Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray

26-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Arizona Cardinals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Murray missed the first half of last season recovering from ACL surgery. Perhaps to be expected, he didn’t look like his usual dual-threat self upon returning Week 10, with his passing particularly rusty. His last three games, though, showed marked improvement as he averaged 241 passing yards with six TDs and one interception. Murray rarely looked deep in his eight games, ranking 27th in downfield rate as just 7.8 percent of his attempts traveled beyond 20 yards. His 7.3-yard average target depth ranked 22nd, his 6.7 YPA 24th. When he did go deep, he wasn’t good, completing nine of 28 attempts for one TD and three INTs. In Murray’s defense, he didn’t have much to work with. That’s not the case this year after the Cardinals made Marvin Harrison the fourth overall pick in the draft and signed former Jags wideout Zay Jones. Those two will join TE Trey McBride, a 2022 second-round pick who broke out for 825 yards last season, and WR Michael Wilson, a 2023 third-round pick who had 565 yards on 58 targets last year (9.7 YPT). Murray’s rushing production gives him a solid fantasy floor, now more than a year and a half removed from the knee injury. He’ll need that to be a top 10 fantasy QB, as his lack of height (5-10) and inconsistent track record suggest he's unlikely to be an elite passer even with the upgraded pass-catching corps. He’ll also need good health -- he missed at least three games in each of the last three seasons, playing 33 of a possible 51 contests. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#65.3
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $230.5 million contract with the Cardinals in July of 2022.
New target in form of Harrison
QBArizona Cardinals
May 1, 2024
Murray will be throwing to a new No. 1 wide receiver during the upcoming season and beyond after the Cardinals selected Marvin Harrison with the No. 4 overall pick in last week's draft.
ANALYSIS
Murray's 2023 debut was delayed due to a torn ACL in his right knee that he suffered Dec. 12, 2022. Upon his return Week 10, he started the final eight games of the season, completing 176 of 268 passes (65.7 percent) for 1,799 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions while rushing 44 times for 244 yards and three more scores. By the end of the season, second-year tight end Trey McBride had emerged as Murray's favorite target, and after the offseason departure of Marquise Brown, the quarterback was in search of a dynamic weapon in the passing game. The arrival of Harrison provides just that for Murray, who also will have running back James Conner and wideout Michael Wilson at his disposal.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Kyler Murray's 2023 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
18.3%
 
Avg Target Depth
7.7 Yds
 
Sack Rate
6.3%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.8 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
3.4%
 
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 NFL Game Log
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Arizona CardinalsCardinals 2023 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

51147%
50046%
555%
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2023 Kyler Murray Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Kyler Murray's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
5' 10"
 
