Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

30-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Houston Astros
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Bregman is entering into the final year of his current contract, and it could be a rather interesting year if new manager Joe Espada makes the obvious tweak in the lineup. Should Espada finally move Kyle Tucker into the 2nd spot and then use Bregman in between Tucker and Yordan Alvarez, Bregman would arguably be the best positioned hitter in baseball. The insulation of the talent in front of him and the threat behind him would put him in great position to once again drive in 100+ runs, something he has not done in the previous three full seasons. Bregman is a rarity in this modern game as a player who walks more often than he strikes out, but that success translates more to his on-base skills (.373 career) than his batting average (.274 career.) Bregman also is more at home facing fellow righties than lefties the past two seasons but his home/road splits aren't as extreme as one might believe. We'll go out on a limb and state that should Bregman hit third this season, he will win the AL MVP. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#84
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $100 million contract extension with the Astros in March of 2019.
Back in lineup Monday
3BHouston Astros
June 10, 2024
Bregman (hand) will start at third base and bat second in Monday's game in San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
Bregman was removed from Sunday's game against the Angels after being hit on the left hand by a pitch. It was the second time in the last week that he's been struck on the hand by a pitch, but X-rays again came back negative and he won't miss any starts this time around.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
1
28
3
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
2
11
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .679 533 59 13 60 2 .216 .319 .360
Since 2022vs Right .847 1123 162 44 163 4 .275 .370 .476
2024vs Left .582 91 7 2 10 1 .200 .253 .329
2024vs Right .761 185 18 7 22 1 .255 .324 .436
2023vs Left .696 216 29 7 30 1 .215 .319 .376
2023vs Right .850 508 74 18 68 2 .282 .382 .468
2022vs Left .703 226 23 4 20 0 .225 .345 .358
2022vs Right .881 430 70 19 73 1 .277 .377 .504
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+36%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+44%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .855 807 115 34 112 5 .270 .377 .479
Since 2022Away .734 849 106 23 111 1 .244 .332 .402
2024Home .816 132 15 7 17 2 .237 .333 .482
2024Away .602 144 10 2 15 0 .235 .271 .331
2023Home .764 349 47 11 42 3 .250 .358 .405
2023Away .840 375 56 14 56 0 .273 .368 .472
2022Home .972 326 53 16 53 0 .305 .414 .558
2022Away .673 330 40 7 40 1 .215 .318 .355
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alex Bregman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.56
 
