Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#96
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.55 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Goes five innings in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
May 8, 2025
Ober did not factor into the decision Thursday against the Orioles, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
While Ober's winning streak ended at four, the right-hander allowed just one earned run in a fourth consecutive outing (despite allowing seven or more hits in each start). Ober now sports a 3.50 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and 37:9 K:BB across 43.2 innings this season. His currently lined up for a rematch with the Orioles on the road in his next start.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .218 712 165 36 145 29 2 20
Since 2023vs Right .238 765 209 45 168 36 4 34
2025vs Left .284 93 15 4 25 2 0 2
2025vs Right .300 98 22 5 27 10 0 3
2024vs Left .190 326 87 15 58 14 1 12
2024vs Right .223 383 104 28 78 15 4 15
2023vs Left .228 293 63 17 62 13 1 6
2023vs Right .236 284 83 12 63 11 0 16
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-1%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.69 1.12 180.2 12 8 0 9.2 2.2 1.5
Since 2023Away 3.73 1.03 186.0 12 8 0 9.1 1.8 1.1
2025Home 2.53 1.31 21.1 2 0 0 9.3 1.7 1.3
2025Away 4.43 1.48 22.1 2 1 0 6.0 2.0 0.8
2024Home 4.34 1.11 83.0 7 5 0 10.0 2.5 1.6
2024Away 3.67 0.91 95.2 5 4 0 9.3 1.9 1.1
2023Home 3.30 1.07 76.1 3 3 0 8.4 2.0 1.5
2023Away 3.57 1.06 68.0 5 3 0 9.9 1.6 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.88
 
K/9
7.2
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
90.7 mph
 
ERA
3.72
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.333
 
GB/FB
0.85
 
Left On Base
80.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2118 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons.
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
Ober had a strong showing in his first taste of the majors with a 4.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 96:19 K:BB across 92.1 innings (20 starts) before his season ended due to a hip injury in late September. He displayed a good strikeout rate (25.3%) and strong walk rate (5%), but struggled with the long ball (1.95 HR/9). At 26, he's a bit of a late bloomer after missing significant time in college due to Tommy John surgery and struggling with injuries early in his minor league career. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.5 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control and improving off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Ober is expected to win a rotation spot to begin the 2022 campaign and could improve dramatically if he can keep the ball in the park.
More Fantasy News
Fans six in quality start
PMinnesota Twins
May 3, 2025
Ober (4-1) earned the win against the Red Sox on Saturday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Collects third win
PMinnesota Twins
April 28, 2025
Ober (3-1) earned the win Monday at Cleveland, allowing one run on eight hits and one walk over 7.2 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up second win
PMinnesota Twins
April 23, 2025
Ober (2-1) earned a win over the White Sox on Tuesday, allowing one run on eight hits and a walk while striking out six in six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Mixed results in quality start
PMinnesota Twins
April 15, 2025
Ober (1-1) got the win Tuesday against the Mets after giving up three runs on five hits and no walks in 6.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Logs quality start
PMinnesota Twins
April 10, 2025
Ober didn't factor into the decision Thursday against the Royals, allowing one run on five hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
PMinnesota Twins
August 23, 2023
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
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