Weight
207 lbs
 
Hand Length
9.50 in
 
Arm Length
28.50 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyler Murray See More
Roundtable Rankings: 2024 Top-150 Fantasy Rankings
8 days ago
RotoWire gathered its top football writers for their top-150 rankings for the 2024 fantasy season. Among the players with the greatest variance, Mike Evans stands out.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Gets new proven target
QBArizona Cardinals
May 10, 2024
Murray now counts Zay Jones as one of his targets for the 2024 season after the veteran wideout agreed to a one-year deal with the Cardinals on Friday per Adam Schefter of ESPN.com.
ANALYSIS
Murray lost Marquise Brown earlier this offseason, but he already gained a player believed to be a generational talent in Ohio State's Marvin Harrison Jr. via the 2024 NFL Draft. He also has talented incumbents Michael Wilson, Greg Dortch and Trey McBride to throw passes to, but the addition of Jones, who boasts 287 career receptions and 18 touchdowns, provides a key experienced possession receiver that could be a very trusted target in the short and intermediate areas of the field.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Murray tore the ACL and meniscus in his right knee Week 13 last season and is not expected to play any sooner than Week 4 this year. Joshua Dobbs and perhaps fifth-round pick Clayton Tune will take snaps until Murray is healthy. The bigger question is whether Murray will run as usual when he returns. The rushing -- he was on pace for about 700 yards last year -- propped up his fantasy value as his passing struggled. His YPA dropped to 6.1 -- last among 33 qualified QBs, largely because Murray just didn't throw downfield. His 6.6 average target depth ranked 28th, nearly a yard and a half off 2021, and only 27.4 percent of his attempts traveled more than 10 yards (sixth fewest). When he did go downfield, it usually didn't go well (1/6 TD/INT), as his on-target percentage on attempts of 20-plus yards dropped by nearly 23 percentage points to 36.7 percent (31st) and his 24.5 completion percentage was the worst of any qualified QB besides Jimmy Garoppolo. Part of the issue was Arizona's wideout corps, which was without DeAndre Hopkins the first six games due to suspension and then without Marquise Brown the next five games due to injury. That situation got worse this offseason when Hopkins was released in May. That leaves Brown as the No. 1 with two 5-7 WRs in Rondale Moore and Greg Dortch vying with 2023 third-round pick Michael Wilson for the No. 2 job. A healthy year out of tight end Zach Ertz, coming off an ACL tear, is even more important.
Murray took another step forward with his passing last season, setting career highs in on-target percentage (76.3), completion percentage (69.2) and YPA (7.9), each of which ranked top 6 in the league. His counting numbers suffered, though, because he missed three games with an ankle injury, and his rushing yards dropped by nearly 400 from the previous year. He still finished QB10 in fantasy, as only three quarterbacks scored more points per game. Murray was especially good throwing downfield last year. His 59.5 on-target percentage and 47.3 completion percentage were both highest of any QB with at least 50 attempts of 20-plus yards. Weekly consistency was more difficult, as Murray had one or fewer TD passes in eight of his 15 games, including a wild-card loss. After the disappointing finish to last season, Murray was entering the final year of his rookie contract, but the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft landed a massive extension with the Cardinals in advance of training camp. As the coming campaign approaches, he'll have to deal with losing wideout Christian Kirk, who signed with Jacksonville, and, for six games, DeAndre Hopkins, who was suspended for PEDs. The Cardinals traded for WR Marquise Brown on draft day, and TE Zach Ertz, who thrived with Murray after being acquired midseason last year, returns. James Conner returns as well, though he stole some goal-line scores from Murray last year with 15 rushing TDs. Murray certainly faces questions entering camp, but he's still one of the league's best dual-threat quarterbacks, which means a top-5 fantasy season is within reach.
After an impressive rookie season, Murray was even better last year. He improved his completion percentage, on-target percentage, YPA and aDOT, finishing QB3 in fantasy scoring in essentially 15 games because he was injured on the first drive of Week 17. Murray is one of the best running QBs in the game, providing tremendous fantasy potential. His 11 rushing TDs last year tied for fourth most all-time by a QB. Nine of those came in the red zone, where he converted a league-high 37.5 percent of his carries into scores (min. 15 rushes). The dual-threat Murray became just the third QB in NFL history with multiple seasons of 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards, joining Cam Newton and Russell Wilson. The arrival of DeAndre Hopkins gave Murray a dependable big-play receiver he didn't have in Year 1, as the two connected on a league-leading six pass plays of 40-plus yards. But Murray still didn't go downfield much more than he did in 2019 — 12.4 percent, a healthy rate, yet he had nearly the same rate of attempts within five yards of the line of scrimmage (54.5 percent), again foregoing intermediate throws (16.8 percent, 30th). If coach Kliff Kingsbury finally turns his strong arm loose, Murray's passing numbers could take a leap, which would help offset expected regression in his rushing TDs. The Cardinals added James Conner to a backfield with Chase Edmonds, both of whom are competent receivers, but the additions to the WR group are questions — 33-year-old A.J. Green and second-round pick Rondale Moore, an undersized (5-7) speed freak (4.31 40). Murray's rushing makes him a safe fantasy investment, and with room to grow in the passing game, he has the upside to improve on last year's fantasy ranking.
Murray was the runaway Offensive Rookie of the Year last season, becoming the sixth player in NFL history — and second rookie after Cam Newton in 2011 — to surpass 3,500 passing yards and 500 rushing yards. The 2019 first overall pick was the starter from the beginning and didn't seem to be held back by his 5-10 stature. Murray's dual-threat ability helped him finish QB8 in fantasy scoring, as he was second to Lamar Jackson in rushing yards (544) and YPC (5.9) by a quarterback. He also showed mature decision-making, setting an NFL rookie record with 211 consecutive attempts without an interception. Murray's arm proved as strong as advertised too. On attempts longer than 20 yards, he ranked third in the league in both completion percentage (42.6) and YPA (15.5). But the Cardinals didn't regularly try to stretch the field, perhaps due to a lack of weapons. Murray's average depth of target ranked 27th at 7.6 yards, and 55.9 percent of his attempts were no longer than five yards (6th), with a league-high 178 of those targets going to wide receivers. That should change this season with the trade for All-Pro wideout DeAndre Hopkins, who figures to transform the offense. Larry Fitzgerald gives Murray another set of sure hands, and a healthy Christian Kirk should contribute more than he did last season. Plus, Kenyan Drake is a solid receiving threat out of the backfield after the Cardinals dumped David Johnson in the Hopkins deal. How good can Murray be? Well, if he goes 3,500/500 again, he'd be just the third to do it more than once, after the aforementioned Newton and Russell Wilson.
The Cardinals are all in on Kyler Murray. They made the Heisman Trophy winner this year's top draft pick and already named him the starter. New coach Kliff Kingsbury said he'll tailor his air raid offense around Murray, who shouldn't face too steep of a learning curve after he excelled in Oklahoma's spread attack, joining Deshaun Watson as the only quarterbacks in FBS history with 4,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards in a season. Murray has a strong arm, quick release and first-rate elusiveness - he was sacked on just 4.5 percent of his dropbacks last season. Height is his only issue, but it's a big one. At 5-10 1/8, he's the shortest quarterback drafted in the first round since 1953. He's also shorter than Russell Wilson, who despite all his success has trouble seeing over linemen at times. The Cardinals are betting that, like Wilson, Murray can overcome it with exceptional athleticism - he was picked ninth overall in the 2018 MLB Draft - and instinctive playmaking skills. He'll be surrounded by physically gifted receivers with spread-offense experience. Second-round pick Andy Isabella ran a 4.31 40 at the combine, and Christian Kirk played in the air raid at Texas Tech. Murray also has Larry Fitzgerald working the slot and an excellent receiver out of the backfield in David Johnson. The biggest question is how well the air raid offense will work in the NFL.
More Fantasy News
Solid finish to rehab season
QBArizona Cardinals
January 7, 2024
Murray completed 22 of 30 pass attempts for 262 yards and a touchdown while adding 33 rushing yards on five attempts in Sunday's 21-20 loss to the Seahawks.
ANALYSIS
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Throws three TDs to upset PHI
QBArizona Cardinals
December 31, 2023
Murray completed 25 of 31 pass attempts for 232 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while rushing five times for 24 yards in Sunday's 35-31 win over the Eagles.
ANALYSIS
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To play through illness Sunday
QBArizona Cardinals
December 31, 2023
Murray (illness) is listed as active Sunday at Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to play in Week 17
QBArizona Cardinals
Illness
December 30, 2023
Murray (illness) is in line to play in Sunday's game in Philadelphia, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
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Listed as questionable
QBArizona Cardinals
Illness
December 29, 2023
Murray (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game at Philadelphia, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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