Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso

29-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Alonso is a well-established asset in real baseball and fantasy baseball at this point. Amidst trade rumors, Alonso hit 46 home runs in 2023, third in MLB behind only Matt Olson (54) and Kyle Schwarber (47), and drove in 118 (second behind Olson). His batting average plummeted to a career-low .217, but most of that was BABIP-driven (.205 BABIP, .244 xBA). Alonso hit the ball hard and cleared 150 games played for the fourth time in as many full seasons -- slugging carries his game, but Alonso deserves credit for that durability as well. He's been at least 20 percent better than league average by wRC+ in every season of his career. His defensive and baserunning limitations ding him in real life, but Alonso is a counting-stat machine and should enjoy some positive regression in the BA department. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#25
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $20.5 million contract with the Mets in January of 2024.
Slugs 14th homer
1BNew York Mets
June 5, 2024
Alonso went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and a second run scored in Tuesday's 6-3 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
The first baseman took Washington closer Kyle Finnegan deep to left field in the ninth inning to give the Mets an insurance run. Alonso's racked up seven hits, including three doubles and two homers, over the last six games, and since May 7 he's slashing .279/.330/.548 in 26 contests with six of his 14 long balls and 15 of his 31 RBI on the season.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
11
20
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
11
2
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .842 434 70 26 63 1 .232 .343 .499
Since 2022vs Right .833 1190 154 74 218 9 .247 .328 .505
2024vs Left .812 75 12 4 10 0 .215 .320 .492
2024vs Right .775 206 25 10 22 1 .243 .316 .459
2023vs Left .859 183 30 13 28 1 .224 .333 .526
2023vs Right .807 475 62 33 90 3 .214 .312 .495
2022vs Left .836 176 28 9 25 0 .247 .364 .473
2022vs Right .880 509 67 31 106 5 .279 .348 .532
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .829 805 109 47 141 6 .243 .342 .487
Since 2022Away .841 819 115 53 140 4 .243 .322 .519
2024Home .840 147 19 8 18 1 .250 .340 .500
2024Away .725 134 18 6 14 0 .221 .291 .434
2023Home .772 324 47 22 64 3 .203 .302 .470
2023Away .869 334 45 24 54 1 .230 .332 .537
2022Home .878 334 43 17 59 2 .280 .380 .498
2022Away .859 351 52 23 72 3 .264 .325 .535
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Stat Review
How does Pete Alonso compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.43
 
