Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

29-Year-Old DHDH
Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ohtani's improbable 2023 season was sad on many fronts. Despite a second 40-20 season in three years along with his pitching prowess, he was not afforded the chance to play October baseball with his team breaking down as well as his right elbow for a second time in five years. Ohtani ended up having his elbow surgery in late September which rules him out for pitching in 2024. If he were to follow the Bryce Harper recovery timeline from a similar procedure, there is a decent chance Ohtani could still be ready for Opening Day. That said, it would be unfair to expect even this unique player to be 100% himself given what we just saw from Harper this past season as he attempted to regain his power stroke. Ohtani signed a unique 10-year pact with the Dodgers, guaranteeing himself an excellent home park for lefty power and superb teammates at the top of the lineup. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#13
ADP
$Signed a 10-year, $700 million contract with the Dodgers in December of 2023.
Goes deep again Friday
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 21, 2024
Ohtani went 2-for-2 with a two-run home run and two walks in Friday's 3-2 extra-inning loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Ohtani accounted for four of the seven baserunners the Dodgers had in this contest, though the team's No. 2-through-5 hitters went a combined 0-for-16. Ohtani has logged multiple hits in five of his last six games, and he's swatted five homers with 11 RBI in that span. The superstar is up to a .322/.398/.628 slash line with 22 long balls, 55 RBI, 60 runs scored and 16 stolen bases on 18 attempts through 75 games this year.
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Pitching Stats
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
45
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
24
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+24%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .842 514 61 26 67 9 .268 .348 .493
Since 2022vs Right 1.042 1085 191 74 178 38 .308 .404 .638
2024vs Left .871 119 15 6 16 2 .306 .361 .509
2024vs Right 1.113 220 45 16 39 14 .332 .418 .695
2023vs Left .898 167 24 11 24 4 .245 .365 .532
2023vs Right 1.132 427 78 33 71 16 .327 .431 .701
2022vs Left .787 228 22 9 27 3 .263 .329 .459
2022vs Right .921 438 68 25 68 8 .278 .370 .551
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home 1.034 778 134 56 123 28 .307 .401 .633
Since 2022Away .923 821 118 44 122 19 .284 .371 .552
2024Home 1.098 171 33 13 27 13 .333 .439 .660
2024Away .956 168 27 9 28 3 .312 .357 .599
2023Home 1.031 275 51 22 41 9 .282 .385 .645
2023Away 1.097 319 51 22 54 11 .323 .436 .662
2022Home 1.005 332 50 21 55 6 .314 .395 .610
2022Away .746 334 40 13 40 5 .233 .317 .429
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .210 573 177 47 109 18 2 19
Since 2022vs Right .180 618 209 52 100 20 0 13
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .197 255 76 23 45 8 0 11
2023vs Right .170 276 91 32 40 7 0 7
2022vs Left .221 318 101 24 64 10 2 8
2022vs Right .188 342 118 20 60 13 0 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.24 0.97 169.0 13 7 0 12.0 2.7 0.9
Since 2022Away 3.28 1.12 129.0 12 7 0 11.2 3.4 1.1
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.70 1.05 80.0 6 3 0 11.9 3.9 1.0
2023Away 3.81 1.08 52.0 4 2 0 10.6 3.5 1.6
2022Home 1.82 0.90 89.0 7 4 0 12.0 1.5 0.7
2022Away 2.92 1.14 77.0 8 5 0 11.7 3.4 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Shohei Ohtani compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.56
 
