2024 Receiving Stats
REC
44
YDS
448
TD
2
AVG
10.2
TAR
75
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid seemed poised for a big sophomore season after posting 555 yards over the last 11 games of his 2023 rookie campaign, but he instead regressed to 448 yards in 13 regular-season games while scoring just two TDs for a second straight year. Knee injuries slowed him down for part of 2024, but the bigger problems were lackluster blocking (which impacted his playing time) and a 58.7 percent catch rate (worst among qualified pass catchers with an aDOT below 8.0). Kincaid’s 10 red-zone targets were double the total of teammate Dawson Knox, but 15 other tight ends had more, as the Bills scored 32 of their 62 offensive touchdowns on the ground and didn’t have a player exceed five receiving TDs. The only real positive for Kincaid last year was a 29.0 percent target rate, good for second among TEs and up from 22.5 percent his rookie season. He didn't give the Bills much reason to continue feeding him, but it's nonetheless too early to completely write off a recent first-round pick who caught 73 passes as a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Unlikely to be full-time player
Kincaid isn't expected to see an expanded role in 2025 compared to what he handled last season, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
When both Kincaid and fellow tight end Dalton Knox were healthy last season, the former played 66 percent of the offensive snaps, and the latter took on a 56 percent share. Based on his observations during training camp and the preseason, Buscaglia notes that because Kincaid "still has his hangups as a blocker," the 25-year-old's playing time isn't expected to dramatically exceed the 66 percent mark from 2024, at least not in the early part of the season. Though Kincaid is fully healthy again after a knee injury kept him from playing in three games in the second half of last season and may have affected his workload upon returning to action, the Bills don't yet seem prepared to lean on him as a true full-time player. Kincaid brings more pass-catching upside to the table, but Knox's importance as a run blocker and occasional underneath target for quarterback Josh Allen should ensure that Knox has a meaningful role in the Buffalo offense.
When both Kincaid and fellow tight end Dalton Knox were healthy last season, the former played 66 percent of the offensive snaps, and the latter took on a 56 percent share. Based on his observations during training camp and the preseason, Buscaglia notes that because Kincaid "still has his hangups as a blocker," the 25-year-old's playing time isn't expected to dramatically exceed the 66 percent mark from 2024, at least not in the early part of the season. Though Kincaid is fully healthy again after a knee injury kept him from playing in three games in the second half of last season and may have affected his workload upon returning to action, the Bills don't yet seem prepared to lean on him as a true full-time player. Kincaid brings more pass-catching upside to the table, but Knox's importance as a run blocker and occasional underneath target for quarterback Josh Allen should ensure that Knox has a meaningful role in the Buffalo offense.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
44.4Air Yards Per Snap
1.31% Team Air Yards
14.3%% Team Targets
15.2%Avg Depth of Target
7.7 YdsCatch Rate
58.7%Drop Rate
5.3%Avg Yds After Catch
6.4% Targeted On Route
27.4%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2024 NFL Game Log
2024
2023
2024 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Bills 2024 TE Snap DistributionLoading Weekly Snap Counts...
How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
274 routes 75 targets
274 routes 33 targets
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
More Fantasy News
Sees limited work Saturday
Kincaid caught his only target for 10 yards in Saturday's 34-25 preseason loss to the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to practice
Kincaid (knee) is participating in Tuesday's practice, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Bothered by knee soreness
Kincaid missed Monday's practice due to knee soreness, Alex Brasky of Bills Digest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Adds strength ahead of third season
Kincaid has "added both strength and bulk" during the offseason, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Prolific drop in AFCCG
Kincaid secured two of four targets for 13 yards during Sunday's 32-29 loss to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential breakout candidate
Kincaid could see his role expand in the Buffalo offense in 2025, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid had a disappointing 2024 season, seeing his production dip across the board. That was in part due to a knee injury that sidelined him for three games and limited his snaps down the stretch. Kincaid enters training camp healthy and with added strength, and the Bills may have contractual reasons to give Kincaid additional opportunities in 2025. The team will have to decide whether to pick up the fifth-year option on his rookie contract next offseason, and it could also part ways with Dawson Knox given the way his contract is structured, giving the Bills incentive to see if Kincaid can take over as the primary tight end.
Kincaid had a disappointing 2024 season, seeing his production dip across the board. That was in part due to a knee injury that sidelined him for three games and limited his snaps down the stretch. Kincaid enters training camp healthy and with added strength, and the Bills may have contractual reasons to give Kincaid additional opportunities in 2025. The team will have to decide whether to pick up the fifth-year option on his rookie contract next offseason, and it could also part ways with Dawson Knox given the way his contract is structured, giving the Bills incentive to see if Kincaid can take over as the primary tight end.