This article is part of our Football Picks series.
Away teams dominated Gameweek 22 and it wasn't as simple as good teams playing away to bad teams.
Bournemouth smashed at St. James' Park against the most in-form team in the league (Newcastle). Crystal Palace snuck a win at West Ham. Brighton got three goals past Manchester United, while Manchester City seemingly found their scoring boots before losing to PSG midweek. Even Arsenal let a two-goal lead disappear at home.
If you haven't figured it out, betting isn't easy. But, you can still try to find an edge.
Looking for more Premier League bets? Check out Corners & Wagers where Adam is 24-13 for the season on corners bets.
Premier League Best Bets for Everton at Brighton & Hove Albion
Under 2.5 goals between Brighton and Everton -110
The news of more Tottenham injuries came out after I touted under 2.5 goals in Everton's match last week. Maybe it was a bad bet, but I probably wouldn't have made it if I knew Ange Postecoglou was opting for a three-man back line for the first time all season.
Nevertheless, I'm back to the Everton well. Brighton are at home and will get the majority of chances in this match. Brighton have won three in row, but I'm not sold on their efficiency just yet. They scored three goals from six shots at Manchester United, something that surely won't happen against a well-molded Everton group.
I don't think Everton are a great attacking team because they bagged three against Spurs. Even under David Moyes, they have a strategy of sitting deep, hoping to get one of their wings on the counter.
At close to even odds, I'm again taking the under in an Everton match.
EPL Best Bets for Newcastle United at Southampton
SGP: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals + Newcastle double chance +100
Premier League SGPs are available at BetMGM. If you haven't signed up, you can use the BetMGM bonus code ROTOBONUS for a risk-free bet.
Southampton are battling for a few minutes every game. That doesn't say much, but playing at home, I think they get a goal off Newcastle, who have been prone to counter attacks due to a lack of defensive speed.
I also think Southampton going off the rails is in play, so there probably will be goals and they'll probably come from Newcastle. Despite last week's loss, Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon are in flying form and it's hard to bet against them with this Southampton back line.
Throw that together in a single-game parlay and get plus odds.
Premier League Best Bets for Manchester United at Fulham
Under 2.5 goals between Fulham and Man United +100
Premier League over/under bets can be found at the DraftKings Sportsbook. If you need to sign up, click through our DraftKings promo code page for a deposit bonus.
It's evident Man United have to play their A-game against every opponent to have a chance. Craven Cottage should get their adrenaline flowing, which means I expect a tight contest. Fulham have played well the last few meetings, but they've struggled to convert chances into goals.
While a lot of recent numbers suggest defensive mistakes and goals in this match, I prefer not to bet on mistakes. The last time I took a Fulham under, they passed the ball repeatedly to West Ham in front of their own net. Before that, there were three PKs in the Ipswich match. Can this run continue against me? Probably. I don't care, let's run it back!
If you're looking for some boosts and can't decide which one, check out RotoWire's sportsbook promo codes.
Premier League Betting Picks Gameweek 23
- Under 2.5 goals between Brighton and Everton -110
- SGP: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals + Newcastle double chance +100
- Under 2.5 goals between Fulham and Man United +100
Adam's Betting History (for this article)
2023: 45-69-2. Down $1,482 on $100 bets.
2022: 79-58-2. Up $2,281 on $100 bets.
2021: 88-92-8. Up $222 on $100 bets.
2020: 78-91-1. Up $228 on $100 bets.
Visit RotoWire all season for exclusive sports betting picks and our weekly Kits & Wagers betting show. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds, so we have an easy-to-use odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet. Claim over a thousand dollars in bonuses by signing up at the best sports betting sites using the best sportsbook promos.
