We have an abbreviated slate Thursday, but there are potentially profitable PrizePicks opportunities throughout the afternoon and evening. We highlight four of our favorites below:
Use code ROTOWIRE100 to sign up for your PrizePicks account and receive $50 in bonus funds when you make an initial $5 deposit and place $5 on your first selection or selections.
You can also download RotoWire's new Picks App and utilize RotoWire's proprietary PrizePicks tool for suggestions on PrizePicks contests across all sports!
Jackson Chourio, MIL vs. PHI: More Than 0.5 Total Bases
Chourio should be in Thursday's lineup after actually making his way into Wednesday's following a brief period where he was believed to be sitting out that contest due to hamstring cramping. The talented young outfielder has gone hitless over his last two games, but he's hit safely in 81 of 110 games overall, has a solid 78.7 percent contact rate and is averaging 2.0 total bases per game.
Thursday, Chourio faces southpaw Ranger Suarez, who Chourio is 2-for-5 against with a walk in six career encounters. Chourio has been fantastic against left-handers overall, compiling a .356 average, .982 OPS and .417 wOBA in that split. Meanwhile, Suarez has been very good over his last two starts but still more hittable than usual overall since the All-Star break, pitching to a 4.56 ERA, .293 BAA and .328 wOBA across 47.1 innings.
Ranger Suarez, PHI at MIL: More Than 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
As just alluded to, Suarez hasn't been quite as sharp in some of his post-All-Star-break trips to the mound. The left-hander did hold Atlanta to one run over five innings his last time out, but he was fortunate to not walk away with much more damager after giving up 10 hits in that same span. He also had a pair of particularly rough outings against the Reds and Orioles in early August during which he surrendered 11 runs on 19 hits.
Overall, Suarez has allowed two earned runs or more in nine of 21 starts, and he also gave up two runs to the Brewers back on June 1, although one was unearned. Milwaukee hitters have a collective .364 average and .997 OPS against Suarez in 58 career encounters as well, and the Brewers are projected for 4.3 runs as of mid-morning Thursday after opening at 4.0 runs, all metrics that support the notion Suarez could be tagged for at least a pair of ER during his time in the game.
Logan Allen, CLE at TB: More Than 4.5 Strikeouts
Another left-hander in action Thursday is the talented but inconsistent Allen, who has an unsightly 7-10 mark but has given up three earned runs or less in 19 of 26 appearances (25 starts) this season. Allen's 4.42 ERA is borderline respectable, and it actually factors in his worst outing of the season two starts ago against the Rangers.
Allen is just an average strikeout pitcher (7.0 K/9), but he's reached or exceeded the five-strikeout threshold on 11 occasions this season. He will be toiling hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park on Thursday, but doing so against a Rays team that has a 27.5 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching at home since Aug. 1. Allen has reached at least five Ks in four of his last five starts, and he should have a solid chance of doing so again in this spot.
Adam Frazier, KCR vs. LAA: More Than 0.5 Hits
Frazier has been highly productive since his return to Kansas City via trade from Pittsburgh, posting a .298 average and .752 OPS in 37 games while striking out at just a 16.9 percent clip. The veteran has amassed 36 hits during that span as well, so just under one per game. Frazier has been seeing near-everyday playing time of late as well, and he's drawing one of his favorite matchups Thursday.
Frazier has tormented Angels starter Kyle Hendricks to the tune of a .412 average and 1.107 OPS across a sizable sample of 37 plate appearances. He's also been on fire against right-handed pitching at home since returning to KC, posting a .341 average, .848 OPS and .360 wOBA in that split while striking out just 8.7 percent of the time. Meanwhile, Hendricks has surrendered a .267 average and .334 wOBA to lefty bats on the road, furthering Frazier's case for at least one hit.
