Emilio Pagan

Emilio Pagan

31-Year-Old PitcherRP
Minnesota Twins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Emilio Pagan in 2023. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $2.3 million contract with the Padres in November of 2021. Traded to the Twins in April of 2022.
Takes loss Saturday
PMinnesota Twins
August 13, 2022
Pagan (3-6) allowed two runs (one earned) on a hit and a walk in one inning, taking the loss in extra innings Saturday versus the Angels.
ANALYSIS
This was Pagan's second appearance since suffering a lat cramp last Sunday. The right-hander got through the 10th inning without trouble, but he gave up a walkoff two-run home run to Taylor Ward with no outs in the 11th. Through five appearances in August, Pagan has struggled, allowing seven runs (five earned), including two homers, while striking out five in 5.1 innings. He has a 5.23 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 58:18 K:BB through 41.1 innings overall. While he's added nine saves and seven holds, his struggle with keeping the ball in the park (10 homers allowed) has taken him mostly out of the closer conversation.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
19
Last 10 Games
21
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Emilio Pagan generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Emilio Pagan generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .210 277 83 23 53 12 2 12
Since 2020vs Right .248 345 92 30 77 21 1 20
2022vs Left .213 118 37 9 23 4 0 3
2022vs Right .270 156 47 17 37 10 1 9
2021vs Left .210 115 33 9 22 8 1 7
2021vs Right .248 148 36 9 34 10 0 9
2020vs Left .205 44 13 5 8 0 1 2
2020vs Right .167 41 9 4 6 1 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.93 1.07 87.0 5 4 8 11.0 2.7 1.7
Since 2020Away 5.64 1.48 60.2 3 6 3 10.2 4.0 2.4
2022Home 4.03 1.32 38.0 3 3 6 12.3 3.1 1.7
2022Away 5.04 1.44 25.0 1 3 3 11.5 4.7 1.8
2021Home 3.65 0.89 37.0 2 1 0 10.2 2.4 1.5
2021Away 6.49 1.56 26.1 2 2 0 9.2 2.7 3.4
2020Home 4.50 0.83 12.0 0 0 2 9.0 2.3 2.3
2020Away 4.82 1.39 9.1 0 1 0 9.6 5.8 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Emilio Pagan compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.23
 
K/9
12.0
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
95.7 mph
 
ERA
4.43
 
WHIP
1.37
 
BABIP
.339
 
GB/FB
1.20
 
Left On Base
72.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
2275 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.2%
 
