Juan Soto

Juan Soto

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Yankees
2024 Fantasy Outlook
All's well that ends well? Soto was hitting .202 with five homers and 11 RBI as the calendar flipped to May, making many fantasy managers rather nervous watching their first round foundational pick get off to such a poor start. Soto went on to turn things around, hitting 30 homers, driving in 98, and hitting .290 for the rest of the season to finish as the 16th most valuable fantasy player in our standard rankings. He was one of three qualified hitters with more walks than strikeouts in 2023 and has still not fallen below the .400 mark for a season on-base percentage in his entire career. The batting average has taken a tumble since the 2020-2021 season but the volume is still in place for the other statistics. After getting traded to the Yankees for his final year before free agency, Soto will gain a massive home-park power boost, as Yankee Stadium rates as the second best park for lefty power, per Baseball Savant's park factors, while San Diego rated as the fifth-worst such park. There will be immense pressure on him to produce in pinstripes as his free agency looms next winter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#10
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $31 million contract with the Yankees in January of 2024.
Homers in win
OFNew York Yankees
July 13, 2024
Soto went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Soto scored a run in the first inning, crushed a solo home run in the fifth and then added a double in the ninth. The All-Star might not be too excited for the upcoming break, as he has logged eight hits and two long balls over his past four games. On the season, he is batting .300 with 23 home runs, 66 RBI and 75 runs scored across 422 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
70
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
24
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+34%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .796 568 76 20 68 7 .248 .377 .420
Since 2022vs Right .971 1230 189 65 169 16 .277 .426 .545
2024vs Left .952 125 19 5 24 2 .310 .432 .520
2024vs Right .998 302 56 18 42 3 .289 .424 .574
2023vs Left .813 207 26 8 21 4 .256 .377 .436
2023vs Right .980 501 71 27 88 8 .283 .424 .556
2022vs Left .701 236 31 7 23 1 .210 .347 .354
2022vs Right .942 427 62 20 39 5 .261 .431 .511
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .855 855 114 35 104 6 .245 .399 .456
Since 2022Away .968 943 151 50 133 17 .288 .421 .547
2024Home .922 182 30 9 31 1 .276 .412 .510
2024Away 1.031 245 45 14 35 4 .310 .437 .594
2023Home .827 349 39 12 45 3 .240 .398 .429
2023Away 1.026 359 58 23 64 9 .307 .422 .604
2022Home .847 324 45 14 28 2 .233 .392 .455
2022Away .859 339 48 13 34 4 .251 .410 .449
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Stat Review
How does Juan Soto compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
1.13
 
