Freddy Peralta

Freddy Peralta

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2023 Fantasy Outlook
A lat strain put Peralta on the shelf for an extended period and shoulder fatigue cost him additional time late, with those issues conspiring to limit the righty to 18 appearances (17 starts) last season. This was after he made 27 starts in 2021, by far a career high after he'd spent most of the prior two seasons working in relief. Peralta showcased high-level stuff when available in 2022. In fact, his Statcast batted-ball numbers were off the charts in his 78-inning sample. His strikeouts took a step backward (from 33.6% to 27.1%), but he had success with all four of his pitches last season and projects to be firmly in the Brewers' rotation in 2023, health permitting. The 26-year-old has only cleared 100 big-league innings once so far and will be a candidate to move to relief full-time if he has another long-term injury, but the Brewers are likely holding out hope he can take the ball every fifth day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a five-year, $15.5 million contract extension with the Brewers in February of 2020. Contract includes team options for 2025 and 2026.
Four scoreless innings Sunday
PMilwaukee Brewers
October 2, 2022
Peralta struck out four and allowed two hits in four shutout innings in a 4-3 extra-innings loss Sunday against Miami. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Peralta was excellent in his third appearance since returning from a shoulder injury Sept. 25. He faced just one batter over the minimum and did not allow any baserunner to reach scoring position. The 26-year-old has been building his endurance after the injury, and Sunday's four-inning outing was his longest since tossing five frames Aug. 31. The Brewers are battling for the final wild-card spot in the National League and, should they make it, Peralta could be their Game 1 starter as Brandon Woodruff and Corbin Burnes are likely to pitch over the final three games of the regular season.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
65
Last 5 Games
50
How many pitches does Freddy Peralta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Freddy Peralta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .158 513 156 55 70 13 4 10
Since 2020vs Right .192 498 169 39 86 27 0 11
2022vs Left .145 134 39 13 17 3 2 2
2022vs Right .222 183 47 14 37 7 0 4
2021vs Left .157 313 93 33 43 7 2 8
2021vs Right .174 267 102 23 41 16 0 6
2020vs Left .189 66 24 9 10 3 0 0
2020vs Right .178 48 20 2 8 4 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-37%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.31 0.93 144.0 10 7 0 11.2 3.0 0.8
Since 2020Away 2.81 1.10 105.2 7 3 0 12.4 3.9 0.7
2022Home 4.34 0.99 45.2 3 4 0 9.5 2.8 0.8
2022Away 2.51 1.11 32.1 1 0 0 10.6 3.6 0.6
2021Home 2.88 0.90 84.1 5 3 0 11.8 3.1 1.0
2021Away 2.70 1.07 60.0 5 2 0 12.6 4.1 0.8
2020Home 2.57 0.93 14.0 2 0 0 12.9 3.2 0.0
2020Away 4.05 1.20 13.1 1 1 0 16.2 4.1 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Freddy Peralta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.19
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
92.7 mph
 