BB Rate
10.9%
 
K Rate
19.5%
 
BABIP
.349
 
ISO
.305
 
AVG
.322
 
OBP
.398
 
SLG
.628
 
OPS
1.026
 
wOBA
.436
 
Exit Velocity
95.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.2%
 
Barrels/PA
13.2%
 
Expected BA
.344
 
Expected SLG
.676
 
Sprint Speed
23.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
39.5%
 
Line Drive %
27.0%
 
Fly Ball %
33.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Additional Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Shohei Ohtani See More
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2 days ago
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3 days ago
Shohei Ohtani is now hitting leadoff for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and Ryan Boyer tackles the LA lineup as well as all National League batting orders in this week's edition of Lineup Lowdown.
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MLB Picks: PrizePicks Plays and Strategy for Monday, June 17
5 days ago
Monday's MLB PrizePicks plays include Bryce Harper, who has been locked in at the plate, hitting 17-for-51 (.333) with two home runs and four doubles over his last 14 games.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
May play field at some point in '24
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
March 18, 2024
Manager Dave Roberts said Monday that Ohtani will begin his throwing progression next week when the Dodgers return stateside following their season-opening two-game series with the Padres in South Korea, and the two-time American League MVP could be a candidate to play the field at some point in 2024 depending on how the progression goes, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Roberts reiterated that Ohtani won't be available to pitch at any point in 2024 while he completes his recovery from the second Tommy John surgery of his career, but the Dodgers aren't yet discounting the possibility of the two-way superstar making some defensive contributions this season. Ohtani will be deployed exclusively as a designated hitter to begin the season and will likely end up seeing the bulk of his starts in 2024 in a non-defensive role, though he might be an option in the corner outfield or at first base a few months down the road if he's able to do long tossing without issue. During his six-year run with the Angels, Ohtani logged just one inning in left field and 7.1 innings in right field, with all of that work coming in 2021.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
Last year's player outlook said we had never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He did not quite have a repeat of his monster season at the plate in 2022, but he more than made up for that with his best season yet on the mound. Any other year, his 2022 season would be worthy of a unanimous MVP award, but Ohtani's season toiled both in the obscurity of the secondary team in the Los Angeles market while also in the large shadow of Aaron Judge's historic season. The only frustrating issue with Ohtani is if you're in a league in which you must declare how you will use him each week, because that format mostly renders his pitching talents null and void unless you're staring at several suboptimal matchups in a five-game week for Ohtani. The DH-only label slightly impacts his draft day value, as standard format leagues must then adjust downstream for losing the in-draft flexibility of the UT spot.
Simply put, we've never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He hit 46 homers, drove in 100 runs and stole 26 bases. Oh, and he also pitched 130.1 innings, fanning 156 and going 9-2 on the mound. The incredible two-way campaign earned Ohtani the AL MVP in a unanimous vote (even as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came close to a Triple Crown), the 19th unanimous MVP vote in MLB history. Many in the fantasy game could not bank all those stats -- the Ohtani Rules vary from platform to platform, and most in weekly lineup leagues had to choose whether to deploy Ohtani at UT or P, sacrificing one side of his production in a given week. He made seven appearances in the outfield last season and remains DH-only on offense in most formats, but Ohtani is a once-in-a-lifetime baseball player with more tools in his set than anyone else in the game. He's the easy No. 1 overall in leagues that allow daily lineup moves.
We know Ohtani can pitch at an elite level when he is healthy, and has shown excellent hitting abilities as well, but neither were present in 2020. He hit poorly around the occasional home run, and pitched only a handful of forgettable innings before shutting it down with a forearm strain. Ohtani was 21 months removed from his Tommy John surgery when the abbreviated season began; the disruption to the training schedule was the last thing any player, but particularly a two-way player, needed on the road to recovery. The poor pitching results and forearm strain coupled with the issues at the plate creates some uncertainty regarding Ohtani's future role. The once-a-week pitching plan the Angels have gone with to this point creates a bit of a headache in weekly lineup leagues. He might have more upside in those formats if he were to stick on one side of the ball.
