Tyler Mahle

Tyler Mahle

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Texas Rangers
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 8/2/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Mahle made just five starts for the Twins before hurting his elbow and needing Tommy John surgery. He still landed a two-year, $22 million deal with the Rangers and could join that rotation late this season. Mahle was off to a strong start prior to the injury, producing a 3.16 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 28 strikeouts over 25.2 innings in five starts. He made just two starts for the Twins in 2022 after a trade from the Reds, missing the second half of the season with a shoulder injury. The Twins got just seven starts in return for Spencer Steer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Steven Hajjar. Mahle won't turn 30 until next September, and his 9.5 K/9 and 105 ERA+ over the last two seasons show he can still be a rotation staple. Joining the reigning World Series champions gives him an opportunity to compile wins with strong defense and run support, but first he has to make a full recovery. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#405
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $22 million contract with the Rangers in December of 2023.
Strikes out five in ACL start
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
July 17, 2024
Mahle (elbow) struck out five and allowed one hit and one walk over 2.2 scoreless innings during his rehab start Monday in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League.
ANALYSIS
Mahle had made his previous two rehab starts at Double-A Frisco, but he shifted his assignment to the ACL this week while all of the Rangers' full-season affiliates are off due to the All-Star break. The right-hander has looked strong thus far in his first three minor-league outings coming back from his May 2023 Tommy John surgery. He has yet to let in a run over 6.2 innings and built his pitch count up to 45 on Monday. Mahle will likely shift his assignment back to a higher-level affiliate over the weekend and will presumably need at least two or three more minor-league outings to get fully stretched out before he becomes a realistic option for the Rangers' rotation.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-56%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .183 295 78 28 48 10 3 7
Since 2022vs Right .273 310 76 20 78 15 0 14
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .128 40 11 1 5 1 0 2
2023vs Right .293 62 17 4 17 3 0 3
2022vs Left .192 255 67 27 43 9 3 5
2022vs Right .268 248 59 16 61 12 0 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.45 1.26 89.0 2 6 0 9.2 3.1 1.5
Since 2022Away 3.77 1.08 57.1 5 4 0 9.9 2.7 0.9
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 3.31 0.86 16.1 0 1 0 8.8 0.6 1.7
2023Away 2.89 1.39 9.1 1 1 0 11.6 3.9 1.9
2022Home 4.71 1.35 72.2 2 5 0 9.3 3.7 1.5
2022Away 3.94 1.02 48.0 4 3 0 9.6 2.4 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler Mahle See More
Farm Futures: Draft Preview + Midseason Mailbag
23 days ago
James Anderson gives a sneak peek at where the top MLB Draft prospects like Georgia's Charlie Condon will slot into his top 400 prospect rankings before answering a bevy of questions from subscribers!
Farm Futures: Updated Prospect Rankings Mailbag
112 days ago
James Anderson answers a bunch of subscriber questions about this week's big update to the top 400 prospect rankings, in which Red Sox tool shed Ceddanne Rafaela jumped into the top 20!
Spring Training Job Battles: AL West
136 days ago
The American League West features perhaps the biggest battle of all this spring: Wyatt Langford's quest to make the Rangers' Opening Day roster.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL West
155 days ago
Brad Johnson is back for the 2024 season and kicks off his column with a deep dive into the American League West pitching staffs, where in Houston ageless Justin Verlander leads the group.
Collette Calls: Workload Hangover Effect?
221 days ago
What does recent history tell us about 2023's biggest workhorses such as Arizona's Zac Gallen?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Mahle struggled with injuries and a poor start to the season to finish with an ugly 4.40 ERA, but most of his underlying metrics were similar to his previous seasons. Mahle got off to a terrible start with a 6.32 ERA through his first 10 outings, but righted the ship with a 3.03 ERA and 10.2 K/9 in his next six starts. He then missed three weeks with a sore shoulder but returned to make three starts before he was traded to the Twins at the deadline. He made two starts for Minnesota before going on the injured list for shoulder inflammation. He returned in late August but didn't even make it through one start before another setback to his shoulder (rotator cuff weakness) and was shut down for the year. When healthy, Mahle had similar strikeout rates (9.4 K/9) and walk rates (3.2 B/9) to the past few seasons. ERA estimators such as xERA (3.49) and FIP (3.87) show he may have been unlucky as he did have just a 69.5% LOB. Mahle could benefit from the move to Target Field as he struggled at Great America Ballpark at times (5.63 ERA in 2021). If his shoulder problems are not an issue, he'll be a mainstay of the Minnesota rotation.
2021 was a consolidation season for Mahle, building off the gains made in 2020's shortened campaign, marred a tiny bit by a rough final start against the Pirates. Mahle set a career-high in wins (13), innings (180) and strikeouts (210) while making all 33 starts. While Mahle's K% dropped from 29.6% to 27.7%, he compensated for that by walking fewer (10.1% to 8.7%) and inducing more ground balls (up to 42.2% from 30.9%). Mahle has one big red flag - his home park. He had a 5.63 ERA and hitters posted a .270/.344/.511 line with 19 homers in Great American Ballpark. As we've seen with Rockies pitchers, it's really difficult to manage pitching when you can't use a pitcher's home starts. He didn't have that extreme split in 2020, so there's some hope that it will not persist. Despite the workload increase, Mahle's velocity remained constant at 94.1 mph on average - with that and his ERA estimators in mind, a reprise seems likely.
