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Best Bets for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns +15.5 (-108)
The Phoenix Suns are +15.5 point underdogs on the road for tonight's NBA Cup Quarterfinals matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The point total is set to 226.5.
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The Suns are playing without their leading point scorer, Devin Booker, while enduring the continued absence of Jalen Green. This means the offense will run through Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen, who are both averaging between 16.9 and 22.1 points per game for Phoenix.
The Thunder are an impressive 23-1 to start their 2025-26 NBA campaign. The defending champions do have star point guard, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, dealing with an elbow injury that kept him out against Utah on December 7th.
Last time the Suns played the Thunder, they lost 123-119. This was without Booker on the court, so there's value betting on Phoenix to cover a big number at +15.5.
The Suns have failed to cover +15.5 in two of their last four games since losing to Oklahoma City by four points on November 28th. However, both wins came on the road against the Lakers and Timberwolves, which is encouraging for their short-handed lineup going up against the top team in the NBA.
Let's grab Phoenix +15.5 for our first best bet in this NBA Cup Quarterfinals matchup against Oklahoma City tonight.
Best Bets for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | U 226.5 (-109)
The Suns rank seventh in points allowed per game (113.3) this season. Oklahoma City's defense is top-tier, ranked first in this metric, while also pacing the league with a 105.4 defensive rating.
Their previous head-to-head matchup in the NBA Cup sailed over 226.5 points. Now that we're in an elimination game, expect the defense to tighten up, especially if the Suns want to pull off the upset.
Both teams' pace ranks 18th and 25th. Expect a slow-tempo game with a lot of quality defense to create contested shots. We'll bet under 226.5 total points for our second best bet on tonight's tilt between Phoenix and Oklahoma City.
Best Bets for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | Jalen Williams O 18.5 Points (-106)
Oddsmakers are leaning toward the under on Jalen Williams' 18.5-point total. Oklahoma City's starting shooting guard has logged over 18.5 points in two of his previous three starts, including an 11-19 performance from the field against the Jazz without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander available.
Gilgeous-Alexander likely suits up for tonight's elimination game to advance in the NBA Cup, creating value on Williams' total points prop. Williams has only been active for five games this season, so he's rounding into form ahead of tonight's tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
He went 3-12 with 11 total points against the Suns during his first game back. He has shot above 45 percent in three straight games, so expect that momentum to transfer into a strong scoring performance, giving Gilgeous-Alexander support on offense.
Let's finish our best bets by placing a final wager on Thunder guard Jalen Williams to go over 18.5 points at -106 odds.
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Picks
- Phoenix Suns +15.5 (-108)
- U 226.5 (-109)
- Jalen Williams O 18.5 Points (-106)
