Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
Out
Injury Lat
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
What...was...that? Rogers was one of the more wide awake sleepers heading into the 2022 draft season who many targeted in the late rounds after watching his growth in 2021 only to watch him aggressively backslide statistically in 2022 in many areas. His K-BB% dropped 40% while he specialized in filling the basepaths either by hits (.278) or walk rate (9%) and the first half splits were as poor as the second half splits. He allowed just 1 homer and a .194 average to lefties on the seasons while righties sprinted to the bat rack to hit 14 homers off him with a .298 average. Over three seasons, he has 14 quality starts in 55 career starts (25% rate) showing the risks with taking his upside too early in a draft. We cannot pretend 2021 is the real deal when 2020 and 2022 happened as well because the both sample sizes happened in nearly the same amount of innings. The biggest difference in the two samples was how well his fastball performed in 2021 when he most pitched up in the count (.222 avg; .334 SLG) vs 2022 when he was behind too often (.312 avg; .553 SLG.) Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a contract with the Marlins in June of 2017.
Officially placed on injured list
PMiami Marlins
Lat
September 22, 2022
Rogers was placed on the 15-day injured list with a left lat strain Thursday, retroactive to Sept. 19, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Rogers has already been ruled out for the remainder of the season due to a Grade 1 lat strain, so his move to the injured list was expected. However, the southpaw should be able to have a relatively normal offseason program since his strain isn't considered particularly severe. Braxton Garrett was called up Thursday and could take Rogers' place in the starting rotation.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
75
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .235 286 85 37 57 14 1 1
Since 2020vs Right .253 870 217 67 198 62 0 25
2022vs Left .194 111 33 13 19 5 1 1
2022vs Right .298 366 73 32 97 30 0 14
2021vs Left .259 133 39 17 29 5 0 0
2021vs Right .206 417 118 29 78 26 0 6
2020vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
2020vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.80 1.42 114.1 5 11 0 10.7 3.3 0.9
Since 2020Away 3.63 1.28 153.2 7 10 0 9.7 3.6 0.8
2022Home 5.94 1.51 53.0 2 6 0 10.2 3.1 1.4
2022Away 5.00 1.50 54.0 2 5 0 7.7 4.5 1.2
2021Home 2.77 1.23 55.1 3 4 0 11.1 3.6 0.3
2021Away 2.55 1.09 77.2 4 4 0 10.3 2.8 0.5
2020Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
2020Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.36
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
94.6 mph
 
ERA
5.47
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.340
 
GB/FB
1.34
 
Left On Base
65.7%
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2049 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers
2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Way Too Early Top 300 Draft Ranks
50 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
75 days ago
Pitching remains Jan Levine's focus for the final week of September.
Mound Musings: The 2022 Pitching Awards Issue
78 days ago
Brad Johnson reveals his 2022 Pitching Awards, with Dylan Cease earning Pitcher of the Year honors.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Juli-Oh No
80 days ago
Jeff Stotts looks at some key injury situations in the waning days of the regular season, including back woes for Mariners rookie phenom Julio Rodriguez.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Cease Tops a Busy Week
83 days ago
Two-start pitchers fill eight of the top nine spots in Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings, but Jacob deGrom earns a spot near the top despite being scheduled for just one start.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2018
Ugly 2020 surface stats masked interesting skills and made Rogers a sleeper pick for many heading into the 2021 season. Those who took the chance were handsomely rewarded. Rogers posted a sparkling 2.64 ERA over 25 starts, and his 28.5 K% was backed up by a 14.1 SwStr% (12th in MLB, min. 120 innings). The lefty comfortably sits in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball and pulls the string on his changeup about a quarter of the time. The league flailed at the change, batting a combined .193 with one homer and 47 strikeouts against the pitch. His third offering -- the slider -- had a whiff rate north of 40%, per Statcast, and further development of that pitch could propel Rogers toward the top of the SP rankings. Even as is, he's more than capable as a starter, and the cozy confines of Marlins Park help his cause. Thankfully the "sleeper" label still sort of applies despite the breakout already happening.
Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game.
Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Ruled out for season
PMiami Marlins
Lat
September 19, 2022
Rogers is dealing with a Grade 1 lat strain and will be shut down for the remainder of the season, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Dealing with lat issue
PMiami Marlins
Lat
September 17, 2022
Rogers' early exit Saturday against the Nationals was due to left lat discomfort, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Departs with apparent injury
PMiami Marlins
Undisclosed
September 17, 2022
Rogers exited Saturday's start against the Nationals in the bottom of the second inning due to an apparent injury, Andrew Golden of the Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans nine in quality start
PMiami Marlins
September 12, 2022
Rogers didn't factor into the decision in the first game of Monday's doubleheader against the Rangers, giving up two runs on four hits and two walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans eight in loss
PMiami Marlins
September 7, 2022
Rogers (4-11) took the loss against Philadelphia on Wednesday, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks while striking out eight batters over six innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.