Ranger Suarez

Ranger Suarez

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Suarez remained a perfectly serviceable mid-rotation option for the Phillies last season, though he did see his ERA jump over half a run from 3.65 to 4.18. His ERA estimators generally showed a more modest change, as a jump in strikeout rate from 19.5 percent to 22.0 percent helped offset a drop in groundball rate from 55.4 percent to 48.5 percent. A roughly average number of strikeouts and walks alongside a healthy diet of grounders has been the formula throughout Suarez's career, and there's little reason to doubt that will continue in 2024, health permitting. Elbow issues delayed his 2023 debut until mid-May and limited him to 22 starts, but he remained on the mound the rest of the way outside of a brief bout of hamstring soreness in late August. Suarez capped the year with his second consecutive excellent postseason, producing a 1.93 ERA across four starts. He's now a big-game pitcher and a locked-in starter for a contender, but his fantasy value is held back by the fact that his groundball-heavy profile leads to modest strikeout totals and an elevated WHIP (1.42 last season). Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#262
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.05 million contract with the Phillies in January of 2024.
Tapped for Game 4 start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
October 7, 2024
Suarez will start Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Mets, Gabriella Galati of 6 ABC in Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
Suarez held a 5.65 ERA in eight starts after the All-Star break and missed time with a back injury. Phillies manager Rob Thomson no doubt will have a short leash with the left-hander in Game 4. Suarez will be opposed by Jose Quintana.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Ranger Suarez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ranger Suarez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .224 340 71 11 72 21 3 6
Since 2022vs Right .259 1488 322 136 346 76 4 36
2024vs Left .259 118 28 3 29 8 1 3
2024vs Right .240 508 117 38 111 24 1 11
2023vs Left .218 93 19 3 19 6 2 1
2023vs Right .278 447 100 45 110 20 1 12
2022vs Left .197 129 24 5 24 7 0 2
2022vs Right .263 533 105 53 125 32 2 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-29%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-25%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.42 1.40 197.1 10 9 0 8.4 3.3 1.0
Since 2022Away 3.16 1.24 233.2 16 12 0 8.0 2.9 0.8
2024Home 3.55 1.27 66.0 5 2 0 8.5 2.3 0.8
2024Away 3.40 1.15 84.2 7 6 0 8.8 2.6 0.9
2023Home 5.45 1.41 66.0 1 3 0 9.7 3.7 1.2
2023Away 2.75 1.42 59.0 3 3 0 7.3 3.2 0.6
2022Home 4.27 1.52 65.1 4 4 0 7.2 3.9 0.8
2022Away 3.20 1.20 90.0 6 3 0 7.7 3.0 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ranger Suarez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.54
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
91.2 mph
 