Mahle entered 2020 without a rotation slot, but finished with a breakout season and a guaranteed starting job going into 2021. Injuries first to Anthony DeSclafani and then Wade Miley created the opportunities for Mahle, who turned his strikeout upside into a next-level performance, increasing his K% to 29.6 with a swinging strike rate of 14.7%. Mahle junked his cutter, a pitch that opponents slugged to the tune of .625 in 2019, adding more sliders and splitters instead. Both were plus pitches, and the batting average estimators like xBA support his overall .240 BABIP as a result. Of some concern is that his BB% climbed back up to 10.4%, and that he built his breakout season on the cushion of the Central Division schedule. Be aware that if you want to capitalize on his breakout season, you're not alone - his ADP was around 175 in the NFBC and climbing as of mid-January.
Pitching coach Derek Johnson helped several Reds turn a corner in his first year with the team and Mahle did take steps forward, but those improvements were not reflected in his W-L record or ERA. Mahle overhauled his pitch repertoire, bagging his slider in favor of a curveball while introducing a split-finger pitch for the first time. The curve was middling but the split finger had a positive run value when it was all said and done, and it helped Mahle add more than eight percentage points to his groundball rate. He showed improved control, shaving his walk rate from 10.5% to 6.1%, and the emerging stats that attempt to judge intent give him good marks for command. It's important to note that Mahle tried to hide an injury in 2018 and his numbers suffered greatly for it. Still just 25, Mahle is an interesting flier with upside, though he's on the outside looking in for a rotation spot entering spring training.
For a seven-game stretch last summer, Mahle was the Reds' best starter, compiling a 2.04 ERA over 39.2 innings while striking out 41 batters in the process. Unfortunately, baseball doesn't limit itself to seven-game stretches, and using selective endpoints doesn't even do Mahle that many favors -- he walked 19 batters and had a 1.36 WHIP over that span, but managed to avoid homer-fueled big innings. After that stretch ended on July 6, he made only five more big-league appearances and was shelled in each one of them, earning a trip to the minors after the fourth. He returned for one more bad outing in September before getting shut down with a sore shoulder. Mahle's hard-hit (40.3%) and barrel rates (9.1%) skyrocketed, leading to 22 homers allowed in only 112 innings. The culprits were his secondary pitches; opponents slugged .557 against his slider and .604 on his changeup. He's yet another young pitcher that could fall short for the Reds.
Upside should be the first, second and third thing fantasy owners look for in a pitching prospect, but in 15-team leagues, there is still a place for an innings eater who can locate his pitches without submarining a team's ratios. Enter Mahle, who already boasts plus command of four pitches. The 6-foot-3 righty's fastball isn't quite a plus offering based on velocity, as it sits at 93-94 mph, but the pitch plays up thanks to Mahle's pinpoint command. His slider is a quality second pitch, but his changeup and curveball lag behind as change-of-pace offerings. Mahle likely isn't ready to be much of a positive contributor in his rookie season, but he could be a Zach Davies or Mike Leake type of SP5 or SP6 down the road. He will be given a chance to compete for a rotation spot this spring, but will likely head back to Triple-A and wait for injury or poor performance to open up a spot in the big leagues.
Mahle got off to a scintillating start to the 2016 campaign at High-A Daytona. He features three pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup), and while none of them are superior on their own, his stuff played up due to his superb control and pitchability. A bump to Double-A Pensacola saw the 22-year-old righty come back down to earth a bit, though, as he struggled in 14 starts - chiefly because of the home run, surrendering 12 in 71.1 innings. Mahle works best when keeping the ball down in the zone, something he was able to do at the lower levels. He likely will return to Double-A to begin the 2017 season. Though he does not have true ace potential, his size, command and durability give him the ceiling of a No. 3 starter who can eat innings at the big league level.
A seventh-round pick in 2013 out of high school, Mahle has emerged as an extreme strike-thrower in the Reds organization. In 152 innings at Low-A Dayton, Mahle walked just 25 batters while striking out 135. He's added a couple ticks to his fastball and works around 92-93 mph. Scouting reports suggest that he still needs to improve his secondary offerings. The jump up to High-A will be an important level for Mahle to master.
More Fantasy News
Another rehab start coming
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
July 13, 2024
Mahle (elbow) is scheduled to pitch three innings in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League on Monday, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Makes second rehab start
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
July 10, 2024
Mahle (elbow) allowed one hit and struck out two over two scoreless innings for Double-A Frisco on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Ready for second rehab start
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
July 7, 2024
Mahle (elbow) is scheduled to make his second rehab start Tuesday with Triple-A Round Rock, Jeff Wilson of RangersToday.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Rehab assignment coming
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
June 30, 2024
Mahle (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Round Rock on Tuesday, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Throws to batters
PTexas Rangers
Elbow
June 14, 2024
Mahle (elbow) threw 30-to-40 pitches in a live batting practice session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Working on new slider
PMinnesota Twins
February 21, 2023
Mahle is working on a new slider this spring after spending time at Driveline this offseason, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Mahle has had reverse splits the last two seasons in large part because he's had trouble finding a consistent breaking ball. The hope is that the new slider will solve that issue. "I've struggled with a breaking ball for so long," Mahle said. "I couldn't find a grip that worked for me, mindset on where I need to be, mechanically, stuff like that, where my hand needs to be. Driveline fixed it right up and tailored it to the kind of pitcher I am. It has looked great. Hitters haven't seen it yet, so we'll see what they think."
See All MLB Rumors