2024 Receiving Stats
REC
44
YDS
448
TD
2
AVG
10.2
TAR
75
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid seemed poised for a big sophomore season after posting 555 yards over the last 11 games of his 2023 rookie campaign, but he instead regressed to 448 yards in 13 regular-season games while scoring just two TDs for a second straight year. Knee injuries slowed him down for part of 2024, but the bigger problems were lackluster blocking (which impacted his playing time) and a 58.7 percent catch rate (worst among qualified pass catchers with an aDOT below 8.0). Kincaid’s 10 red-zone targets were double the total of teammate Dawson Knox, but 15 other tight ends had more, as the Bills scored 32 of their 62 offensive touchdowns on the ground and didn’t have a player exceed five receiving TDs. The only real positive for Kincaid last year was a 29.0 percent target rate, good for second among TEs and up from 22.5 percent his rookie season. He didn't give the Bills much reason to continue feeding him, but it's nonetheless too early to completely write off a recent first-round pick who caught 73 passes as a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
Prolific drop in AFCCG
Kincaid secured two of four targets for 13 yards during Sunday's 32-29 loss to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid's quiet AFCCG performance will be most notably remembered for his drop with just under two minutes left in the fourth quarter, a fourth-and-5 play in which Josh Allen found the second-year tight end open downfield but saw the ball lodge free of his pass catcher's hands while attempting a diving grab. The admittedly difficult catch highlights disappointment surrounding Kincaid's production in Year 2 in which he strung together just a 44-448-2 receiving line across 13 regular-season appearances. Teammate Dawson Knox said Monday that Kincaid played through injuries in both knees, including a torn PCL, per Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News, but he didn't carry an official injury designation into any of the Bills' three playoff appearances.
Kincaid's quiet AFCCG performance will be most notably remembered for his drop with just under two minutes left in the fourth quarter, a fourth-and-5 play in which Josh Allen found the second-year tight end open downfield but saw the ball lodge free of his pass catcher's hands while attempting a diving grab. The admittedly difficult catch highlights disappointment surrounding Kincaid's production in Year 2 in which he strung together just a 44-448-2 receiving line across 13 regular-season appearances. Teammate Dawson Knox said Monday that Kincaid played through injuries in both knees, including a torn PCL, per Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News, but he didn't carry an official injury designation into any of the Bills' three playoff appearances.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
44.4Air Yards Per Snap
1.31% Team Air Yards
14.3%% Team Targets
15.2%Avg Depth of Target
7.7 YdsCatch Rate
58.7%Drop Rate
5.3%Avg Yds After Catch
6.4% Targeted On Route
27.4%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2024
2023
2024 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
274 routes 75 targets
20 routes 2 targets
274 routes 33 targets
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dalton Kincaid See More
Jerry Donabedian looks at rookies whose ADPs shifted after the NFL Scouting Combine, including some like Ashton Jeanty who didn't even go through workouts.
It's NFL Combine week! Dan Marcus breaks down what's at stake for the top consensus rookies in Indianapolis and what it means for their draft stock in best ball.
The popularity of Cincinnati stacks seems to be inflating ADPs for Tee Higgins and Joe Burrow. RW's Jerry Donabedian has the full scoop, looking at early ADP results from two best-ball sites.
RotoWire's Jerry Donabedian compares his Top 200 to early ADP and finds that most drafters don't share his optimism about Bucky Irving and Courtland Sutton.
JuJu Smith-Schuster had a surprisingly big role in Sunday's win over Buffalo, getting far more playing time than fellow veteran wideout DeAndre Hopkins.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
More Fantasy News
One catch in divisional-round win
Kincaid caught one of two targets for 11 yards in Sunday's 27-25 AFC divisional-round win over the Ravens.
ANALYSIS
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Three catches in wild-card win
Kincaid played 29 of the Bills' 76 offensive snaps and finished with three catches for 47 yards on three targets in Sunday's 31-7 wild-card win over the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
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Sits out Week 18
Kincaid didn't play any snaps during Sunday's 23-16 loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Just two catches in Week 17
Kincaid caught both of his targets for 24 yards in Sunday's 40-14 win over the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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Does little with seven targets
Kincaid recorded four receptions on seven targets for 15 yards in Sunday's 24-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not available for Chiefs showdown
Kincaid will sit out Sunday's Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs due to the knee injury he suffered in Week 10, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid sustained the left knee injury during the Week 10 win over the Colts, at one point trying to unsuccessfully play through it early in the second half before leaving for good. The absence will be Kincaid's first of the season and second of his young career, and it should thrust backup Dawson Knox into a larger role in the pivotal conference showdown.
Kincaid sustained the left knee injury during the Week 10 win over the Colts, at one point trying to unsuccessfully play through it early in the second half before leaving for good. The absence will be Kincaid's first of the season and second of his young career, and it should thrust backup Dawson Knox into a larger role in the pivotal conference showdown.