Kevin Kiermaier

Kevin Kiermaier

32-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
Out
Injury Hip
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Kiermaier required hip surgery and was limited to 63 games last season, and the Rays declined his $13 million team option for 2023. He then landed a one-year, $9 million deal with the Blue Jays. He remains a strong defensive presence in center field and has a 96 wRC+ over the past three seasons with 23 steals during that stretch. That's mostly the limit of Kiermaier's fantasy appeal as he's hit above .250 just once in the past five years, and he's unlikely to rack up much for counting stats at the bottom of Toronto's order. He's not expected to fill a platoon, so he'll at least be a lineup regular to start the season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#565
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $9 million contract with the Blue Jays in December of 2022.
Not expected to platoon
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hip
December 15, 2022
Kiermaier (hip) said in his introductory press conference with the Blue Jays on Thursday that the team indicated to him he will be the everyday starter in center field, Gregor Chisholm of the Toronto Star reports.
ANALYSIS
The left-handed hitting Kiermaier has a career .661 OPS against lefties as opposed to a .735 OPS versus righties. However, the Jays signed him for his elite defense, so it makes sense that they don't plan to platoon the 32-year-old. With Kiermaier handling center field, George Springer will slide over to right. Kiermaier also noted that he's about 90 percent recovered from left hip surgery and expects to rebound offensively in 2023.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
1
3
17
8
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+60%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .640 189 19 0 19 5 .253 .312 .328
Since 2020vs Right .707 581 79 14 62 18 .237 .313 .394
2022vs Left .630 46 5 0 3 2 .256 .304 .326
2022vs Right .655 175 23 7 19 4 .221 .274 .380
2021vs Left .676 122 12 0 11 3 .268 .328 .348
2021vs Right .735 268 42 4 26 6 .254 .328 .407
2020vs Left .449 21 2 0 5 0 .158 .238 .211
2020vs Right .720 138 14 3 17 8 .227 .333 .387
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+60%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .662 360 45 6 33 8 .232 .303 .359
Since 2020Away .721 405 53 8 48 15 .252 .323 .397
2022Home .581 97 12 4 7 2 .204 .237 .344
2022Away .704 124 16 3 15 4 .248 .315 .389
2021Home .754 186 25 2 15 3 .277 .339 .416
2021Away .681 204 29 2 22 6 .242 .319 .363
2020Home .533 77 8 0 11 3 .156 .299 .234
2020Away .851 77 8 3 11 5 .286 .351 .500
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Stat Review
How does Kevin Kiermaier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.23
 