BB Rate
8.0%
 
K Rate
14.1%
 
BABIP
.245
 
ISO
.164
 
AVG
.236
 
OBP
.301
 
SLG
.400
 
OPS
.701
 
wOBA
.309
 
Exit Velocity
88.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
26.3%
 
Barrels/PA
4.3%
 
Expected BA
.225
 
Expected SLG
.360
 
Sprint Speed
21.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
38.5%
 
Line Drive %
14.6%
 
Fly Ball %
46.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could drop down batting order
3BHouston Astros
April 24, 2024
Chandler Rome of The Athletic speculates that moving Bregman lower in Houston's batting order could be the "easiest fix" for manager Joe Espada amid the club's poor start to the season.
ANALYSIS
The Astros overall are third in MLB with a .263 team batting average, but Bregman has an abysmal .546 OPS and is 2-for-26 over his past seven contests. The third baseman has primarily hit cleanup this season and has spent most of his MLB career between there and the No. 2 hole, but a drop could be in store with Yainer Diaz and Jeremy Pena hitting better below him. Houston lost to the Cubs on Wednesday for its fourth straight defeat, and a 7-18 record could soon prompt Espada to make a move.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
While he will always have his vocal detractors as a result of his purported involvement in the 2019 Astros cheating scandal, Bregman should be able to rest easy at night knowing he's lived up to expectations as the No. 2 overall pick in 2015. He's a two-time All-Star and now a two-time World Series champion, having hit .294/.379/.569 in the most recent postseason to help manager Dusty Baker secure his first ring. Bregman was limited in 2021 due to quad and hamstring issue and underwent wrist surgery in November of 2021, which may have sapped his power early on in the 2022 campaign (.410 SLG at the end of June). He would go on to slug over .500 after the All-Star break. Running is something Bregman has abandoned, but the highly-capable bat and RBI opportunities batting behind Jose Altuve, Jeremy Pena and Yordan Alvarez make Bregman an appealing option to consider after the elite tier of third basemen are off the board.
While the temptation is to chalk up the worst season of Bregman's career to losing over 10 weeks with quadriceps and hamstring injuries, he was slashing only .275/.359/.428 when he was put on the IL in mid-June, compared to .261/.348/.412 after returning in late August. Bregman has never lit up his Statcast page, with his power being a product of a high pull rate at home and on the road. His contact rate remains excellent, but Bregman's 40.8% groundball rate was a career high, dampening power. Bregman underwent wrist surgery in November which could explain a .737 OPS after Sept. 1 and a .604 mark in 16 playoff games. Bregman's plate skills provide a strong batting average and on base floor. The name brand and the allure of 2019's Happy Fun Ball season raise Bregman's price above his true talent level.
Everyone knew that 2020 was going to be a rough season for Bregman given all the attention regarding TrashcanGate. He rubbed many the wrong way with his attitude toward the whole thing, and gave the haters plenty of fuel with his rather lackluster 2020 performance. Bregman's slash line by season's end included a career-low batting average, his second-lowest OBP, and the worst SLG of his career. He continued to draw walks and not strike out much, which shows that his ability to hit was not solely built upon the banging of a receptacle. He did miss a chunk of time with hamstring injury, but even his confident persona would admit the season was a bust. He no longer has dual position eligibility on draft day, but a healthy Bregman playing in Minute Maid Field should resume his above-average offensive production. Lean more toward 2017 than 2019.
This is what 80-grade plate skills look like: a 17.2 BB% and 12 K% over 690 PA as a 25-year-old. It was Bregman's second straight year with more walks than strikeouts, and he added 10 home runs to his 2018 total. Batting mostly 2-4 in one of the American League's most prolific offenses, Bregman finished with 234 runs-plus-RBI, ranking fourth in MLB, and added a handful of steals en route to a second-place finish in the MVP voting. There is some evidence to suggest he was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the juiced ball, but you're not buying Bregman for 40-plus homers. You're buying him because he has arguably the highest four-category floor in the game for anyone not named Mike Trout or Nolan Arenado. Bregman has reached 155 games played in each of the last three years and the Astros will be returning most of their offense around him. He maintains shortstop- and 3B-eligibility heading into 2020.
Bregman's coming-out party in the 2017 World Series may have moved his draft-day price to an uncomfortable level, but he rewarded investors by blossoming into one of the sport's top hitters. A more selective approach has been the key, as he bumped his BB/K from 0.29 to 1.13 in the span of two years. Bregman made the most of the contact gains, too, raising his ISO by 55 points en route to a 31-homer campaign. While Bregman lost out on some steals, he was still an asset on the bases with 10 thefts, atoning for the decline there with big outputs in the other major counting categories. The year-to-year growth he's already shown makes it tough to bank on Bregman reaching another level, but his age and the support of a stacked lineup at least make it a possibility. He underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow in January and is expected to be limited at the start of spring training, potentially pushing him out of the first round.
Bregman took a while to find his footing at the big-league level, but he grew very comfortable by the end of 2017, finishing with a .315/.367/.536 line in the second half. He carried that momentum into the postseason and showed his mettle with homers off Chris Sale (2), Clayton Kershaw and Kenley Jansen en route to a World Series win. Bregman puts the ball in play consistently (15.5 percent strikeout rate) and he walked at an above-average clip last season (8.8 percent) while making hard contact with roughly one-third of his batted balls. At 23 years old, he has good instincts on the basepaths (17-for-22) and has already cemented himself into the two hole in one of baseball's best lineups. There's a ton to like here even at an inflated cost coming off the postseason run; think Anthony Rendon-lite with more speed and shortstop eligibility, and without the injury history.
Bregman has been in professional baseball for all of two seasons, and all he has done is hit. He had more walks than strikeouts at the minor league level and hit .300/.388/.503 with 24 homers and 20 steals in the minors in what equated to a full season of 679 plate appearances across all levels. He held his own at the major league level after just 83 plate appearances at Triple-A. Following a 2-for-42 start in the majors, Bregman hit .313/.354/.577 the rest of the way, showing his ability to quickly adjust against top-level pitching. He is projected to hit in the top third of the lineup between George Springer and Jose Altuve which should help him become a very productive third baseman in 2017.
Following three successful seasons at LSU (.334/.407/.517) where he established himself as one of the top college hitters available, Bregman was selected by the Astros with the second overall pick in the 2015 first-year player draft. In 66 games between Low-A Quad Cities and High-A Lancaster last season, Bregman hit .294/.366/.415 with four home runs, 34 RBI and 13 steals with a 30:29 K:BB. The 21-year-old played shortstop in college and throughout his first professional season, but his future position probably hinges on the health of Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve when he is ready to debut. The Astros could also look to deal Bregman if he is ready for primetime and they don't have a spot for him. A ticket to Double-A Corpus Christi is likely at some point in 2016, if not to begin the year, but a jump to the majors will likely have to wait until 2017 unless there is an injury in the big league infield.
More Fantasy News
Initial tests come back clean
3BHouston Astros
Hand
June 9, 2024
X-rays on Bregman's left wrist came back clean Sunday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits after HBP on hand
3BHouston Astros
Hand
June 9, 2024
Bregman exited Sunday's game against the Angels after being hit on the left hand by a 93.4 mph sinker in the sixth inning, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not slowed by brief absence
3BHouston Astros
June 7, 2024
Bregman went 2-for-4 with a walk and a run scored Friday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Back in lineup Friday
3BHouston Astros
June 7, 2024
Bregman (hand) is starting at third base and batting second in Friday's series opener against the Angels, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched with hand soreness
3BHouston Astros
Hand
June 5, 2024
Bregman has been scratched from Wednesday's lineup due to lingering left hand soreness, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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