Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez has few peers in Major League Baseball; Juan Soto is perhaps the only player on his level in terms of zone management and overall hitting skills. Alvarez's Statcast page is comical as he led MLB in average exit velocity, HardHit%, xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and Barrel%. Alvarez drew 78 walks while striking out only 106 times in 561 plate appearances during the regular season. Despite playing in only 135 games and stealing only one base, Alvarez finished as a top-10 roto hitter in 2022. We still have to worry about his knees although is absences last season weren't directly related. The 25-year-old is under contract with the Astros long term and maintains outfield eligibility in fantasy leagues entering 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a six-year, $115 million contract extension with the Astros in June of 2022.
Clutch homer in Game 6
OFHouston Astros
November 5, 2022
Alvarez went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run during Saturday night's 4-1 win over the Phillies in Game 6 of the World Series.
ANALYSIS
Alvarez hit a 450-foot blast off Jose Alvarado in the sixth inning to give the Astros a 3-1 lead. It was Alvarez's first homer since the ALDS but a monumental one nonetheless. The 25-year-old hit .192 across 52 at bats in the playoffs, but he managed to knock in 14 runs and help the Astros win their second World Series in the last five years. Alvarez will remain a vital piece to the heart of the Houston lineup for the foreseeable future.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
49
45
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
18
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+460%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .940 426 66 24 75 0 .301 .378 .562
Since 2020vs Right .947 742 123 47 130 2 .285 .373 .574
2022vs Left .998 192 27 10 33 0 .321 .411 .586
2022vs Right 1.030 369 68 27 64 1 .299 .404 .627
2021vs Left .881 229 37 13 39 0 .283 .349 .532
2021vs Right .874 369 55 20 65 1 .274 .344 .530
2020vs Left 1.400 5 2 1 3 0 .400 .400 1.000
2020vs Right .250 4 0 0 1 0 .000 .250 .000
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .932 602 94 36 101 0 .289 .364 .568
Since 2020Away .957 566 95 35 104 2 .293 .387 .571
2022Home 1.014 292 47 20 47 0 .296 .390 .624
2022Away 1.024 269 48 17 50 1 .318 .424 .600
2021Home .855 301 45 15 50 0 .284 .339 .516
2021Away .899 297 47 18 54 1 .271 .354 .546
2020Home .958 9 2 1 4 0 .250 .333 .625
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Yordan Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.74
 
BB Rate
13.9%
 
K Rate
18.9%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.306
 
AVG
.306
 
OBP
.406
 
SLG
.613
 
OPS
1.019
 
wOBA
.430
 
Exit Velocity
95.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
44.2%
 
Barrels/PA
13.9%
 
Expected BA
.329
 
Expected SLG
.672
 
Sprint Speed
20.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
39.1%
 
Line Drive %
21.6%
 
Fly Ball %
39.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Yordan Alvarez
FanDuel MLB: Saturday World Series Game 6 Targets
34 days ago
Chris Bennett tackles picks for Game 6 of the World Series and suggests Rhys Hoskins against lefty Framber Valdez.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
34 days ago
There's one team Dan Marcus definitely prefers for Game 6. Read on to see if you can figure it out.
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Thursday, November 3
36 days ago
Chris Morgan looks over the options for Game 5 of the World Series and recommends loading up on Astros, including Kyle Tucker.
MLB Picks Tonight: Expert MLB Bets and Player Props for World Series Game 4
37 days ago
Michael Rathburn lines up his best bets and player props for a pivotal World Series Game 4 matchup between the Phillies and Astros.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
37 days ago
Game 4 goes Wednesday night in Philly, and Dan Marcus has your DraftKings player recommendations.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Alvarez bounced back in a big way in 2021, significantly raising his 2022 stock and painfully reminding Dodgers fans they once gave him up for Josh Fields. Alvarez and his old-man knees hit the fountain of youth as he destroyed baseballs to all fields and finished the season 38% better than the league average by wRC+. Only Mike Trout, Fernando Tatis and George Springer have a higher Isolated Power (SLG-AVG) over the past three seasons. The only statistical flaw to his game is a void of steals, but he excels in run production and has a career .290 average in nearly 1,000 plate appearances. The added bonus of qualifying as an outfielder for the first time in drafts will only push up his price in drafts, but Alvarez is worth every penny. Players often reach another level in their third full pro season; if Alvarez does that, he wins the 2022 AL MVP because his next level could look like Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 2021 season.
Many players were hit hard by the pandemic in 2020, both in terms of how it affected their availability and in how it impacted their performance, and Alvarez was part of that group. His 2019 domination of baseballs set high expectations for the reigning Rookie of the Year, but COVID-19 led to him missing all of summer camp and the first three weeks of the season. He came back for all of nine plate appearances before being sent to the IL with a knee injury which eventually required season-ending surgery. Alvarez said he had dealt with the knee pain since the summer of 2019, but you would never know it statistically. There have been a few videos this offseason showing Alvarez on the treadmill during rehab, which is a good sign. Designated hitters still need their legs as the foundation of their swing, so Alvarez's recovery should be monitored closely. Adjust your risk/reward scale accordingly.
Alvarez was worth the wait for those who stashed him while he abused the Pacific Coast League to the tune of a .343/.443/.742 slash line over the first two months. Upon getting called up, the 22-year-old quickly became a foundational piece in Houston's lineup, claiming AL Rookie of the Year honors on the back of a 178 wRC+ that ranked fourth among all hitters following his June 9 promotion. Both the eye test and the Statcast metrics supported the notion that Alvarez is already one of the game's premier power bats, and his exceptional plate approach and ability to handle lefties (.307/.389/.649 in 131 plate appearances) should make him an annual batting title contender, too. Alvarez will only be eligible in a utility spot in most leagues to begin 2020, but like peak David Ortiz and Nelson Cruz before him, he's one of the few players whose lack of positional versatility shouldn't be viewed as a handicap.
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer.
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Three doubles in blowout win
OFHouston Astros
October 4, 2022
Alvarez went 3-for-5 with three doubles and two runs scored in Tuesday's 10-0 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Two hits in return
OFHouston Astros
October 1, 2022
Alvarez went 2-for-4 with two doubles and a run scored Friday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to lineup Friday
OFHouston Astros
September 30, 2022
Alvarez (ankle) is starting Friday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
OFHouston Astros
Ankle
September 28, 2022
Alvarez (ankle) isn't starting Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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X-rays return negative
OFHouston Astros
Ankle
September 27, 2022
Manager Dusty Baker said X-rays on Alvarez's left ankle came back negative after the slugger exited Tuesday's win over the win over the Diamondbacks, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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