Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox

27-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After totaling 1,104 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns between 2021 and 2022, Knox ceded the vast majority of Buffalo’s 2023 tight end targets to rookie first-round pick Dalton Kincaid. Knox was limited to 186 receiving yards and two touchdowns across 11 appearances in 2023, though he played at least half of Buffalo’s offensive snaps in each of the first seven games before missing five weeks with a wrist injury. Kincaid stepped up in his absence, and Knox then topped 47 percent share only once in his final seven games (including playoffs). Even with Buffalo lacking established pass catchers after losing Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis this offseason, it would likely take an injury to Kincaid for the 27-year-old Knox to regain his former prominent role. Kincaid is firmly entrenched as the team's top pass-catching tight end, coming off a 673-yard rookie season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#271
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $53.6 million contract with the Bills in September of 2022.
Agrees to restructure contract
TEBuffalo Bills
March 11, 2024
Knox and the Bills have agreed to a restructured contract that lowers his scheduled $14.4 million cap hit for 2024, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The tight end is entering the second season of a four-year, $52 million extension that guarantees most of his money through 2024 but none thereafter. It's possible this agreement changes that, but if not, Knox's future with the team could come into question next offseason. His fantasy value has taken a big hit since the Bills drafted fellow tight end Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dawson Knox's 2023 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
18.9
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.49
 
% Team Air Yards
5.0%
 
% Team Targets
6.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
6.5 Yds
 
Catch Rate
61.1%
 
Drop Rate
13.9%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.5
 
% Targeted On Route
16.6%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
0.86
 
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2022 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2023 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

75360%
52241%
19816%
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How often does Dawson Knox run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dawson Knox and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dawson Knox
217 routes   36 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
47%
463 routes   91 targets
69%
7 routes   0 targets
11%
46 routes   3 targets
26%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dawson Knox lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 Dawson Knox Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Dawson Knox's measurables compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
254 lbs
 
Shuttle Time
4.27 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.12 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.5 in
 
Bench Press
16 reps
 
Hand Length
9.75 in
 
Arm Length
33.50 in
 
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Same role despite first-round TE?
TEBuffalo Bills
April 30, 2023
Bills GM Brandon Beane said Knox's role won't be affected by the addition of fellow tight end Dalton Kincaid in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft, per Matt Parrino of NewYorkUpstate.com.
ANALYSIS
Even if Beane is being forthright and Knox doesn't see fewer snaps, his targets will likely drop due to the addition of Kincaid. Knox should be the better blocker, and the Bills may simply run more two tight end sets to get Kincaid on the field, but the rookie first-round pick should demand plenty of targets after catching 70 passes for 890 yards and eight touchdowns for Utah in 2022.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Knox’s 2022 season was similar to his 2021 campaign, except for a noticeable drop in touchdowns from nine to six. He once again dressed for 15 games, finishing six targets, one catch and 70 yards short of his previous year’s totals. The 6-foot-4 tight end has red zone chemistry with star quarterback Josh Allen, but since Knox has yet to break 50 catches or 600 yards in any of his four NFL seasons, his fantasy value is tied primarily to his touchdown total. His 2022 red zone target total was disappointing in that regard, as Knox dropped from 19 such looks in 2021 to just 11, which is only one more red zone target than he saw as a part-time player in 2020. Another production dip seems likely in 2023 after the Bills spent their first-round pick on TE Dalton Kincaid, who had 1,400 yards and 16 TDs over his final two seasons at Utah. The rookie may not take over the starting job but probably won't need long to cut into Knox's snaps/routes/targets. Even if Kincaid mostly plays in two-TE sets, his presence could mean more blocking snaps and fewer routes run for Knox.
Knox broke out in his third NFL campaign last season, setting career highs across the board. He ranked just 20th among tight ends in targets (71) despite missing only two games, but Knox’s 19 red-zone looks tied for fourth at the position, and he tied for the league lead among tight ends with nine touchdowns. There’s little reason to think the Bills will change Knox’s role this season, even after they signed O.J. Howard, considering their approach last season produced 28.4 points per game and an AFC East crown. Knox’s red-zone chemistry with quarterback Josh Allen is apparent, but there remain plenty of mouths to feed between the 20s in an offense that likes to take advantage of Allen’s arm strength by pushing the ball downfield to Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Knox offers a nice blend of size and speed, with a 4.57 40 at 254 pounds, but given his dependence on touchdowns, he could struggle to match the consistency of some similarly regarded tight ends. That’s especially true in PPR formats, even if he has big games here and there.
Knox was a surprise third-round pick in 2019, after wrapping up his career at Ole Miss with 39 catches for 605 yards and no touchdowns. The Bills apparently were impressed by his blocking, along with a reported 4.57-second 40-yard dash from his pro day. Two years later, Knox has started 18 of his 27 games, typically playing about 60 percent of offensive snaps when healthy. However, he's made more than his fair share of mistakes, including 10 drops on 50 targets as a rookie, followed by two fumbles (and four drops) on just 24 catches in 2020. While QB Josh Allen has elevated Buffalo's wide receivers, the team hasn’t gotten much from its tight ends in recent years. There was no big offseason addition to correct that problem, though it is possible Jacob Hollister takes snaps from Knox, particularly on passing downs. On the other hand, Knox still has a degree of breakout appeal, given his size/speed combo and likely starting role in a high-powered offense.
A third-round pick last year, Knox was second among rookie tight ends in snaps (659) and third in targets, waltzing his way to a starting job after Tyler Kroft suffered a broken foot in OTAs. The Ole Miss product finished his college career with 605 yards and nary a touchdown, struggling to find targets behind A.J. Brown and DK Metcalf. Knox's impressive pro day (4.57 40), 254-pound frame and reputation for strong blocking inspired the Bills to take a shot, and while the rookie perhaps held his own as a starter, the lack of polish was evident (14.3 percent drop rate). He did at least show some big-play ability with five catches for 160 yards on 11 targets traveling 20plus yards downfield. The Bills didn't bring in serious competition, and Knox figures to enter this season atop the depth chart, potentially even handling a three-down role. In terms of targets, he'll presumably fall in somewhere behind Stefon Diggs and John Brown, and possibly behind Cole Beasley and Devin Singletary.
More Fantasy News
Disappointing fifth season
TEBuffalo Bills
February 16, 2024
Knox finished the 2023 regular season with 22 catches for 186 yards and two touchdowns over 12 games.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to face Steelers
TEBuffalo Bills
January 12, 2024
Knox (illness) doesn't carry a designation ahead of Sunday's wild-card game against the Steelers.
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Back at practice
TEBuffalo Bills
Illness
January 12, 2024
Knox (illness) returned to practice Friday, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
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Misses practice with illness
TEBuffalo Bills
Illness
January 11, 2024
Knox isn't participating in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
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Takes back seat to Kincaid
TEBuffalo Bills
January 3, 2024
Knox played 29 offensive snaps but wasn't targeted in the passing game during Sunday's 27-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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