Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

25-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Dalton Kincaid in 2025. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Prolific drop in AFCCG
TEBuffalo Bills
January 27, 2025
Kincaid secured two of four targets for 13 yards during Sunday's 32-29 loss to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid's quiet AFCCG performance will be most notably remembered for his drop with just under two minutes left in the fourth quarter, a fourth-and-5 play in which Josh Allen found the second-year tight end open downfield but saw the ball lodge free of his pass catcher's hands while attempting a diving grab. The admittedly difficult catch highlights disappointment surrounding Kincaid's production in Year 2 in which he strung together just a 44-448-2 receiving line across 13 regular-season appearances. Teammate Dawson Knox said Monday that Kincaid played through injuries in both knees, including a torn PCL, per Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News, but he didn't carry an official injury designation into any of the Bills' three playoff appearances.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
44.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.31
 
% Team Air Yards
14.3%
 
% Team Targets
15.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
7.7 Yds
 
Catch Rate
58.7%
 
Drop Rate
5.3%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.4
 
% Targeted On Route
27.4%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.64
 
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2024
2023
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2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

70157%
53143%
21918%
403%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
274 routes   75 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
62%
20 routes   2 targets
50%
274 routes   33 targets
47%
66 routes   8 targets
32%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dalton Kincaid See More
NFL Best Ball Strategy: Analyzing 2025 ADPs on Underdog and Drafters
3 days ago
The popularity of Cincinnati stacks seems to be inflating ADPs for Tee Higgins and Joe Burrow. RW's Jerry Donabedian has the full scoop, looking at early ADP results from two best-ball sites.
Fantasy Football Rankings: Initial PPR Top 200 for 2025
8 days ago
RotoWire's Jerry Donabedian compares his Top 200 to early ADP and finds that most drafters don't share his optimism about Bucky Irving and Courtland Sutton.
Box Score Breakdown: Usage Analysis from Conference Championship Sunday
25 days ago
JuJu Smith-Schuster had a surprisingly big role in Sunday's win over Buffalo, getting far more playing time than fellow veteran wideout DeAndre Hopkins.
NFL Championship Games Best Bets
26 days ago
NFL Championship Game Sunday is here and Betting Expert John Venezia breaks it down and shares his Betst Bet of the day
FanDuel NFL: Conference Championships DFS Breakdown
27 days ago
The FanDuel conference championship DFS contest features an easy pick at running back in Saquon Barkley. Mike Barner analyzes the strategy and picks.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
One catch in divisional-round win
TEBuffalo Bills
January 19, 2025
Kincaid caught one of two targets for 11 yards in Sunday's 27-25 AFC divisional-round win over the Ravens.
ANALYSIS
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Three catches in wild-card win
TEBuffalo Bills
January 13, 2025
Kincaid played 29 of the Bills' 76 offensive snaps and finished with three catches for 47 yards on three targets in Sunday's 31-7 wild-card win over the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
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Sits out Week 18
TEBuffalo Bills
January 8, 2025
Kincaid didn't play any snaps during Sunday's 23-16 loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Just two catches in Week 17
TEBuffalo Bills
December 29, 2024
Kincaid caught both of his targets for 24 yards in Sunday's 40-14 win over the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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Does little with seven targets
TEBuffalo Bills
December 22, 2024
Kincaid recorded four receptions on seven targets for 15 yards in Sunday's 24-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not available for Chiefs showdown
TEBuffalo Bills
November 15, 2024
Kincaid will sit out Sunday's Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs due to the knee injury he suffered in Week 10, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid sustained the left knee injury during the Week 10 win over the Colts, at one point trying to unsuccessfully play through it early in the second half before leaving for good. The absence will be Kincaid's first of the season and second of his young career, and it should thrust backup Dawson Knox into a larger role in the pivotal conference showdown.
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