Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

28-Year-Old DHDH
Los Angeles Angels
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Last year's player outlook said we had never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He did not quite have a repeat of his monster season at the plate in 2022, but he more than made up for that with his best season yet on the mound. Any other year, his 2022 season would be worthy of a unanimous MVP award, but Ohtani's season toiled both in the obscurity of the secondary team in the Los Angeles market while also in the large shadow of Aaron Judge's historic season. The only frustrating issue with Ohtani is if you are in a league where you must declare how you will use him each week because that format mostly renders his pitching talents null and void unless you are staring at several suboptimal matchups in a five-game week for Ohtani. The DH-only label slightly impacts his draft day value as standard format leagues must then adjust downstream for losing the in-draft flexibility of the UT spot. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a one-year, $30 million contract with the Angels in October of 2022.
Less rest likely in 2023
DHLos Angeles Angels
December 6, 2022
Manager Phil Nevin said Ohtani will pitch every sixth day as much as possible in 2023, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
Ohtani made 12 starts on five days' rest last season, but he pitched on at least six days rest for his other 16 starts. The 28-year-old posted a 2.33 ERA across a career-high 166 innings during 2022 and finished fourth in voting for the AL Cy Young Award. Assuming he stays healthy in 2023, Ohtani should be able to top that workload while pitching every sixth day, which would only further add to his value as one of the best hitters and pitchers in the league.
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Pitching Stats
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
23
26
57
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
14
22
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+43%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .848 501 59 27 63 12 .253 .333 .515
Since 2020vs Right .912 965 156 59 154 32 .260 .369 .543
2022vs Left .787 228 22 9 27 3 .263 .329 .459
2022vs Right .921 438 68 25 68 8 .278 .370 .551
2021vs Left .980 224 35 18 34 7 .263 .344 .636
2021vs Right .954 415 68 28 66 19 .254 .388 .566
2020vs Left .506 49 2 0 2 2 .150 .306 .200
2020vs Right .725 112 20 6 20 5 .210 .295 .430
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+38%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .972 753 126 51 130 25 .276 .384 .589
Since 2020Away .804 713 89 35 87 19 .238 .328 .476
2022Home 1.005 332 50 21 55 6 .314 .395 .610
2022Away .746 334 40 13 40 5 .233 .317 .429
2021Home 1.003 328 61 26 59 14 .254 .387 .616
2021Away .926 311 42 20 41 12 .260 .357 .569
2020Home .751 93 15 4 16 5 .215 .333 .418
2020Away .545 68 7 2 6 2 .164 .250 .295
More Splits View More Split Stats
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .228 597 172 52 122 21 2 20
Since 2020vs Right .185 612 206 44 103 25 0 9
2022vs Left .221 318 101 24 64 10 2 8
2022vs Right .188 342 118 20 60 13 0 6
2021vs Left .235 274 70 25 57 11 0 12
2021vs Right .178 259 86 19 41 12 0 3
2020vs Left .500 5 1 3 1 0 0 0
2020vs Right .333 11 2 5 2 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 1.97 1.00 169.0 13 4 0 11.4 2.7 0.9
Since 2020Away 4.12 1.18 129.0 11 8 0 11.4 3.2 0.9
2022Home 1.82 0.90 89.0 7 4 0 12.0 1.5 0.7
2022Away 2.92 1.14 77.0 8 5 0 11.7 3.4 0.8
2021Home 1.95 1.07 78.1 6 0 0 10.7 3.4 1.0
2021Away 5.02 1.12 52.0 3 2 0 10.9 2.4 1.0
2020Home 10.80 3.00 1.2 0 0 0 16.2 27.0 0.0
2020Away 0.00 0.00 .000000 0 1 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Shohei Ohtani compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
10.8%
 
K Rate
24.2%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.246
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.356
 
