2023 Stats
W-L
2-2
ERA
5.37
WHIP
1.44
K
37
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#502
ADP
Picks up second win
Nelson (2-2) earned the win over Colorado on Monday, allowing five runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out one batter over five innings.
ANALYSIS
Nelson was far from impressive Monday, as he struck out only one batter and notched just three whiffs. To his credit, he managed to hang around for five frames after giving up four runs over the first two innings, and an Arizona offensive surge put him in line for his first win in his last nine outings. Nelson had allowed just one run and four hits over his past 11.1 frames coming into the contest, but his overall 5.37 ERA on the campaign makes him a risky start in fantasy.
Nelson was far from impressive Monday, as he struck out only one batter and notched just three whiffs. To his credit, he managed to hang around for five frames after giving up four runs over the first two innings, and an Arizona offensive surge put him in line for his first win in his last nine outings. Nelson had allowed just one run and four hits over his past 11.1 frames coming into the contest, but his overall 5.37 ERA on the campaign makes him a risky start in fantasy.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2023
-25%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .292 | 21 | 17 | 38 | 6 | |||
| Since 2021vs Right | .230 | 32 | 6 | 35 | 4 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .337 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .254 | 25 | 2 | 31 | 3 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .156 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .133 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2021vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2021vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-47%
ERA on Road
2023
-44%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | 5.57 | 1.45 | 42.0 | 5.8 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | 2.97 | 1.08 | 33.1 | 7.0 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 6.75 | 1.63 | 30.2 | 5.3 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.76 | 1.22 | 26.1 | 6.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.38 | 0.97 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0.00 | 0.57 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| 2021Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2021Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.06K/9
5.8BB/9
2.8HR/9
1.3Fastball
94.4 mphERA
5.37WHIP
1.44BABIP
.312GB/FB
1.29Left On Base
66.4%Exit Velocity
83.4 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2243 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.7%Swinging Strike
8.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Quality start in Tuesday's win
Nelson didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 4-3 win over the Phillies, allowing one run on three hits over six innings. He struck out four without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Shines with six strikeouts
Nelson did not factor into the decision Wednesday, as he did not surrender a run while allowing one hit and four walks over 5.1 innings in a 5-3 victory over the Athletics. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Turns in shaky outing
Nelson did not factor into the decision Friday, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk over 4.2 innings against San Francisco. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Decent in no-decision
Nelson allowed three runs (two earned) on seven hits and a walk while striking out three over five innings versus the Nationals on Sunday. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up by Rockies
Nelson (1-2) took the loss Sunday, allowing six runs on nine hits and one walk over four innings against Colorado. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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