BB Rate
18.5%
 
K Rate
16.4%
 
BABIP
.308
 
ISO
.263
 
AVG
.295
 
OBP
.426
 
SLG
.558
 
OPS
.985
 
wOBA
.425
 
Exit Velocity
94.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.5%
 
Barrels/PA
12.2%
 
Expected BA
.312
 
Expected SLG
.631
 
Sprint Speed
22.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
45.8%
 
Line Drive %
19.4%
 
Fly Ball %
34.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Juan Soto See More
2024 Home Run Derby Odds and Picks
2 days ago
Gear up for this year's Home Run Derby with John Ryan's breakdown of the Home Run Derby odds and his best bets as baseball's best sluggers take center stage
Rankings for DraftKings Post-Break Best Ball
5 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at second-half best ball leagues from DraftKings and has Shohei Ohtani topping his rankings in the format.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
7 days ago
Wyatt Langford's hot bat continued into July, and he headlines this week's Lineup Lowdown, where Ryan Boyer reviews recent production in American League lineups.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: The Queen City is Red Hot
11 days ago
Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds host two subpar pitching staffs, as Todd Zola delivers the final Weekly Hitter Rankings before the All-Star break, covering the week of July 8-14.
The Z Files: First-Half Hitters Review
13 days ago
Todd Zola reviews the first-half performance of the top hitters at each position and has remorse over fading Aaron Judge during draft season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Baseball is an incredibly difficult game, and even players with Hall of Fame skill sets will struggle for stretches. At the end of June, Soto was batting just .224. It leaked in the media that Soto had turned down the Nationals' 15-year, $440 million offer, setting the stage for a blockbuster trade that sent Soto out West for an all-time prospect haul. Batting average, as we know, has its limitations, and in Soto's case his .242 season mark is downright misleading. He still hit the ball with incredible authority and chased pitches outside of the zone at a lower rate than anyone. The Padres did not run much last season under manager Bob Melvin, but everything else sets up well for a big-time rebound in Soto's first full season in San Diego.
Soto, at 23 years old, is already arguably the best hitter in baseball. He has put up the type of stats from ages 19-22 that we expect to see from players in their prime years of 25-28, and a .301/.432/.550 career slash line is cheat-code worthy. He has improved his walk rate every year in the majors and has reduced his strikeout rate so much so that he has nearly a 50-50 chance to reach base every time he steps to the plate. A repeat of 110-plus runs should not be too much of a problem for him although there are more question marks than answers in the Nationals' current projected lineup. A rebound season from Cesar Hernandez and another solid Josh Bell season should lead to RBI chances for Soto, but the lack of talent behind him in the lineup could lead to more of what we saw after the trade deadline when the league walked Soto 29% of the time as he posted a .333/.525/.578 slash line.
Already a fantasy first-rounder before his 22nd birthday, Soto's 2020 exploits cemented him as a top-five pick, just a handful of steals away from No. 1 overall consideration. His biggest fans will take him there regardless. Soto's .351/.490/.695 slash line is even more remarkable considering he had a positive COVID-19 test the last week of summer camp and missed the first eight games of the season, catching a break that some of the Nationals' schedule was postponed in early August. The scary thing is Soto's production is fully supported by most Statcast metrics falling 90th percentile and higher. The exception is sprint speed, but he's a heady runner so maintaining double-digit steals is plausible. With an advanced eye, Soto is even better for OBP and points leagues, though some of his walk rate emanated from the Barry Bonds treatment in September. Even with batted-ball regression, Soto is a Triple Crown candidate.
Given what we saw from Soto at ages 19 and 20, it seems reasonable to say a Hall of Fame foundation is being laid. Soto was a top-12 rate contributor in the game by wRC+ in 2019, and he continued to shine on the biggest stage with a .277/.373/.554 line and five homers in the postseason. His K% and BB% were nearly identical to his marks from 2018 at 20.0% and 16.4%, respectively, and his xSLG, xwOBA and xwOBA on contact all ranked within the top 5% of the league. Soto also chipped in 12 steals in just 13 attempts. With that, he finished as the No. 13 roto hitter despite making a trip to the IL in May with back spasms. This profile is truly special and there aren't really any holes in his game. Not having Anthony Rendon ahead of him to drive in may hurt Soto's RBI count and we should probably expect a return to single-digit steals, but regardless the bat is good enough to warrant a first-round pick.
Simply put, Soto had one of the best seasons for a teenager of all time. His talent has never been in question, but the fact he even made his debut in 2018 came as a huge surprise considering he opened the year at Low-A. Soto arrived in the majors May 20 and made an immediate impact, homering in his first career start. He never looked back after that, posting a stellar .923 OPS and missing out on the Rookie of the Year award only because of an equally impressive season from Ronald Acuna. Among MLB hitters with at least 450 PA, Soto ranked sixth in BB% (16.0), 10th in wRC+ (146) and 12th in BB/K (0.80). Again, he was 19 when he did this. He handled righties (152 wRC+) and lefties (128 wRC+) just fine, so don't worry about a platoon. The loss of Bryce Harper may cost him some RBI and runs, but it also likely locks him in as the cleanup hitter indefinitely.
A fractured right ankle, hamate bone surgery and hamstring strain combined to limit one of the game's most exciting young prospects to just 32 games in 2017. That didn't stop him from reminding dynasty-league owners of his extreme upside when he was on the field. Soto's 172 wRC+ ranked third among Sally League hitters with at least 80 plate appearances. He walked more than he struck out, despite being the third youngest hitter to spend the majority of his season in that league. In addition to an elite approach and hit tool, Soto projects to provide 30-plus homer power in his prime seasons, but he won't generate much value with his legs. Given how advanced his bat is, it would not be surprising if he were aggressively assigned to the Carolina League after just 23 games at Low-A. The ankle and hamate injuries seem flukey, so while it's obviously concerning that he couldn't stay healthy in his first full season, it would be a mistake to discount him too much. All the tools are here for Soto to finish the season as a top-five prospect.
While he has not yet played above short-season ball, Soto made too much noise with his bat last year to qualify as an under-the-radar target in dynasty league drafts. He was seen as an advanced hitter with above-average power potential when the Nationals signed him out of the Dominican Republic for $1.5 million in 2015. So far, Soto has delivered on that promise and then some. He slashed .368/.420/.553 with five home runs, five steals and a 29:17 K:BB in 51 games across stops in the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn leagues, all before turning 18. It is quite rare for a player with the potential for plus power to be showing off an excellent approach and a plus hit tool against professional pitching at an age when most players are between their junior and senior years of high school. Soto should be valued similarly to the top prospects from the 2016 draft class and could follow the same aggressive promotion pattern as organizational mate Victor Robles.
More Fantasy News
Playing through hand issue
OFNew York Yankees
July 11, 2024
Soto acknowledged after Thursday's game against the Rays that he'll have to continue playing through a hand injury for the next few weeks, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes bag Wednesday
OFNew York Yankees
July 11, 2024
Soto went 2-for-4 with a stolen base in Wednesday's 2-1 win against Tampa Bay.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 21st homer
OFNew York Yankees
July 4, 2024
Soto went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk in a loss to the Reds on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Surprise addition to lineup
OFNew York Yankees
June 30, 2024
Soto (hand) will start in right field and bat second Sunday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Out Sunday, set for tests on hand
OFNew York Yankees
Hand
June 30, 2024
Soto is out of the lineup for Sunday's game in Toronto and said that he may get an MRI or CT scan on his bruised right hand when the Yankees return to New York on Monday, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Early MVP favorite
OFNew York Yankees
May 25, 2024
According to an MLB.com experts poll, Soto was the top vote-getter for American League MVP.
ANALYSIS
Soto was the runaway favorite with 28 first-place votes from 43 respondents, which isn't exactly a surprise given his .315/.413/.581 slash line and 14 homers through 53 games. The 25-year-old also has 43 RBI and 39 runs, putting him on pace to top his career-high marks of 110 and 111, respectively. Soto is sure to test free agency after the season, but the Yankees are expected to do everything they can to re-sign him.
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