SLG
.519
 
OPS
.875
 
wOBA
.373
 
Exit Velocity
92.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.2%
 
Barrels/PA
10.8%
 
Expected BA
.278
 
Expected SLG
.552
 
Sprint Speed
23.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
42.1%
 
Line Drive %
19.8%
 
Fly Ball %
38.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Shohei Ohtani
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
Simply put, we've never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He hit 46 homers, drove in 100 runs and stole 26 bases. Oh, and he also pitched 130.1 innings, fanning 156 and going 9-2 on the mound. The incredible two-way campaign earned Ohtani the AL MVP in a unanimous vote (even as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came close to a Triple Crown), the 19th unanimous MVP vote in MLB history. Many in the fantasy game could not bank all those stats -- the Ohtani Rules vary from platform to platform, and most in weekly lineup leagues had to choose whether to deploy Ohtani at UT or P, sacrificing one side of his production in a given week. He made seven appearances in the outfield last season and remains DH-only on offense in most formats, but Ohtani is a once-in-a-lifetime baseball player with more tools in his set than anyone else in the game. He's the easy No. 1 overall in leagues that allow daily lineup moves.
We know Ohtani can pitch at an elite level when he is healthy, and has shown excellent hitting abilities as well, but neither were present in 2020. He hit poorly around the occasional home run, and pitched only a handful of forgettable innings before shutting it down with a forearm strain. Ohtani was 21 months removed from his Tommy John surgery when the abbreviated season began; the disruption to the training schedule was the last thing any player, but particularly a two-way player, needed on the road to recovery. The poor pitching results and forearm strain coupled with the issues at the plate creates some uncertainty regarding Ohtani's future role. The once-a-week pitching plan the Angels have gone with to this point creates a bit of a headache in weekly lineup leagues. He might have more upside in those formats if he were to stick on one side of the ball.
While on the mend from Tommy John surgery, Ohtani served exclusively as a designated hitter for the Angels in 2019. The 25-year-old only saw his offensive production tail off marginally from his rookie campaign, slugging 18 home runs to go with 12 steals and a .286 average before he was shut down in mid-September for a minor left knee procedure. Ohtani enters the spring ostensibly at full health; the Angels will slow play him in camp and are not expected to return Ohtani to a big-league mound until mid-May at the earliest. If Ohtani quickly regains his pre-surgery command and velocity, he could be one of the top starting pitchers on a per-outing basis, just as he was during his 10 starts in 2018. His value would skyrocket if fantasy providers allow Ohtani to be used in a utility spot on his non-pitching days, as he should be in store for a handful of starts per week as a DH.
The two-way phenom was limited to just two appearances on the mound over the final four months of the season, but he continued to hit despite a busted UCL, and the offensive numbers were excellent. After undergoing Tommy John surgery in early October of 2018, he will be limited exclusively to hitting in 2019. If healthy, Ohtani would have a case as a top-100 overall player, but he's not expected back until May, so look for Ohtani to fall closer to pick 200 in mixed leagues. He had the sixth-best barrel rate in baseball (min. 150 batted-ball events) and a top-10 xSLG. His 92.6 mph average exit velocity ranked ahead of the likes of Khris Davis, Christian Yelich and Mookie Betts. The only real negatives besides health: he's UT-only and hit just .222/.300/.354 with a 31.8% K-rate against left-handed pitching. Even when active, he probably won't be a true everyday player, but Ohtani's numbers should be close to elite on a per-plate-appearance basis.
Ohtani could be the best player ever to come to MLB from Japan. In addition to racking up 624 strikeouts and posting a 2.52 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP in 543 innings over the last five seasons with the Nippon Ham Fighters, Ohtani has hit .286/.358/.500 with 48 homers in 1,170 plate appearances. He's hit at least .300 in each of the last two seasons, while carrying an OBP above .400 and a slugging percentage above .500. The Angels signed Ohtani in December, and he will immediately join the front of the team's rotation. Soon after he signed, it was revealed that Ohtani has a first-degree sprain of the UCL in his right elbow, but the Angels knew about the injury before signing him. Additionally, he missed most of 2017 as a result of an ankle injury that required surgery in October. The Angels are considering a six-man rotation. With that, he may get two turns in the lineup as the DH between each start on the mound.
Ohtani is arguably the top player in the world not in MLB. The Japanese star not only throws 102 mph and had a 1.86 ERA last season, but also hit 22 home runs with a 1.004 OPS as a DH for the Nippon Ham Fighters. Ohtani appeared to be all but set to make his move to MLB following the 2017 season, but changes in the new in the new collective-bargaining agreement that restrict MLB teams' spending on international free agents under age 25 may push his arrival back as far as 2020.
Ohtani made headlines as a two-way player, Japan's first since the '60s, as a rookie in 2013. He made even more headlines as a sophomore in 2014 by comprehensively improving both sides of his game. Ohtani regularly hit 100 mph on the radar gun, and went 11-4 with a 2.61 over 155.1 innings, striking out 179 while walking 57. At the plate, Ohtani slashed .274/.314/.444 over 234 plate appearances, hitting 17 doubles and 10 home runs. Ohtani's future is pretty clearly on the mound at this point, but he's a tantalizing talent in either role. He's a keeper prospect to monitor.
More Fantasy News
Five strong innings
DHLos Angeles Angels
October 5, 2022
Ohtani (15-9) allowed one earned run on one hit and one walk while striking out six across five innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids arbitration for 2023
DHLos Angeles Angels
October 1, 2022
Ohtani and the Angels agreed to a one-year, $30 million deal Saturday, avoiding arbitration for next season.
ANALYSIS
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Flirts with no-no
DHLos Angeles Angels
September 29, 2022
Ohtani (15-8) earned the win Thursday against the Athletics with eight shutout innings. He recorded 10 strikeouts while surrendering two hits and one walk.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven in win
DHLos Angeles Angels
September 24, 2022
Ohtani (14-8) gave up two earned runs on three hits and six walks while striking out seven over five-plus innings to earn the win in a 4-2 victory over the Twins on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Thursday's lineup
DHLos Angeles Angels
September 22, 2022
Ohtani isn't in the lineup Thursday against the Rangers, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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