Noelvi Marte

21-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Cincinnati Reds AA
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Marte probably won't reward those who bought in at the peak of his dynasty value in the summer of 2021, but he is still on track to be an everyday player who provides 25-plus homer pop. Once seen as a potential power/speed threat, Marte's power has emerged as his most projectable tool after he remade his body in recent years to add significant upper-body strength. He stole 23 bases on 32 attempts in 115 games last season, but Marte is trending toward being a below-average runner by the time he is entering his prime, so don't expect more than 5-to-10 steals per season in the majors. The righty slugger who will likely end up at third base figures to be more valuable in OBP leagues (11.5 BB%) than AVG leagues, and while Marte will never have a plus hit tool, he could hit around .250 with a .350 OBP. After getting traded from Seattle to Cincinnati in the Luis Castillo trade, Marte's future home park could aid him in eclipsing 30 homers per season at peak. There's still a lot to like here, even if the profile has changed somewhat over the past 18 months. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#599
ADP
$Signed a $1.55 million contract with the Mariners in July of 2018. Traded to the Reds in July of 2022.
Heating up at plate
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
May 22, 2023
Marte is hitting .365 with seven home runs, four steals and a 12:8 K:BB in his last 85 at-bats at Double-A Chattanooga.
ANALYSIS
Marte got off to a slow start in his first exposure to Double-A pitching, hitting .186 with 17 strikeouts in his first 15 games, but he has been dialed in since then. He has made 25 starts at shortstop and nine starts at third base, with the hot corner being his most likely long-term home.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Marte has been a top-75 prospect for over two years and is likely another two years away from the majors, but he has been a steady riser this whole time. He has elite pedigree and a tantalizing combination of plus power and plus speed, and he has yet to struggle significantly in pro ball. Marte is far from a lock to stick at shortstop long term, but his dynasty stock wouldn't be negatively affected if he had to move to third base. The big thing to watch with Marte is the development of his hit tool. He has been young for every level he has played at, but it's worth noting that his K% jumped from 22.2% at Low-A to 33.3% in a tiny sample (33 PA) at High-A. His ability to hit for impact power (17 HR in 107 games) as a teenager in full-season ball is a rare accomplishment, especially considering it came with 24 steals (on 31 attempts) and a .273 average. Marte will head back to High-A at the outset of 2022 and could get a midseason bump to Double-A. This will be a very telling age-20 season for the high-upside infielder. He could finish the year as the No. 1 overall prospect in dynasty, but he could also show some warts that lower-level pitchers had been unable to expose.
One of the youngest players to get an invite to his team's alternate training site, Marte understandably went through some growing pains. He went from facing raw teenage pitchers in the Dominican Summer League in 2019 to facing pitchers with big-league experience as an 18-year-old. Once fall instructs began, however, Marte was playing against age-appropriate competition and his play improved drastically. He cut down on his strikeouts and started hitting the ball out of the park with triple-digit exit velocities. He has plus speed and projects for at least plus power. The Mariners are developing him as a shortstop, but considering he is already roughly 6-foot-2, 200 pounds, the hot corner may be his best long-term fit. At 19, and after having been thrown in the deep end this past summer, he could be assigned to High-A and could even reach Double-A this season.
Marte has top-five prospect upside, and this will be the last offseason to acquire him in dynasty leagues for a palatable price. He is on the Julio Rodriguez path -- a high-profile international signee ($1.55 million in 2018) who destroyed the Dominican Summer League (.309/.371/.511, nine HR, 17 SB in 65 games) and will be given an aggressive assignment for his stateside debut. He doesn't have as good of an approach as Rodriguez did at the same age, but Marte is a five-tool shortstop with at least 60-grade speed. He needs to work on using the whole field (23.4 Oppo%), but his 40.7 FB% is encouraging for a player who could develop 30-plus homer power. An 18-year-old who is already 6-foot-1, 181 pounds, Marte may have to move to third base, but his bat should profile anywhere. If he is as good as advertised, he should spend a good chunk of the year at Low-A, and if he hits there, his stock will explode.
In every July 2 international signing period, there are a few top players who already project as prospects who will be better in fantasy than reality. Marte, who signed for $1.55 million out of the Dominican Republic, is a prime example from the 2018 crop. He showcases a classic power-hitting swing from the right side, and may have as much home run and batting average upside as any international prospect in his class. Marte has the actions and a good enough arm for shortstop, but may eventually move to third base. He currently measures in at 6-foot-1, 181 pounds, but looks like he will add at least another 20-to-30 pounds in the coming years, so maintaining good eating habits and conditioning will be crucial if he is to reach his ceiling and not fall down the defensive spectrum. While he is a good runner now, that won't be a big part of his game by the time he reaches the majors in five or six years.
More Fantasy News
Slow start at Double-A
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
April 24, 2023
Marte is hitting .186 with one home run, four steals and a 17:7 K:BB in 15 games with Double-A Chattanooga.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to Double-A
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
March 12, 2023
Marte was optioned Sunday to Double-A Chattanooga by the Reds, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. Goldsmith further reports that the Reds intend to move Marte to third base. Reds manager David Bell said: "I do think third base is the right spot for him. Can he play short? Probably. He has done it. I think he's going to find a home at third base. I love the actions he has there, he has plenty of arm. I think it's going to be a good home."
ANALYSIS
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Added to 40-man roster
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
November 15, 2022
Marte was added to the Reds' 40-man roster Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Playing with finger injury
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
October 29, 2022
Marte has been playing through a finger injury during Arizona Fall League play, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. "I have a small injury, a finger, but that is not going to stop me from playing," Marte said. "I want to end the year well. I feel good because on top of that, I'm still working to maintain my physique. We are going to try to finish this strong."
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Finishes 2022 strong with new org
3BCincinnati Reds  AA
September 21, 2022
Marte put up a .293/.397/.443 line with four homers and 10 steals over 30 games with High-A Dayton after being acquired from Seattle at the trade deadline.
ANALYSIS
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