Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#177
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2023.
Gets call for Game 1
PMinnesota Twins
October 6, 2023
Ober will start Saturday against the Astros in Game 1 of the ALDS, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Ober wasn't even on the Twins' AL Wild Card Series roster, but he'll be entrusted with the series opener in Houston. The big right-hander was sent to the minors following a midseason swoon, but he returned in September to post a 2.08 ERA with 26 strikeouts in 21.2 innings of work. Ober will be opposed by Justin Verlander in Game 1.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
72
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .251 567 121 38 131 28 2 15
Since 2021vs Right .229 616 172 21 134 22 4 31
2023vs Left .228 293 63 17 62 13 1 6
2023vs Right .236 284 83 12 63 11 0 16
2022vs Left .258 100 17 8 23 6 1 1
2022vs Right .205 127 34 3 25 4 1 3
2021vs Left .288 174 41 13 46 9 0 8
2021vs Right .235 205 55 6 46 7 3 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.58 1.13 148.1 7 4 0 9.0 2.1 1.5
Since 2021Away 3.68 1.08 144.1 6 8 0 9.0 1.6 1.3
2023Home 3.30 1.07 76.1 3 3 0 8.4 2.0 1.5
2023Away 3.57 1.06 68.0 5 3 0 9.9 1.6 1.2
2022Home 3.38 1.17 24.0 2 0 0 10.5 2.3 0.8
2022Away 3.09 0.97 32.0 0 3 0 6.5 1.4 0.6
2021Home 4.13 1.21 48.0 2 1 0 9.2 2.1 1.9
2021Away 4.26 1.20 44.1 1 2 0 9.5 1.6 2.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.03
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
91.4 mph
 
ERA
3.43
 
WHIP
1.07
 
BABIP
.283
 
GB/FB
0.80
 
Left On Base
77.9%
 
Exit Velocity
81.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2212 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.7%
 
Swinging Strike
14.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bailey Ober See More
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Fantasy Baseball Top-300 Rankings
18 days ago
It's still all Ronald Acuna at the top, but Julio Rodriguez has now claimed the second spot in the latest edition of the RotoWire Roundtable rankings.
Breakout Breakdown: Bailey Ober
33 days ago
Bailey Ober is a 6-foot-9 giant with a unique fastball and a unique statistical profile. Does it all add up to someone we should trust in 2024?
Collette Calls: 2024 AL Central Bold Predictions
38 days ago
Jason Collette's latest set of bold predictions features one on Cole Ragans, but in which direction?
Fantasy Baseball: Four Pitches That Should Be Thrown More in 2024
39 days ago
Corbin Young discusses four seldom-used pitches that could help drive pitchers to new heights in 2024, including Zach Eflin's sweeper.
RotoWire Roundtable: Fantasy Baseball Top 300 January Update
41 days ago
The RotoWire Roundtable crew shares their latest rankings, with changes as high as the early first round.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
Ober had a strong showing in his first taste of the majors with a 4.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 96:19 K:BB across 92.1 innings (20 starts) before his season ended due to a hip injury in late September. He displayed a good strikeout rate (25.3%) and strong walk rate (5%), but struggled with the long ball (1.95 HR/9). At 26, he's a bit of a late bloomer after missing significant time in college due to Tommy John surgery and struggling with injuries early in his minor league career. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.5 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control and improving off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Ober is expected to win a rotation spot to begin the 2022 campaign and could improve dramatically if he can keep the ball in the park.
More Fantasy News
Under consideration for Game 1
PMinnesota Twins
October 6, 2023
Ober is being considered to start Saturday's Game 1 of the ALDS in Houston, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out nine
PMinnesota Twins
October 1, 2023
Ober allowed one run on two hits over 6.2 innings during Sunday's loss to Colorado. He struck out nine and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Athletics
PMinnesota Twins
September 26, 2023
Ober (8-6) earned the win Tuesday, allowing two hits over five scoreless innings against the Athletics. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two runs in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
September 21, 2023
Ober did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over five innings against the Reds. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Sticking in rotation
PMinnesota Twins
September 16, 2023
Ober will make a start during the team's upcoming series against the Reds in Cincinnati that begins Monday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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