While on the mend from Tommy John surgery, Ohtani served exclusively as a designated hitter for the Angels in 2019. The 25-year-old only saw his offensive production tail off marginally from his rookie campaign, slugging 18 home runs to go with 12 steals and a .286 average before he was shut down in mid-September for a minor left knee procedure. Ohtani enters the spring ostensibly at full health; the Angels will slow play him in camp and are not expected to return Ohtani to a big-league mound until mid-May at the earliest. If Ohtani quickly regains his pre-surgery command and velocity, he could be one of the top starting pitchers on a per-outing basis, just as he was during his 10 starts in 2018. His value would skyrocket if fantasy providers allow Ohtani to be used in a utility spot on his non-pitching days, as he should be in store for a handful of starts per week as a DH.
The two-way phenom was limited to just two appearances on the mound over the final four months of the season, but he continued to hit despite a busted UCL, and the offensive numbers were excellent. After undergoing Tommy John surgery in early October of 2018, he will be limited exclusively to hitting in 2019. If healthy, Ohtani would have a case as a top-100 overall player, but he's not expected back until May, so look for Ohtani to fall closer to pick 200 in mixed leagues. He had the sixth-best barrel rate in baseball (min. 150 batted-ball events) and a top-10 xSLG. His 92.6 mph average exit velocity ranked ahead of the likes of Khris Davis, Christian Yelich and Mookie Betts. The only real negatives besides health: he's UT-only and hit just .222/.300/.354 with a 31.8% K-rate against left-handed pitching. Even when active, he probably won't be a true everyday player, but Ohtani's numbers should be close to elite on a per-plate-appearance basis.
Ohtani could be the best player ever to come to MLB from Japan. In addition to racking up 624 strikeouts and posting a 2.52 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP in 543 innings over the last five seasons with the Nippon Ham Fighters, Ohtani has hit .286/.358/.500 with 48 homers in 1,170 plate appearances. He's hit at least .300 in each of the last two seasons, while carrying an OBP above .400 and a slugging percentage above .500. The Angels signed Ohtani in December, and he will immediately join the front of the team's rotation. Soon after he signed, it was revealed that Ohtani has a first-degree sprain of the UCL in his right elbow, but the Angels knew about the injury before signing him. Additionally, he missed most of 2017 as a result of an ankle injury that required surgery in October. The Angels are considering a six-man rotation. With that, he may get two turns in the lineup as the DH between each start on the mound.
Ohtani is arguably the top player in the world not in MLB. The Japanese star not only throws 102 mph and had a 1.86 ERA last season, but also hit 22 home runs with a 1.004 OPS as a DH for the Nippon Ham Fighters. Ohtani appeared to be all but set to make his move to MLB following the 2017 season, but changes in the new in the new collective-bargaining agreement that restrict MLB teams' spending on international free agents under age 25 may push his arrival back as far as 2020.
Ohtani made headlines as a two-way player, Japan's first since the '60s, as a rookie in 2013. He made even more headlines as a sophomore in 2014 by comprehensively improving both sides of his game. Ohtani regularly hit 100 mph on the radar gun, and went 11-4 with a 2.61 over 155.1 innings, striking out 179 while walking 57. At the plate, Ohtani slashed .274/.314/.444 over 234 plate appearances, hitting 17 doubles and 10 home runs. Ohtani's future is pretty clearly on the mound at this point, but he's a tantalizing talent in either role. He's a keeper prospect to monitor.
More Fantasy News
Swats homer No. 21
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 20, 2024
Ohtani went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and two walks in Thursday's 5-3 win against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in Tuesday's win
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 18, 2024
Ohtani went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, an additional RBI and two total runs scored in Tuesday's 11-9 win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Racks up three hits from atop order
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 17, 2024
Ohtani went 3-for-5 with two doubles, two runs, an RBI, a stolen base and a walk Monday in a 9-5 victory versus the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Moves into leadoff spot sans Betts
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 17, 2024
Ohtani will start at designated hitter and bat leadoff in Monday's game in Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Clobbers pair of homers
DHLos Angeles Dodgers
June 16, 2024
Ohtani went 2-for-3 with two solo home runs during Sunday's 3-0 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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