Best Falcons vs Buccaneers Player Prop Bet NFL Picks and Parlays for Thursday Night Football Week 15

The Week 15 Thursday Night Football Game brings us a pivotal game for control of the NFC South, as the Atlanta Falcons will be looking to play spoiler against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The latest NFL Week 15 odds list the Buccaneers as 5.5-point favorites. 

If you're watching this game to celebrate the launch of Missouri sports betting, make sure you use an offer like TheScore Bet Missouri promo to make the most of these picks. 

Easy NFL Parlays for Falcons vs Buccaneers: Week 15

Each week, I'll compile my best prop bet picks into a parlay you can bet. Note that odds will vary from sportsbook to sportsbook. Here is my favorite easy NFL parlay for the Week 15 TNF game. 

• Leg One: Baker Mayfield – Passing Yards: UNDER 221.5 (-115) 
• Leg Two: Bijan Robinson – Receptions: UNDER 4.5 (-107) 
• Leg Three: Bucky Irving – Receiving + Rushing Yards: OVER 82.5 (-114) 
• Payout on $100 Bet: $578.95 (+579 Odds)

Best BetMGM Falcons vs Buccaneers Prop Bets: Week 15

BetMGM Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a BetMGM bonus code to maximize your player props. 

Baker Mayfield – Passing Yards: UNDER 221.5 (-115) 

Baker Mayfield's play has fallen off a cliff. He has failed to reach 200 passing yards in each of his last four appearances. Over his last six outings, he's averaging just 159.2 passing yards per game. Those statistics are a little skewed because he left a game early. But even if we throw that out, he's still averaging just 182.8 over those five games. His Week 15 opponent doesn't do a whole lot right, but they are solid at defending the pass. Atlanta held Mayfield and a fully healthy Bucs' offense to 167 passing yards in Week 1. The Falcons also rank sixth in pressure rate and third in sacks, as rookie pass-rusher James Pearce Jr. has come on of late, recording 5.5 sacks in his last five games. Even with his reinforcements back, it'll be another slow day at the office for Mayfield. 

Best DraftKings Falcons vs Buccaneers Prop Bets: Week 15

DraftKings Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a DraftKings promo code to maximize your player props. 

Bijan Robinson – Receptions: UNDER 4.5 (-107) 

With Drake London out, you'd assume Bijan Robinson would see a spike in targets. That hasn't really been the case, though. With London out, Robinson has averaged 3.7 targets per game over the last three games. That's down from the 5.9 targets per game he was drawing over his first 10 games. The quarterback switch is probably the biggest factor here. 

Kirk Cousins hasn't been checking down to Bijan as much as Michael Penix Jr. was, and that has led to a steep decline in Robinson's receiving production. He's averaging just 3.0 receptions per game over his last three and has failed to record at least five receptions in four of his last five games. Unless Cousins changes his play style, Robinson could struggle to reach five catches tonight. 

Best FanDuel Falcons vs Buccaneers Prop Bets: Week 15

FanDuel Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a FanDuel promo code to maximize your player props. 

Bucky Irving – Rushing + Receiving Yards: OVER 82.5 (-114) 

Bucky Irving became a folkhero in the fantasy football community last year. He's made good on that reputation when healthy this season. The second-year RB is averaging 98.6 yards from scrimmage per game across his six appearances in 2025. He failed to clear this mark in each of his first two games back from injury, but that'll change tonight. With the Bucs finally getting healthy, Irving's efficiency should look a lot more like it did at the beginning of the year. He was averaging 107.6 yards from scrimmage per game and cleared this total in three of those four games. Against a Falcons' run defense that allows the eighth-worst rushing success rate, Irving should feast on the ground tonight. 

Maximize Week 15 Props With OddsJam

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2025 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record 

Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of Week 15): 

• 54-48 (52.9%)

Where to Bet on Week 15 TNF Props

Below, I've provided a list of the top sportsbooks that offer anytime touchdown betting markets. I've also provided the sign-up bonus at each book, so you can make the most of your prop bets.