15-Day IL
Injury Biceps
Est. Return 6/9/2023
2023 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.22
K
19
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
What...was...that? Rogers was one of the more wide awake sleepers heading into the 2022 draft season who many targeted in the late rounds after watching his growth in 2021 only to watch him aggressively backslide statistically in 2022 in many areas. His K-BB% dropped 40% while he specialized in filling the basepaths either by hits (.278) or walk rate (9%) and the first half splits were as poor as the second half splits. He allowed just 1 homer and a .194 average to lefties on the seasons while righties sprinted to the bat rack to hit 14 homers off him with a .298 average. Over three seasons, he has 14 quality starts in 55 career starts (25% rate) showing the risks with taking his upside too early in a draft. We cannot pretend 2021 is the real deal when 2020 and 2022 happened as well because the both sample sizes happened in nearly the same amount of innings. The biggest difference in the two samples was how well his fastball performed in 2021 when he most pitched up in the count (.222 avg; .334 SLG) vs 2022 when he was behind too often (.312 avg; .553 SLG.) Read Past Outlooks
Set for rehab assignment
Rogers (biceps) is beginning a rehab assignment Tuesday with Single-A Jupiter, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
The plan calls for Rogers to go around four innings in what will be his first live appearance since he was placed on the injured list April 21 with a left biceps strain. The 25-year-old is likely to require multiple minor-league outings, but he could be an option again for the Marlins' rotation by mid-June.
The plan calls for Rogers to go around four innings in what will be his first live appearance since he was placed on the injured list April 21 with a left biceps strain. The 25-year-old is likely to require multiple minor-league outings, but he could be an option again for the Marlins' rotation by mid-June.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-15%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .227 | 77 | 31 | 51 | 1 | |||
| Since 2021vs Right | .248 | 205 | 66 | 188 | 22 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .200 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .194 | 33 | 13 | 19 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .298 | 73 | 32 | 97 | 14 | |||
| 2021vs Left | .259 | 39 | 17 | 29 | 0 | |||
| 2021vs Right | .206 | 118 | 29 | 78 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-14%
ERA on Road
2023
-42%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | 4.22 | 1.35 | 121.2 | 10.5 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | 3.63 | 1.26 | 136.1 | 9.2 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.38 | 1.20 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.79 | 1.29 | 4.2 | 9.6 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2022Home | 5.94 | 1.51 | 53.0 | 10.2 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 5.00 | 1.50 | 54.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | ||||
| 2021Home | 2.77 | 1.23 | 55.1 | 11.1 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2021Away | 2.55 | 1.09 | 77.2 | 10.3 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.17K/9
9.5BB/9
3.0HR/9
1.0Fastball
93.0 mphERA
4.00WHIP
1.22BABIP
.306GB/FB
1.63Left On Base
67.7%Exit Velocity
79.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2086 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
18.2%Swinging Strike
11.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2018
Ugly 2020 surface stats masked interesting skills and made Rogers a sleeper pick for many heading into the 2021 season. Those who took the chance were handsomely rewarded. Rogers posted a sparkling 2.64 ERA over 25 starts, and his 28.5 K% was backed up by a 14.1 SwStr% (12th in MLB, min. 120 innings). The lefty comfortably sits in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball and pulls the string on his changeup about a quarter of the time. The league flailed at the change, batting a combined .193 with one homer and 47 strikeouts against the pitch. His third offering -- the slider -- had a whiff rate north of 40%, per Statcast, and further development of that pitch could propel Rogers toward the top of the SP rankings. Even as is, he's more than capable as a starter, and the cozy confines of Marlins Park help his cause. Thankfully the "sleeper" label still sort of applies despite the breakout already happening.
More Fantasy News
Rehab assignment starting soon
Rogers (biceps) is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Jupiter starting next week, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will throw again Thursday
Rogers (biceps) is scheduled to throw three innings in an extended spring training game Thursday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing bullpen this weekend
Rogers (biceps) will throw a 35-pitch bullpen session some time this weekend at the Marlins' spring training facility, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Begins throwing program
Rogers (biceps) will begin a throwing program Friday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Few weeks from throwing
Marlins manager Skip Schumaker said Tuesday that Rogers (biceps) is still a few weeks away from beginning a throwing program, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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