Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#366
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Twins in June of 2017.
Sent to minors
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
March 26, 2023
The Twins optioned Ober to Triple-A St. Paul on Sunday, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Ober made three appearances in the Grapefruit League, and he didn't allow a run while forging a 6:2 K:BB and 0.33 WHIP. The right-hander was not going to be a part of Minnesota's rotation, so he'll head to Triple-A to receive regular innings. Ober will likely make starts for the Twins before the end of the season, and he could be worth a look as a streamer on those occasions based on his success in 2022.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
78
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .277 274 58 21 69 15 1 9
Since 2020vs Right .223 332 89 9 71 11 4 15
2022vs Left .258 100 17 8 23 6 1 1
2022vs Right .205 127 34 3 25 4 1 3
2021vs Left .288 174 41 13 46 9 0 8
2021vs Right .235 205 55 6 46 7 3 12
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.88 1.19 72.0 4 1 0 9.6 2.1 1.5
Since 2020Away 3.77 1.10 76.1 1 5 0 8.3 1.5 1.4
2022Home 3.38 1.17 24.0 2 0 0 10.5 2.3 0.8
2022Away 3.09 0.97 32.0 0 3 0 6.5 1.4 0.6
2021Home 4.13 1.21 48.0 2 1 0 9.2 2.1 1.9
2021Away 4.26 1.20 44.1 1 2 0 9.5 1.6 2.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.64
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
3.21
 
WHIP
1.05
 
BABIP
.292
 
GB/FB
0.75
 
Left On Base
69.3%
 
Exit Velocity
83.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.7%
 
Spin Rate
2196 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
13.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2022 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong showing in his first taste of the majors with a 4.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 96:19 K:BB across 92.1 innings (20 starts) before his season ended due to a hip injury in late September. He displayed a good strikeout rate (25.3%) and strong walk rate (5%), but struggled with the long ball (1.95 HR/9). At 26, he's a bit of a late bloomer after missing significant time in college due to Tommy John surgery and struggling with injuries early in his minor league career. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.5 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control and improving off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Ober is expected to win a rotation spot to begin the 2022 campaign and could improve dramatically if he can keep the ball in the park.
More Fantasy News
Second strong outing
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
March 8, 2023
Ober threw two scoreless innings with two strikeouts in Wednesday's spring training win over Toronto. Ober has averaged more than 93 mph with his fastball in both spring starts after averaging 91.5 mph during the 2022 regular season, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could begin season in minors
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
January 20, 2023
Ober could begin the season at Triple-A St. Paul following the Twins' addition of Pablo Lopez, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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One mistake in final start
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
October 3, 2022
Ober did not factor into the decision Monday, allowing two runs on two hits and one walk over five innings against the White Sox. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Electric versus White Sox
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
September 27, 2022
Ober (2-3) got the win after he tossed 7.1 scoreless innings, allowing two hits and a walk while striking out 10 batters Tuesday against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three in defeat
PMinnesota Twins  AAA
September 22, 2022
Ober (1-3) took the loss Wednesday, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk over five innings against the Royals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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