Will Smith

Will Smith

29-Year-Old CatcherC
Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Smith had yet another above average offensive season at the dish, especially when you consider he was the only primary catcher to score at least 80 runs last season and just the fifth catcher to do so in the past 15 seasons joining Realmuto, Posey, Martin, and Mauer. Early on, it appeared that Smith was on his way to a huge season as he went into the break with a .279/.396/.494 triple-slash line with 13 homers and 46 RBIs, but hit .242/.320/.381 with just 6 homers and 30 RBIs after the break. Smith's production and outcomes have been consistently impressive as he handles the strains of trying to slow down opposing running games Dodger pitchers struggled to adjust to the new environment. Smith throws very well, yet the league has swiped 118 bases when he has caught over the past two seasons because he is just one part of the equation. Smith and Realmuto are the only two catcher eligible players with at least 125 games played each of the past three seasons. Invest with confidence. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#81
ADP
$Signed a 10-year, $140 contract extension with the Dodgers in March of 2024.
Riding pine Friday
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 21, 2024
Smith is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Smith has caught four of the Dodgers' last five games and will give way to Austin Barnes behind the plate Friday. Smith has just two hits in his last 23 at-bats, but the hits were a two-run triple and a solo homer.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
39
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+62%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .917 366 55 17 50 3 .290 .388 .529
Since 2022vs Right .770 1043 130 37 158 1 .254 .336 .434
2024vs Left 1.140 81 10 5 15 0 .362 .444 .696
2024vs Right .703 196 27 6 30 0 .241 .301 .402
2023vs Left .800 147 23 6 19 3 .240 .354 .446
2023vs Right .796 407 57 13 57 0 .268 .361 .434
2022vs Left .908 138 22 6 16 0 .300 .391 .517
2022vs Right .776 440 46 18 71 1 .247 .327 .448
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .780 684 87 25 105 1 .258 .342 .438
Since 2022Away .834 725 98 29 103 3 .269 .356 .478
2024Home .717 127 14 2 21 0 .261 .339 .378
2024Away .922 150 23 9 24 0 .288 .347 .576
2023Home .829 280 42 13 41 0 .271 .354 .475
2023Away .762 274 38 6 35 3 .250 .365 .397
2022Home .760 277 31 10 43 1 .243 .332 .428
2022Away .850 301 37 14 44 0 .275 .352 .498
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Stat Review
How does Will Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.58
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
15.5%
 
BABIP
.287
 
ISO
.210
 
AVG
.276
 
OBP
.343
 
SLG
.486
 
OPS
.829
 
wOBA
.354
 
Exit Velocity
90.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.4%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Expected BA
.265
 
Expected SLG
.489
 
Sprint Speed
23.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
30.6%
 
Line Drive %
20.4%
 
Fly Ball %
49.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Significant deferrals in extension
CLos Angeles Dodgers
March 28, 2024
Smith's 10-year, $140 million extension with the Dodgers includes $50 million in deferred money, reports Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
It's not a surprise to see deferrals included in a deal by the Dodgers given the massive deferrals in Shohei Ohtani's $700 million contract, but the figures for Smith aren't nearly as eye-catching. The 29-year-old has been one of the best catchers in baseball since debuting in 2019 with an .842 OPS in 486 career games, so it's certainly a well-earned extension.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Perhaps no player in baseball is in a more favorable position than Smith. He was the primary cleanup hitter for a 111-win Dodgers team last season, batting behind the likes of Mookie Betts, Trea Turner and Freddie Freeman. Smith held up his end of the bargain with 24 homers and 87 RBI across 578 total plate appearances. He shaved nearly four points off his strikeout rate from his first full season in the majors and the bat is arguably worthy of more DH starts in the years to come (24 starts as the designated hitter in 2022). The rigors of catching make it tough for any backstop to stay healthy over the entire season, year-in and year-out, but Smith has now cleared 500 plate appearances in back-to-back campaigns. The batted-ball metrics, while not elite, largely support his outstanding results.
Smith made a statement upon arrival to the majors and has quickly established himself among the top handful of catchers in the league. He's done it by hitting about 25 homers over a full season with an acceptable batting average (career .262). He's had two short seasons and one full one so far and the results have been consistent. While his flyball approach will limit his batting average (career 29.6 GB%), he keeps getting on base with an 11.5 BB%. He has major upside if/when the league implements the designated hitter in the National League. Instead of having to rest on his off days from catching, he can fill in as the DH. Smith has the talent to be the league's top catcher and the big difference between him and the catchers being taken after him is that he can make a huge difference by season's end.
Smith began the season in a timeshare with Austin Barnes. On Aug. 14, he was placed on the IL with a sore neck, slashing just .188/.341/.406 at the time. There were signs Smith would snap out of it as he was only fanning at a 12.2% clip while walking at a 19.5% pace to that point. Smith was back in action after the minimum stay and things began to click. The backstop slashed .329/.427/.646 after returning, playing nearly every day by season's end. He led all catchers over 100 PA with a 163 wRC+, supported by a Statcast ranking in the pertinent categories of at least 80th percentile, most 88th or higher. Smith will be challenged to match that over a full season, and needs to work on his framing, but he's still one of best hitting catchers in the league, slotting in the meat of the Dodgers' lineup. Despite subpar defense, a case can be made for Smith being the second-best catcher in fantasy.
Austin Riley is the first to come to mind when thinking of players who started hot upon arrival before fading, but Smith followed a similar path. After getting the call to be the Dodgers' primary backstop in late July, Smith went off for nine homers in 19 games, driving in 25 runs in 62 at-bats. He then hit .183/.277/.305 over his final 26 regular-season games and ended his year by going 1-for-13 in the NLCS. Smith's strong strikeout rate from Triple-A did not carry over, as he fanned at a 26.5% clip with the major-league team, though it's important to note that Smith has a history of making adjustments and cutting down on his K-rate in his second go at a level. A first-round pick in 2016, Smith has always been able to take a walk and he's a plus behind the plate. There's upside here but downside too, as the Dodgers may not be patient if Smith starts in a similar fashion to how he finished 2019.
More Fantasy News
Hits 11th homer
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 20, 2024
Smith went 1-for-5 with a solo home run against Colorado in Thursday's 5-3 victory.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Wednesday
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 19, 2024
Smith isn't in the Dodgers' lineup for Wednesday's game against the Rockies, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Saturday
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 15, 2024
Smith is out of the lineup for Saturday's game against the Royals, Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Idle Thursday
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 13, 2024
Smith isn't in the Dodgers' lineup Thursday versus the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in blowout win
CLos Angeles Dodgers
June 12, 2024
Smith went 3-for-4 with a three-run homer, a walk and two runs scored in Tuesday's 15-2 win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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