BB Rate
6.3%
 
K Rate
27.6%
 
BABIP
.290
 
ISO
.141
 
AVG
.228
 
OBP
.281
 
SLG
.369
 
OPS
.649
 
wOBA
.288
 
Exit Velocity
87.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
26.9%
 
Barrels/PA
4.5%
 
Expected BA
.250
 
Expected SLG
.388
 
Sprint Speed
25.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
52.4%
 
Line Drive %
20.0%
 
Fly Ball %
27.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
The longest-tenured and most expensive member of the Tampa Bay roster did his usual stuff again in 2021, in ever aspect of the game. He continues to play center field at an elite level while taking advantage of his speed to take the extra base or to leg out some infield grounders. The other thing he continues to excel at is missing time with injury, as he failed to reach the 500 plate appearance level for a fifth consecutive full season of play. He missed time in 2021 with quad, wrist and knee troubles and needed arthroscopic knee surgery in October to fully put the knee issue to rest. He turns 32 in late April, but runs the risk of aging quickly given he's spent his entire career playing home games at a taxing position on a taxing surface. His plate skills continue to be limited in his troubles with velocity up, sweepers away and a growing case of reverse splits.
It was a typical season for Kiermaier -- not very productive, but with just enough steals to be viable in certain scenarios. The slick-fielding outfielder was his usual stellar self in center but did not take home the Gold Glove. Kiermaier showed more plate patience, blowing away his career high in BB%. However, he gave back the previous season's K% gains and then some, fanning at a career-worst pace. For the second straight season, Kiermaier appeared unlucky based on Statcast xBA, but playing half the time in Tropicana Field pushes his actual average below what's expected. He managed to avoid the IL, but Kiermaier did play through foot, knee and back injuries. Even with his plus defense, it's difficult to envision Kiermaier as anything more than a strong-side platoon player, chipping in some bags but with little power and a low batting average.
Kiermaier was able to put together a healthy (for him) season, logging 480 PA, the second-highest total of his career. By stealing 19 bases in 24 attempts, Kiermaier finished 71st among outfielders in earned value, but make no mistake about it; it was not a good offensive season. He walked just 5.4% of the time and got on base at a .278 clip, the lowest mark among all players with 450 PA. While he did improve greatly against same-handed pitching (.784 OPS, up from .548), that improvement was offset by sizable dip in performance against righties. In total, Kiermaier was 22% worse than the average MLB hitter. His defense is holding up and Kiermaier still has several years remaining on his contract, but given his lengthy injury history, we should assume there's only one way to go with his plate appearances. Keep in mind that his running tailed off as the season wore on (four attempts in the second half).
Kiermaier played his typically-stellar defense in 2018, but that doesn't count in most fantasy leagues, and he really struggled in that realm, posting a career-low .653 OPS and appearing in just 88 games. He missed time with multiple foot and back injuries, as well as thumb and shoulder issues, with his season eventually coming to a close in late September due to a hairline fracture in his right foot. Kiermaier's defense will earn him plenty of at-bats again in 2019, and he may even open the year as the leadoff hitter against righties. However, he has not played more than 105 games in a season since 2015 and the Rays are flush with young players capable of playing the outfield who could cut into his playing time if his offensive production is well below average for the second year in a row. The top thing working in his favor in that regard is that he is under contract through the 2022 season.
A plus baserunner with a career .750 OPS and two Gold Gloves on his mantle, Kiermaier excels in nearly all phases of the game, but injuries have prevented the outfielder from cementing his status as a star-level talent. After a broken wrist limited him to 105 games in 2016, Kiermaier missed two-plus months in 2017 with a fractured hip. Though the extended absence extinguished any hope of a major breakout, Kiermaier was among the top fantasy assets following his mid-August return, slashing .306/.352/.517 with eight home runs and six steals over his final 36 games. While Kiermaier probably can’t maintain that post-injury pace for the entirety of the 2018 campaign, his five-category upside is evident if he can skirt the health setbacks that hindered him the past two seasons. Due to his career-long scuffles against southpaws, Kiermaier’s batting average seems less bankable than his outputs in other areas, though his speed in addition to the lofty 34.8% hard-hit rate he sported in the second half supports his ability to sustain a high BABIP.
Kiermaier's 2016 campaign was interrupted by a wrist injury but he finished on a strong note, tallying a .296 average, .379 wOBA, five homers and eight stolen bases over his final 112 plate appearances. Despite missing 57 games, Kiermaier still managed to post a career-high 12 homers in 414 plate appearances, while his hard contact rate climbed to a career-high 31.4 percent. He ripped off 34 extra-base hits as well, although after tallying an absurd 12 triples in 2015, he managed only a pair of three-baggers last season. A full season could knock Kiermaier's fantasy value back up several notches, making him a viable mixed-league outfield option. He is only truly great on the defensive side of the ball, but he is a good enough athlete and has just enough pop to profile as a good bet for double-digit homers and double-digit steals once again in his age-27 season.
Last season was a true breakout year for Kiermaier, cementing him as the team’s everyday center fielder on the strength of a glove that won him the Platinum Glove for best fielder in the majors. The bad news? That fielding means little in fantasy. As a hitter, Kiermaier leaves much to be desired. His .263/.298/.420 slash line with 10 home runs and 18 stolen bases in 23 attempts puts him around league average. Granted, he could start hitting the Mendoza Line and still be worth playing for Tampa Bay because of that glove, but that’s an advantage fantasy owners don’t get to enjoy. He stopped getting starts in the leadoff spot midway through the season, cutting into his opportunities for runs and steals, and that’s not likely to change in 2016. Kiermaier may currently represent the biggest split between real-life value and fantasy value in the league, so don’t draft him purely on name recognition.
Players drafted in the 31st round are not supposed to make the major leagues, but Kiermaier did. Primarily known for his speed and defense, Kiermaier hit in Double-A and was doing so again in Triple-A before he was promoted when Wil Myers had to go to the disabled list. He hit the ground running and was batting .310//.349/.576 heading into the All-Star break with 22 extra-base hits and several amazing defensive plays. The second half was a different story offensively as he hit .220/.284/.335 the rest of the way with just 12 extra-base hits as the league stopped pitching him inside. Despite his quickness, he is not a good basestealer and rarely tried to steal bags when he was on base at the big league level. Despite the numbers last season, Kiermaier profiles as a fourth outfielder who will have to slash and dash for production.
Kiermaier took an interesting path to Tampa Bay in the 2013 season. He began the season with Double-A Montgomery and excelled with the bat, hitting .307/.370/.434 with five home runs and 14 stolen bases before being promoted to Triple-A Durham. His prominent skill as a center fielder is that he is widely regarded as the best defensive player in the entire organization. The team felt confident enough in his defensive ability to bring him up and use him as a defensive replacement in the team's elimination game against the Rangers. Kiermaier will likely begin the 2014 season with Triple-A to develop his offense, but his skill in the field could be his ticket to the majors.
More Fantasy News
Heads to Toronto
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hip
December 10, 2022
Kiermaier (hip) agreed Saturday with the Blue Jays on a one-year deal, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Option declined by Tampa Bay
OFFree Agent
Hip
November 10, 2022
Kiermaier (hip) had his $13 million team option for 2023 declined by the Rays on Thursday, making him a free agent, Tricia Whitaker of Bally Sports Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Surgery goes according to plan
OFTampa Bay Rays
Hip
August 9, 2022
Kiermaier revealed that the season-ending surgery he underwent Aug. 3 went well, and he expects to return pain-free for the start of the 2023 campaign, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Requires season-ending surgery
OFTampa Bay Rays
Hip
July 25, 2022
Kiermaier is scheduled to undergo hip labrum surgery in the coming days that will force him to miss the remainder of the season, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Transferred to 60-day IL
OFTampa Bay Rays
Hip
July 16, 2022
Kiermaier (hip) was transferred to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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