ERA
3.46
 
WHIP
1.20
 
BABIP
.310
 
GB/FB
2.39
 
Left On Base
73.1%
 
Exit Velocity
80.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.6%
 
Spin Rate
1886 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.4%
 
Swinging Strike
9.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
In his first full season in the rotation, Suarez started 29 games as a 15-day visit to the IL for back spasms cost him three outings. Regression was expected, though the landing point was unclear due to the extreme nature of the 2021 breakout. He was unable to maintain last season's skills as his strikeout rate fell six points to 19.5% while his walk rate ticked up to 8.8%. After throwing a sinker, four-seamer and changeup with the occasional slider the previous season, Suarez added a cutter and curve. None were as effective as in 2021, though the new curve shows promise with a 17.7% swinging strike rate. With a regular offseason to tweak his arsenal, Suarez could recapture some of his swing-and-miss, while an extreme groundball rate limits homers, hence guarding ERA. Suarez as a starter is still a work in progress, but the pieces are there to be a mixed league asset, especially in a streaming capacity.
If MLB had a Most Improved Player Award, Suarez may well have won it last season. He was coming off a season lost almost entirely to COVID-19 and owned a career 4.66 ERA in 67.2 innings, most of which came in relief, and he didn't even crack the big-league roster until May. After some strong initial performances, he was temporarily elevated to the closer role and saved four games before the Phillies decided he was needed even more in the rotation. He closed the year with 12 starts and finished with a remarkable 1.36 ERA in 106 innings. Suarez isn't the second coming of Bob Gibson, so he didn't truly earn an ERA quite that low, but his peripherals indicate he should remain a well above-average pitcher going forward. He was better than average in both strikeout rate (25.6%) and walk rate (7.9%) while posting a very strong groundball rate (59.2%, third among pitchers who threw at least 100 innings). Due to the lockout, visa issues may prevent Suarez from being ready for Opening Day.
Suarez looked like a strong relief option in 2019, posting a 3.14 ERA in 48.2 innings, but his 2020 season was unfortunately almost a complete write-off. He battled COVID-19 during summer camp and wasn't deemed ready to join the big-league roster until the final day of August. Three poor outings later, he was sent right back to the team's alternate training site, and he didn't pitch again the rest of the way. He finished the year with an unsightly 20.25 ERA and 3.50 WHIP, though the sample size is far too small to draw any meaningful conclusions. We're probably best served looking back to 2019 when assessing Suarez's future. He posted a below-average 20.5 K% that season but made up for it with a 5.9 BB% and a 55.1% groundball rate. That's not a high-leverage reliever by any means, but it should be enough to keep him in the big leagues, either as a left-handed relief weapon or a swingman.
There weren't many pleasant surprises on the Phillies' pitching staff in 2019, but Suarez was one of them. Despite a 5.68 ERA in seven starts for Triple-A Lehigh Valley, Suarez got the call to the big-league bullpen in early June and spent all but three days on the roster the rest of the way. In 48.2 innings at the highest level, he posted a strong 3.14 ERA. The lefty doesn't exactly have the profile of a pitcher one would expect to improve drastically out of the bullpen; he has unimpressive velocity (92.8 mph) but good control (5.9 BB%) and used two secondary pitches (a slider and a changeup) at least 20% of the time. The performance looks largely legitimate, however, backed up by a 3.89 FIP and a 3.64 xFIP. His strikeout rate remained modest at 20.5%, but Suarez is now one of the top lefties in the bullpen, and as such should earn double-digit holds for the first time.
Suarez reached the majors for the first time in 2018, making three starts and one relief appearance and finishing with a 5.40 ERA in 15 innings. He had considerably more success with Triple-A Lehigh Valley, posting a 2.74 ERA in nine starts, though his 15.1% strikeout rate and 7.3% walk rate at that level weren’t far off from his marks in the big leagues. As a soft-tossing lefty without a standout secondary pitch, his future is likely as a back-end starter, a specialist reliever or perhaps one of those new-fangled “bulk innings” types. He’s likely to spend much of the 2019 season in the minors unless the Phillies suffer a major injury crisis or his stuff takes an unexpected step forward. Such a step can’t be ruled out given his age, but fantasy owners can safely wait for him to show signs of a breakout before giving him much thought.
More Fantasy News
Hit hard by Nats
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 27, 2024
Suarez (12-8) took the loss Friday against Washington, allowing six runs on seven hits and two walks over two innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 22, 2024
Suarez came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 6-3 loss to the Mets, giving up two runs on five hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three runs in loss
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 16, 2024
Suarez (12-7) took the loss against the Brewers on Monday, allowing three runs on four hits and three walks with five strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up 12 hits
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 10, 2024
Suarez didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 9-4 win over Tampa Bay, allowing four runs on 12 hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Scoreless start leads to 12th win
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 6, 2024
Suarez (12-6) picked up the win Thursday, allowing three hits and two walks over five scoreless innings against the Marlins. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Dangled in trade talks
PPhiladelphia Phillies
November 22, 2024
The Phillies have gauged trade interest in Suarez, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Suarez is coming off a terrific 2024 campaign, having posted a 3.46 ERA and 145:41 K:BB across 150.2 regular-season frames. He stumbled to a 5.65 ERA after the All-Star break, however, while missing time with a back injury. Suarez, 29, is projected to make around $9 million in his final year of arbitration eligibility.
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