Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

24-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2024 first-round draft pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, compiling 56 catches for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games of his rookie season. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid thrived even after Knox returned, as Kincaid’s two highest yardage totals (87 and 84) came in the final two games of the 2023 regular season. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes. Despite scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound tight end tied for 17th at the position with nine red-zone targets, only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage going anywhere but up given his precise route running, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime red-zone opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#83.63
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Buffalo's leading receiver in loss
TEBuffalo Bills
January 22, 2024
Kincaid caught all five of his targets for 45 yards in Buffalo's 27-24 divisional-round loss to the Chiefs on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The stat line explains more than just Kincaid having another strong game in what's been a fantastic rookie season, as the fact that his 45 yards led the team shows just how much the Bills couldn't get Stefon Diggs going in such a crucial game, or that Josh Allen has to play Superman with his legs for the team to keep up with elite opponents. As for Kincaid, his 73 receptions in the regular season were the fourth most in NFL history by a rookie tight end, and he's already passed teammate Dawson Knox as the No. 1 tight end in the passing game. The future is bright for Kincaid, who posted a 73-673-2 line in 16 regular-season games, especially considering he'll have an elite quarterback throwing him the ball for perhaps the next several years.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2023 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
36.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.87
 
% Team Air Yards
12.7%
 
% Team Targets
17.1%
 
Avg Depth of Target
6.3 Yds
 
Catch Rate
80.2%
 
Drop Rate
5.5%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.5
 
% Targeted On Route
19.7%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.45
 
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2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2023 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
D.Dalton Kincaid
#% of Team Snaps

75360%
52241%
19816%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
463 routes   91 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
69%
217 routes   36 targets
47%
7 routes   0 targets
11%
46 routes   3 targets
26%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dalton Kincaid See More
ADP Analysis: Tracking ADP Movement for Best Ball Since the 2024 NFL Draft
5 days ago
Ezekiel Elliott is back in Dallas, boosting his ADP by a league-high 80 spots compared to April. RW's Jerry Donabedian discusses Zeke and the other big ADP movers from April to May.
Best Ball Strategy: Comparing ADPs Between Underdog, DraftKings and Drafters
11 days ago
Bucs RB Rachaad White is one of the many players whose ADP varies considerably across different best ball platforms. RW's Jerry Donabedian highlights other examples and analyzes positional trends on each site.
Best Ball Strategy: Identifying the Best & Worst ADP Values on DraftKings
13 days ago
Early ADP results on DraftKings provide numerous opportunities for value, including Falcons WR Drake London falling to the third round at times.
Payne's Perspective: Fantasy Impact of Offseason Moves
23 days ago
Saquon Barkley's move to Philly was one of many significant offseason changes, and with the NFL Draft out of the way, Kevin Payne analyzes the fantasy fallout.
NFL Reactions: Breaking Down the Stefon Diggs Trade for Houston and Buffalo
48 days ago
Jerry Donabedian tries to figure out how the Stefon Diggs trade will impact two of the league's more fantasy-friendly offenses.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Outlook for '24 gets boost
TEBuffalo Bills
April 4, 2024
Kincaid is set for a boost in targets in 2024 following the trade of Stefon Diggs to the Texans on Wednesday, ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The talented tight end already had an encouraging prospectus for next season, given the fact he'll once again play in a Josh Allen-helmed offense and that he already produced a 73-673-2 line on 91 targets across 16 games as a rookie in 2023. With Diggs and his 160 targets now in Houston -- and Gabe Davis also having departed in free agency to Jacksonville -- Kincaid should have a very good chance of logging triple-digit looks in 2024.
See All NFL Rumors
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
Shines in postseason debut
TEBuffalo Bills
January 15, 2024
Kincaid caught three of six targets for 59 yards and a touchdown in Monday's 31-17 playoff win over the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Strong finish to rookie season
TEBuffalo Bills
January 8, 2024
Kincaid finished with seven receptions on eight targets for 84 yards in Sunday's 21-14 win over the Dolphins.
ANALYSIS
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Leading receiver in Week 17
TEBuffalo Bills
December 31, 2023
Kincaid caught four of seven targets for 87 yards in Sunday's 27-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Set to play Saturday
TEBuffalo Bills
December 21, 2023
Kincaid (shoulder) doesn't have an injury designation for Saturday's game against the Chargers.
ANALYSIS
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Limited in Wednesday's practice
TEBuffalo Bills
Shoulder
December 20, 2023
Kincaid (shoulder) was a limited participant in practice Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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