2024 Stats
W-L
7-6
ERA
4.85
WHIP
1.41
K
70
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson worked as a back-end starter for Arizona in 2023, but it was an underwhelming rookie campaign with a 5.31 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 96:46 K:BB across 144 innings. His 7.4 percent walk rate was solid and consistent with his time in the minors, but he had a 15.5 percent strikeout rate and a 1.5 HR/9. He still made the postseason roster and had a minimal role prior to the World Series, when he allowed just one run over 5.1 frames of valuable long relief in Game 4. Despite that strong finish, Nelson likely won't enter 2024 with any guarantee for a rotation spot, especially since Arizona made additions in free agency. However, the right-hander still has plenty of upside and was encouragingly less reliant on his fastball last season, and he could be a solid back-end piece in 2024 if he's able to better utilize his secondary offerings. Read Past Outlooks
Struggles in no-decision
Nelson did not factor into the decision in a win over the Royals on Wednesday, allowing four runs on nine hits and two walks over six innings while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
Nelson got knocked around throughout the contest, allowing multiple baserunners in five of his six innings of work. Three of the four runs he was charged with came across in the fourth after the right-hander surrendered a leadoff double to Michael Massey to open the frame before allowing him to advance to third on a wild pitch. Nelson had not permitted more than three runs in any of his previous four starts this month, while his two strikeouts marked his lowest total since June 20 against Washington. He still holds a 2.97 ERA in July after Wednesday's start and hasn't suffered a loss since June 26 against Minnesota.
Nelson got knocked around throughout the contest, allowing multiple baserunners in five of his six innings of work. Three of the four runs he was charged with came across in the fourth after the right-hander surrendered a leadoff double to Michael Massey to open the frame before allowing him to advance to third on a wild pitch. Nelson had not permitted more than three runs in any of his previous four starts this month, while his two strikeouts marked his lowest total since June 20 against Washington. He still holds a 2.97 ERA in July after Wednesday's start and hasn't suffered a loss since June 26 against Minnesota.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-23%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .269 | 82 | 47 | 132 | 17 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .288 | 100 | 29 | 151 | 19 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .254 | 31 | 12 | 50 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .330 | 39 | 12 | 65 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .294 | 42 | 33 | 77 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 54 | 13 | 82 | 15 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .156 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .133 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-50%
ERA on Road
2024
-38%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 6.85 | 1.69 | 109.0 | 5.8 | 3.1 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.44 | 1.15 | 151.2 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.21 | 1.57 | 42.0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.83 | 1.30 | 56.1 | 6.4 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 8.25 | 1.92 | 55.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.46 | 1.11 | 88.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.38 | 0.97 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0.00 | 0.57 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.92K/9
6.4BB/9
2.2HR/9
0.9Fastball
95.0 mphERA
4.85WHIP
1.41BABIP
.336GB/FB
1.40Left On Base
67.2%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2229 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%Swinging Strike
8.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity.
More Fantasy News
Excellent in seventh win
Nelson (7-6) earned the win Friday over the Cubs, allowing one run on three hits and two walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Set to start opener versus Cubs
Nelson will start Arizona's series opener on the road against the Cubs on Friday, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Steady in no-decision
Nelson allowed three runs on five hits and struck out five without walking a batter over seven innings in a no-decision versus the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises by Padres
Nelson (6-6) got the win over the Padres on Sunday, allowing one run on three hits and a walk while striking out five over 6.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well Tuesday
Nelson allowed one run on six hits and a walk while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision versus the Dodgers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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