BB Rate
8.9%
 
K Rate
20.6%
 
BABIP
.251
 
ISO
.232
 
AVG
.236
 
OBP
.317
 
SLG
.468
 
OPS
.785
 
wOBA
.341
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.1%
 
Barrels/PA
9.3%
 
Expected BA
.246
 
Expected SLG
.463
 
Sprint Speed
21.5 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.7%
 
Line Drive %
12.5%
 
Fly Ball %
45.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to be traded
1BNew York Mets
June 6, 2024
According to Jeff Passan of ESPN.com, multiple GMs have said they expect the Mets to trade Alonso this summer.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old was pursued by the Cubs and Brewers last summer, and extension talks with the Mets during the offseason didn't go anywhere. Alonso is now a pending free agent, and the 27-35 Mets could be sellers at the deadline. He's still hitting for plenty of power with 14 homers through 62 games, though he's batting .238 and has a career-low 8.8 percent walk rate.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Since 2020, only Aaron Judge has more homers than Alonso. If you go back a year, Alonso heads the list. Last season, he posted his best season since 2019, fueled by a career high .271 batting average. Alonso's 18.8 percent strikeout rate dropped for the third straight season. His fly ball exit velocity dropped, but a tick more fly balls and him missing only two games allowed him to reach the 40-homer level for the second time in his career. Other than stolen bases, Alonso checks all boxes. Missing only 18 games in his four-year career shows durability while a wRC+ between 120 and 144 each season indicates reliability. A low strikeout rate offers a solid batting average floor for one of the top sluggers in the league. Alonso also hits in a prominent spot in a productive lineup. For pure power, it doesn't get any better.
While Alonso has improved parts of his game, he hasn't come close to repeating the 53 homers he hit in 2019. His strikeout rate has dropped to under 20%. Meanwhile, his maxEV has been steady at around 118 mph. He's still walking roughly 10 percent of the time. His launch angle hovers around 15 degrees. With all that constant, his HR/FB has dropped from 30.6% to 24.6% to just 19.7% last season. He's just not hitting any home runs to center or right field. In 2019, he hit 28 homers to center and right field (25 to left). While he hit 30 homers to left in 2021, only seven went over the center-field or right-field fence. If he's just going to have 30-40 homers, a .250 average and no stolen bases, it's nothing special. Several first baseman fit this profile (Joey Votto and Max Muncy for example). That power upside we've seen is tantalizing, but 2019 was a historic juiced ball year and it's unwise to project Alonso for a return to that level of power production in 2022.
Alonso had an amazing rookie season in Queens, which we knew was going to be exceedingly tough for him to repeat. It does not mean he did not try to repeat those lofty numbers, but the first baseman ultimately left managers wanting more. The thing with his metrics is most of them were right in line with his 2019 numbers, from his average exit velocity to his launch angle, but the little wiggle in his HR/FB - from 31% to 25% - cut into his homer ability. Perhaps the 2020 baseball was not as bouncy, though one thing that really stands out is his struggles against the fastball last season. Alonso had a .294 AVG and .669 SLG against the fastball as a rookie, but those numbers fell to .243 and .513 in his sophomore campaign. The power is still ridiculous, but 2020 was a humbling experience. Bank on a rebound toward his 2019 numbers in 2021, but expecting a repeat of those numbers is not the mindset to take here.
Alonso's 80-grade power plays in any environment, but the juiced ball made him especially lethal in his debut season. After breaking camp with the Mets, Alonso immediately justified his top-prospect billing early on, notching 12 extra-base hits and 17 RBI in his first 12 games. His power pace only slowed moderately from there, as the 25-year-old went on to lead MLB with 53 homers, breaking Aaron Judge's two-year-old rookie record. Almost just as encouragingly, Alonso kept his strikeout rate at an acceptable level (26.4%), something that had been a concern as he made the jump from Triple-A. Since he doesn't steal bases, Alonso would probably need to trade more pop flies for line drives to emerge as anything more than a neutral asset in batting average, but the high floor he offers in three categories makes him a comfortable early-round fantasy selection in 2020, and likely, many years to follow.
When factoring in his Arizona Fall League exploits, Alonso hit 42 home runs in 159 games last year, cementing himself as the top slugger in the minors. The 24-year-old first baseman has no problem squaring up elite velocity -- he took a 104-mph fastball out to center field in the Fall Stars game -- but can still be eaten up by good offspeed pitches. While the other top prospects expected to be called up in mid-to-late April, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Eloy Jimenez, project to be positive contributors in batting average and power right away, Alonso’s batting average will likely be closer to .230 than .270 in his first big-league season. That said, he has 80-grade power and should have no trouble posting big home run and RBI totals from day one. It is very rare that a R/R first base prospect emerges as a valuable dynasty-league asset, and the fact that Alonso has done so is a testament to his work ethic, which gets rave reviews.
A fairly easy player to evaluate, Alonso has a couple very clear strengths, and a couple very clear weaknesses. He has huge raw power -- his .231 ISO, which ranked second in the Florida State League, represented his career low in that metric. Alonso is also excellent at making contact, relative to most power hitters. His 18.5 percent strikeout rate at High-A was a career worst, and he struck out just 14.9 percent of the time in a brief 11-game run at Double-A to close the season. However, the right-handed slugger has dramatic splits. He absolutely obliterates left-handed pitching but is pretty mediocre against righties, especially for a first baseman. Additionally, he is a subpar defender, even at first base. The Mets have a better internal option in Dominic Smith, who is basically big-league ready, yet the organization is still entertaining ideas of getting a veteran placeholder there. If they follow through with that, Alonso would be a distant third on the organizational depth chart. He is probably best suited for the short side of a platoon in the American League.
As a right-handed first baseman who has yet to play in a full-season league, Alonso will not be showing up on real life prospect lists anytime soon. However, he should already be on the radar of dynasty league owners. Double-plus raw power is his calling card. That power was always on display at Florida, leading the Mets to select him with the 64th overall pick in 2016. His .266 ISO and 184 wRC+ illustrate how much damage he did in his brief 30-game run in the New York-Penn League, and his .969 OPS would have easily led the league if he had enough plate appearances to qualify. Alonso's hit tool, particularly his ability to hit right-handed pitching, will be what makes or breaks his ability to profile as a cleanup-hitting everyday player. Despite his gaudy overall numbers, he hit just .262/.306/.415 with a 4:15 BB:K in 65 at-bats against righties. Elite power makes him worth a flier in deeper formats, and it should become clear in a year if he is still worth a roster spot.
More Fantasy News
Two-run homer in loss
1BNew York Mets
June 1, 2024
Alonso went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in a 10-5 loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Back in action Friday
1BNew York Mets
May 31, 2024
Alonso (hand) is playing first and batting second during Friday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Held out of lineup Thursday
1BNew York Mets
Hand
May 30, 2024
Alonso (hand) is absent from the lineup for Thursday's game versus the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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CT scan confirms no fracture
1BNew York Mets
Hand
May 30, 2024
Alonso is day-to-day after a CT scan confirmed he didn't suffer a fracture when he was hit by a pitch in the right hand during Wednesday's 10-3 loss to the Dodgers, Andy Martino of SNY.tv reports.
ANALYSIS
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X-rays negative
1BNew York Mets
Hand
May 29, 2024
X-rays on Alonso's right hand came back negative Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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