NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, January 1

Optimize your DraftKings DFS picks for New Year's Day with RotoWire's expert plays and matchup insights. Can Kawhi Leonard keep up his fantastic production?
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, January 1
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Tonight's NBA slate offers a mix of injury-driven opportunity and high-end DFS upside, making lineup decisions especially critical. With several stars appearing on the NBA injury report, projected roles, NBA starting lineups, and usage rates are shifting rapidly. This breakdown focuses on elite plays, expected chalk, and value targets using recent NBA player stats, matchup context, and updated NBA projections. Whether you're building around top-tier options or hunting salary relief, understanding how injuries impact rotations and NBA lineups is key.

Try our DraftKings NBA Lineup Optimizer to discover more expert recommendations, customize the player pool, set exposure percentage and mass-enter DFS lineups.

NBA Games Today

HOU at BRO: Rockets on three-game winning streak, 10-8 on road; Nets 4-12 at home

MIA at DET: Heat on three-game winning streak, 6-10 on road; Pistons 12-2 at home

PHI at DAL: 76ers 8-6 on road; Mavericks on three-game slide, 9-9 at home

BOS at SAC: Celtics 10-7 on road; Kings 5-10 at home

UTA at LAC: Jazz 4-9 on road; Clippers on five-game winning streak, 7-8 at home

For the latest spreads and over/unders, visit RotoWire's NBA Odds page. There you can also find player props, futures, picks, articles and sportsbook bonus codes.

NBA Injuries Today

For all the latest updates, visit RotoWire's NBA Injury News page and our comprehensive NBA Injury Report 

HOU - Alperen Sengun (calf): Questionable; Steven Adams (ankle), Clint Capela (illness): OUT

BRO - Michael Porter (illness), Terance Mann (hip), Egor Demin (back): OUT

MIA - Tyler Herro (toe), Pelle Larsson (ankle): OUT

DET - Tobias Harris (hip), Caris LeVert (knee): OUT

PHI - Joel Embiid (knee): Probable; Kelly Oubre (knee), Trendon Watford (adductor): OUT

DAL - D'Angelo Russell (illness): Questionable

BOS - Chris Boucher (personal): Questionable

SAC - Zach LaVine (ankle), Domantas Sabonis (knee): OUT

UTA - Lauri Markkanen (knee), Keyonte George (illness), Ace Bailey (hip), Jusuf Nurkic (toe), Kevin Love (rest): OUT

LAC - Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring), Ivica Zubac (ankle): OUT

Elite NBA DFS Players

Guards

Cade Cunningham, Pistons ($10,200) vs. Heat 

Cunningham has been extremely productive of late, generating at least 46.8 DK points in seven of his last eight outings. The star point guard has logged five double-doubles and a triple-double over that stretch, during which he has averaged 25.4 points, 11.1 assists, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game while shooting 39.6 percent from beyond the arc. 

Tyrese Maxey, 76ers ($9,500) at Mavericks

Maxey has appeared in six consecutive contests for Philadelphia, recording 45.0-plus DK points in five of them. During that span, the star point guard has averaged 28.3 points, 6.7 assists, 2.8 rebounds and 2.0 steals while shooting 41.5 percent from three-point range in 39.5 minutes per game. 

Forwards/Centers

Jaylen Brown, Celtics ($9,700) at Kings

Brown has been a consistent source of fantasy production all season long and will have a prime opportunity to post elite numbers in a favorable matchup against the Kings. The star forward has logged at least 37.3 DK points in 17 straight games, including six consecutive contests with 46.8 or more. During that six-game span, Brown has averaged 30.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, 5.7 assists and 2.3 combined steals-plus-blocks per tilt. 

Joel Embiid, 76ers ($8,500) at Mavericks

Availability remains a glaring issue for Embiid, though the star big man has been productive when on the court recently. The 31-year-old has scored 31 or more points in three of his last five outings, during which he has averaged 30.6 points, 8.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.4 blocks in 32.6 minutes per game. He finished with at least 40.8 DK points in all five of those matchups. 

Cooper Flagg, Mavericks ($7,400) vs. 76ers 

Flagg has found his footing of late, finishing with 34.0-plus DK points in 10 straight games and logging 40.5 or more in six of them. During that 10-game stretch, the rookie forward has averaged 24.4 points, 6.4 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 1.3 blocks and 1.0 steals while shooting 50.6 percent from the floor in 36.9 minutes per contest. 

Expected NBA DFS Chalk 

Kawhi Leonard, Clippers ($9,600) vs. Jazz 

Leonard has given the Clippers some life recently, fueling the team's five-game winning streak with elite production across the board. The star forward has racked up at least 54.0 DK points in each of those five outings and will have another opportunity to impress in a favorable matchup against a banged-up Jazz squad. Leonard has averaged a whopping 37.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 2.8 steals and 1.4 blocks per tilt in his last five games.

Mid-Range NBA DFS Picks 

Maxime Raynaud, Kings ($6,000) vs. Celtics 

The rookie second-rounder has impressed in the absence of Domantas Sabonis (knee) and has been a mainstay in the starting five since early December. Raynaud has contributed 32.0-plus DK points in six of his last seven outings, averaging 16.1 points, 10.3 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 0.9 blocks in 32.0 minutes per game over that stretch. 

Kyle Filipowski, Jazz ($5,700) at Clippers 

The Jazz will be without multiple starters Thursday, including Lauri Markkanen (knee) and Jusuf Nurkic (toe), paving the way for Filipowski to step into a starting role. Over six starts in December, the second-year big man averaged 16.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.5 combined steals-plus-blocks in 31.3 minutes per game. He posted a season-high 53.3 DK points in his last start Dec. 23, during which Markkanen and Nurkic were both unavailable. 

NBA DFS Value Picks

Isaiah Collier, Jazz ($4,500) at Clippers 

With Keyonte George (illness) sidelined, Collier is likely to step into the starting five and should play a pivotal role in orchestrating the offense. The 21-year-old point guard has dished out at least eight assists in five of his last six outings off the bench, logging 21.0 or more DK points in each of those five games. 

Nikola Jovic, Heat ($4,300) at Pistons

The 22-year-old forward has impressed since returning from a four-game absence due to a right elbow injury, contributing at least 26.3 DK points in each of his last three appearances. During that stretch, Jovic has averaged 17.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 1.0 steals in 24.0 minutes per game off the bench.

Nique Clifford, Kings ($4,200) vs. Celtics 

Even with Keegan Murray back in the lineup, Clifford still logged 29 minutes in Tuesday's loss to the Clippers, finishing with 18 points and 24.8 DK points. The rookie first-rounder has notched 20.5-plus DK points in six straight games, during which he has averaged 11.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.3 steals across 26.5 minutes per contest with the second unit.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Joe is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate who has covered the NBA, WNBA and MLB for RotoWire since early 2024.
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