Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#211
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in March of 2025.
Trouble finding plate Friday
PCleveland Guardians
July 12, 2025
Williams came away with a no-decision in the second game of Friday's doubleheader against the White Sox, giving up three runs on four hits and five walks over five-plus innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
The right-hander's control and command continue to be an issue. Williams tossed 59 of 102 pitches for strikes before getting the hook after allowing a leadoff single to Luis Robert in the sixth, but Lenyn Sosa was his biggest nemesis as the Chicago second baseman launched solo shots in the first and fifth innings. The five free passes weren't even a season high for Williams -- he issued six walks May 26 against the Dodgers -- and he's walked multiple batters in 10 straight trips to the mound, a stretch from which he's somehow emerged with a respectable 3.25 ERA and 1.27 WHIP despite a 44:33 K:BB over 55.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2025 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-52%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .198 559 135 75 94 21 1 16
Since 2023vs Right .262 539 120 51 126 26 4 13
2025vs Left .146 202 51 30 25 4 0 6
2025vs Right .302 219 44 27 57 9 0 8
2024vs Left .219 174 44 17 33 8 1 3
2024vs Right .275 158 35 15 39 9 2 4
2023vs Left .237 183 40 28 36 9 0 7
2023vs Right .200 162 41 9 30 8 2 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.24 1.41 138.0 7 12 0 9.8 4.2 1.1
Since 2023Away 3.53 1.30 117.1 4 7 0 8.1 4.8 0.9
2025Home 3.29 1.31 52.0 4 2 0 9.5 4.7 1.0
2025Away 4.17 1.57 45.1 1 2 0 7.9 6.0 1.6
2024Home 6.55 1.70 33.0 0 7 0 11.5 3.8 1.4
2024Away 3.56 1.12 43.0 3 3 0 7.7 3.8 0.4
2023Home 3.74 1.32 53.0 3 3 0 9.0 3.9 1.0
2023Away 2.48 1.14 29.0 0 2 0 8.7 4.3 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.73
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
5.1
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
96.6 mph
 
ERA
3.61
 
WHIP
1.41
 
BABIP
.279
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Left On Base
77.7%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2314 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.6%
 
Swinging Strike
11.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gavin Williams See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gavin Williams See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Williams opened the season in Double-A Akron but pushed his way into Cleveland's rotation by mid-June and remained there for the rest of the season. The apex of his season was consecutive double-digit strikeout games against Toronto and Tampa Bay in early August while the only true disastrous outing was one against the Dodgers later that month. The complaint with the rookie would be walks as he had four walks in five of his 16 outings but Williams also benefited from stranding runners in those outings as none of the five were terrible outings. We could also nitpick at him only going six or more innings in 5 of his 16 outings which made it tougher for him to net wins and quality starts. Cleveland has an excellent track record of pitching development and they'll no doubt continue to mold Williams into the front half of the rotation pitcher they envision him to be. That project just may not be completed in 2024.
Chasing college pitchers with big stuff and a non-premium first-year player draft price tag is a strong strategy in dynasty leagues, and Williams has thus far rewarded those who targeted him last offseason. A sturdy 6-foot-6 righty from East Carolina whom Cleveland selected with the 23rd overall pick in 2021, Williams has a power arsenal featuring an upper-90s fastball and three offspeed offerings that have above-average to plus potential. Williams registered a 1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 149:40 K:BB in 115 innings across 25 starts in High-A and Double-A. He has SP1 or SP2 potential if he stays healthy and throws enough strikes. Cleveland's rotation will be tough to crack in the near future, but Williams could be the first of the Guardians' next big wave (also featuring Daniel Espino and Tanner Bibee) to debut.
More Fantasy News
Dominant against Tigers
PCleveland Guardians
July 6, 2025
Williams did not factor in the decision during Sunday's extra-inning loss to Detroit. He allowed a hit and three walks over six shutout frames while striking out eight.
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Takes fourth loss
PCleveland Guardians
July 2, 2025
Williams (5-4) took the loss Tuesday, allowing four runs on seven hits and four walks over 5.2 innings in a 5-2 loss against the Cubs. He struck out two.
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Falters late in no-decision
PCleveland Guardians
June 25, 2025
Williams did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's 5-4 extra-inning win against the Blue Jays, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and three walks with two strikeouts over 5.1 innings.
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Fans six in six shutout innings
PCleveland Guardians
June 19, 2025
Williams didn't factor into the decision Thursday against the Giants, giving up two hits and three walks in six scoreless innings. He struck out six.
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Inefficient in no-decision
PCleveland Guardians
June 13, 2025
Williams allowed two runs on six hits and three walks while striking out one over four innings in a no-decision Friday versus the Mariners.
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