomes more of a 30-homer hitter. Roster him late if you want but be ready to move on quickly if changes don't come.
More Fantasy News
Doubles twice in three-hit effort
Lowe went 3-for-5 with two doubles and a run scored in Sunday's 13-3 win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Swats fifth homer
Lowe went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional RBI in Saturday's victory over the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Extends hit streak
Lowe went 1-for-4 with a triple in Thursday's 4-0 win over Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Joins home run barrage Sunday
Lowe went 1-for-2 with a two-run homer, two walks and three runs scored in Sunday's 15-2 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Homers Tuesday
Lowe went 2-for-5 with a double, a home run and an additional run scored in Tuesday's loss to the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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