2025 Receiving Stats
REC
33
YDS
489
TD
5
AVG
14.8
TAR
41
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid seemed poised for a big sophomore season after posting 555 yards over the last 11 games of his 2023 rookie campaign, but he instead regressed to 448 yards in 13 regular-season games while scoring just two TDs for a second straight year. Knee injuries slowed him down for part of 2024, but the bigger problems were lackluster blocking (which impacted his playing time) and a 58.7 percent catch rate (worst among qualified pass catchers with an aDOT below 8.0). Kincaid’s 10 red-zone targets were double the total of teammate Dawson Knox, but 15 other tight ends had more, as the Bills scored 32 of their 62 offensive touchdowns on the ground and didn’t have a player exceed five receiving TDs. The only real positive for Kincaid last year was a 29.0 percent target rate, good for second among TEs and up from 22.5 percent his rookie season. He didn't give the Bills much reason to continue feeding him, but it's nonetheless too early to completely write off a recent first-round pick who caught 73 passes as a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Catches TD in return
Kincaid caught four of five targets for 41 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 39-34 win over the Bengals.
ANALYSIS
After missing the prior three games with hamstring and knee issues, Kincaid made an immediate impact in his return to action, hauling in a five-yard TD in the third quarter. Josh Allen leaned heavily on all his tight ends given the cold, snowy conditions -- Dawson Knox led the Bills with six catches and 93 receiving yards, while No. 3 TE Jackson Hawes also caught a touchdown. A healthy Kincaid might be Allen's favorite target, however, and through nine games this season he's established a new career high with five TDs, along with 33 catches on 41 targets for 489 yards. He'll look to build on this performance in Week 15 against the Patriots.
After missing the prior three games with hamstring and knee issues, Kincaid made an immediate impact in his return to action, hauling in a five-yard TD in the third quarter. Josh Allen leaned heavily on all his tight ends given the cold, snowy conditions -- Dawson Knox led the Bills with six catches and 93 receiving yards, while No. 3 TE Jackson Hawes also caught a touchdown. A healthy Kincaid might be Allen's favorite target, however, and through nine games this season he's established a new career high with five TDs, along with 33 catches on 41 targets for 489 yards. He'll look to build on this performance in Week 15 against the Patriots.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2025 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
42.8Air Yards Per Snap
1.53% Team Air Yards
13.3%% Team Targets
10.4%Avg Depth of Target
9.5 YdsCatch Rate
80.6%Drop Rate
5.6%Avg Yds After Catch
6.8% Targeted On Route
25.7%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2025 NFL Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2025 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Bills 2025 TE Snap DistributionLoading Weekly Snap Counts...
How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
140 routes 41 targets
62 routes 15 targets
216 routes 36 targets
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Bengals pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
vs Bengals
Sunday, Dec 7th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
68.0
Cornerbacks
64.8
Safeties
73.6
Linebackers
78.7
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2025 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
More Fantasy News
Active versus Bengals
Kincaid (hamstring/knee) is active for Sunday's game against the Bengals.
ANALYSIS
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Will try to play through injuries
Kincaid (hamstring/knee), who is officially questionable to take the field against Cincinnati on Sunday, is expected to try to play, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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To be questionable for Week 14
Coach Sean McDermott said Friday that Kincaid (hamstring/knee) will be listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another limited listing
Kincaid (hamstring/knee) was limited at practice Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Remains listed as limited
Coach Sean McDermott said that Kincaid (hamstring/knee) will be limited in Wednesday's walk-through, Maddy Glab of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected back for favorable matchup
Kincaid is expected to return from a three-game absence Sunday against the Bengals, per Adam Schefter of ESPN.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid has missed Buffalo's last three games due to hamstring and knee injuries. He's listed as questionable for Sunday's game after managing three limited practices during Week 14 prep, but Kincaid's expected to get the green light. Kincaid is set up for a productive return against a Bengals defense that has allowed the most yards and touchdowns to tight ends this season by a wide margin.
Kincaid has missed Buffalo's last three games due to hamstring and knee injuries. He's listed as questionable for Sunday's game after managing three limited practices during Week 14 prep, but Kincaid's expected to get the green light. Kincaid is set up for a productive return against a Bengals defense that has allowed the most yards and touchdowns to tight ends this season by a wide margin.