ERA
3.58
 
WHIP
1.04
 
BABIP
.264
 
GB/FB
1.05
 
Left On Base
68.9%
 
Exit Velocity
80.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
2203 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Peralta has made the conversion from starter to reliever and back to starter with aplomb. After an impressive rookie showing, he struggled both in 2019 and 2020 with consistency, but always kept an uncanny ability to collect strikeouts with his deceptive fastball. Last winter, Peralta re-worked his slider in winter ball and unleashed hell on major-league hitters with it most of 2021, as the league hit .158 off the pitch while swinging and missing 43% of the time. He also dusted off his changeup, perhaps to give hitters a chance; it was the only one of his primary offerings the league hit over .160 against. The BABIP would give some pause, but his expected stats at a per-pitch level validate matters. Last season was the first in which Peralta shouldered any sort of workload. The skills are there, but the lack of workload track record should give you pause.
After starting the third game of the season a year ago Peralta pitched exclusively in relief, and his results were exceptional. In 26.1 innings over 14 relief appearances Peralta posted a 15.0 K/9, and of the 19 hits he allowed just two of them left the ballpark. At least part of that success can be attributed to the addition of a slider, and although it wasn't a dominant pitch, it made his sneaky fastball more effective than it was the year before. Peralta ditched his changeup but still went with his curveball 10 percent of the time, and with him now throwing three pitches with some regularity instead of two, and with him not turning 25 until June, there's still a chance he could rejoin the rotation. If he doesn't, expect him to be the primary bridge to the Brewers' talented back-end duo of Josh Hader and Devin Williams.
Peralta's stock was on the rise after a rookie year in which he posted an 11.0 K/9 and .178 BAA while working mainly as a starter, but he took a step back in his second season and bounced between the rotation and the bullpen before ultimately ending up in a relief role. Thanks mainly to a heater that comes in harder than it looks, Fastball Freddy continued racking up punchouts, and his K/9 went up in 2019, both when starting and relieving. However, he gave up far more hits and homers, which resulted in subpar results in both ratio categories. Peralta ended the season on a high note, posting a 1.86 ERA over eight September appearances and helping the Brewers secure a playoff spot. That could have him ticketed for a spot in the bullpen moving forward, but he will not turn 24 until this summer, so it seems likely he will get at least one more chance to prove he can be a quality starter at the top level.
Peralta burst onto the scene last year in his big-league debut, striking out 13 batters and allowing just one hit over 5.2 innings in Coors Field, of all places. Peralta averaged just 90.8 mph on his fastball last year, but that did not stop him from posting an 11.0 K/9 at the big-league level. With that velocity, Peralta’s success can be attributed to his deception, as he hides his pitches well from opposing hitters. That hasn’t been a pattern for sustained success in the past (think Ubaldo Jimenez, John Axford) but Peralta did throw in the mid-90s when working out of the bullpen late in the season, which gives him a nice long-term floor. He figures to compete for a rotation spot in the spring, but given the Brewers’ depth, it will be tough for him to secure a spot. If he doesn’t, he could work in relief at the big-league level or stay stretched out at Triple-A.
Peralta made steady improvements from 2014 through 2016, but he made a huge leap in 2017, dominating batters at both the High-A and Double-A ranks. A strong start to the season with High-A Carolina earned him a promotion to Double-A Biloxi, where he was even better. When it was all said and done, Peralta had struck out 169 batters over 120 innings while limiting opposing hitters to a minuscule .178 batting average. The only black mark on his ledger was a woeful walk rate that nearly touched 5.00. That is an area of concern for Peralta moving forward as he has struggled with free passes at nearly every level, as is his slight frame. However, Peralta's track record and strikeout potential give him tantalizing upside. If he is unable to reign in his control, his strikeout stuff should play just fine in a relief role.
Peralta was one of the lottery tickets acquired by the Brewers in the Adam Lind trade last winter. At just 6-foot and 168 pounds, he doesn't have the frame of the typical rotation prospect, but it's hard to argue with his results so far. In 16 appearances for Low-A Wisconsin, Peralta struck out 77 batters over just 60 innings en route to a 2.85 ERA. He took his lumps in eight games following a promotion to High-A Brevard County, but at 20 years old, there's no shame in that. He has issues with control but an arsenal that is nasty enough to rack up strikeouts. He'll never project as a top-of-the-rotation pitcher, but he could find himself starting in Milwaukee in a few years if he can improve his control.
More Fantasy News
Starting Sunday
PMilwaukee Brewers
October 1, 2022
Peralta will start Sunday's game against the Marlins, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders grand slam in relief
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 29, 2022
Peralta (4-4) blew the save and took the loss in Thursday's 4-2 loss against Miami. He allowed four runs on three hits and one walk while striking out three over 1.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Two innings in return Sunday
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 25, 2022
Peralta (shoulder) allowed two hits and a walk while striking out three in two innings in a 2-1 loss Sunday in Cincinnati. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Activated ahead of Sunday's start
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 25, 2022
Peralta (shoulder) was activated from the 15-day injured list prior to his start Sunday against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Returning Sunday in Cincy
PMilwaukee Brewers
Shoulder
September 23, 2022
Peralta (shoulder) will start Sunday's game against the Reds, Will Aldrich of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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