Swinging Strike
14.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Emilio Pagan
Closer Encounters: 2022 Saves in Review, Part 2
50 days ago
Ryan Rufe recaps the saves landscape in this year's NFBC Main Event and shares his own hits and misses from this past season.
Closer Encounters: 2022 Saves in Review, Part 1
56 days ago
Ryan Rufe recaps this past season's saves landscape. Just how many teams preferred closer committees over the conventional approach?
Collette Calls: Lead Horse In The Stable
90 days ago
Jason Collette analyzes Pete Fairbanks, whose second-half dominance could allow him to emerge from the Rays' committee to become a true closer.
Closer Encounters: Trade Deadline Upheaval
124 days ago
The trade deadline has left closer situations in flux around the league, but Ryan Rufe is here to break it all down.
Closer Encounters: Relief Market Primer
132 days ago
Ryan Rufe breaks down the relievers who could be on the move in the next few days as well as their potential destinations.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
After saving 20 games for Tampa Bay in 2019 and two for San Diego in 2020, many assumed Pagan would be in the Padres mix for saves last season. The closer role ultimately went to Mark Melancon, who led the league with 39 saves and had high security in the job all year. Pagan's 2.3 HR/9 was second-worst among qualified relievers and was the main reason he never really threatened Melancon for save chances. He allowed 24 barrels among 174 batted ball events, a 13.8% clip that was among the worst in baseball. These struggles resulted in a career-worst 4.83 ERA (4.67 xERA, 5.22 FIP) across his 67 appearances. However, the 30-year-old improved his walk rate (6.8%) and recorded a career-high 19 holds in a setup role. Pagan has a wide range of outcomes for 2022, which include the possibility of save chances in San Diego, or a possible trade due to his rising arbitration salary and pending free agency in 2024.
After racking up 20 saves for the Rays in 2019, Pagan was acquired by San Diego to fill a setup role in the bullpen. His campaign got off to a rocky beginning, however, as he held a 7.36 ERA along with four blown saves nearly a month into the season. Much to his credit, the right-hander rebounded from the rough start, holding opponents scoreless in 10 of his final 11 appearances and picking up two saves after both Kirby Yates and Drew Pomeranz went down with injuries. Of concern, Pagan's fastball velocity dropped a tick, and his strikeout rate (26.4%) was merely average after coming in at an elite 36.0% mark the previous season. In addition, Pagan struggled with both his command and control, registering a 1.6 HR/9 and a career-worst 10.3 BB%. Both numbers improved over the final five weeks of the season, so his 2021 success (and role) could hinge on how much of that momentum carries over to spring training.
The Rays acquired Pagan in December 2018 after he took a step back during his year with the A's, but he ended up finishing the 2019 season as the team's main closer (20-for-28 in save chances). He was traded yet again in February, this time to San Diego, where he figures to set up in front of Kirby Yates. Pagan increased his K% nearly 12 percentage points to 36.0% as he added almost two mph to his fastball, which averaged 95.5 mph. Pagan finished the season with a 2.31 ERA and 0.83 WHIP while relying more on his slider, which also saw a spike in velocity of almost three mph. The loss of the ninth-inning role following the trade to the Padres takes Pagan off the table in most standard mixed leagues, but Pagan should break camp with a high-leverage role and is still very much appealing in leagues counting holds.
Pagan was a deep-league sleeper last offseason on the back of a campaign in which he struck out 28.6% of batters while walking just 4.1%. Both marks went in the wrong direction in 2018, though he was still above average in both statistical categories. Pagan has a heavy flyball lean and that has led to some homer problems at the highest level. Following a trade to the Rays, his third team, he joins an organization with a reputation for getting the most out of its pitchers. Perhaps he will get some run as an opener. Either way he should see a fairly heavy workload, and with a fairly high strikeout rate, Pagan remains a candidate to be a non-closing reliever with fantasy value.
Turning 27 in May, Pagan isn't young, but his rookie stint with the Mariners made him a fresh name to watch. Averaging at least 10.2 K/9 in his last two seasons combined between Double-A and Triple-A, the right-hander fanned 56 and walked just eight across his first 50.1 major-league innings last year. Among big-league relievers with 50-plus innings in 2017, he ranked 18th with a 24.5 K-BB percentage, and the 1.4 BB/9 shows he's not just a high-whiff, high-walk filler arm. His rising fastball hits the mid-90s to pair with an effective slider, and harnessing his changeup could elevate him even more. Home runs probably will be an issue because he works up in the zone (56.9 percent flyball rate in his first year), but perhaps his new park will help. He was dealt to the Athletics early this offseason and may find himself in the mix for setup work or even save chances.
More Fantasy News
Exits with lat cramp
PMinnesota Twins
Lat
August 7, 2022
The Twins announced Pagan was removed from his relief appearance in Sunday's game against the Blue Jays due to a right lat cramp, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports. He retired two batters and allowed a base hit before exiting in the sixth inning.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Picks up win in relief
PMinnesota Twins
July 3, 2022
Pagan (2-3) earned the win in Saturday's 4-3 win over Baltimore, allowing no runs on no hits while striking out one and walking one over one inning of relief.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Out of closer role
PMinnesota Twins
July 1, 2022
Pagan will move from the closer role to low-leverage appearances until he gets back on track, the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports. "Yeah, he's going to pitch earlier in the games and potentially when we don't have the lead and things like that," said manager Rocco Baldelli.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Blows fifth save
PMinnesota Twins
June 28, 2022
Pagan (1-3) took the loss in the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Guardians, giving up two runs on a hit and two walks without recording an out as the Twins fell 3-2.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Records ninth save
PMinnesota Twins
June 14, 2022
Pagan pitched a scoreless inning against Seattle on Monday, allowing one walk and striking out two batters to earn the save.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.