This article is part of our College Football DFS: Weekday Slate series.
We have a packed day of bowl action on New Year's Eve, including a College Football Playoff semifinal. DraftKings will offer several windows to get involved in the slate, but the main featured slate with all five games will begin at 12:00 p.m. ET.
SLATE OVERVIEW
ReliaQuest Bowl: Alabama vs. Michigan
Sun Bowl: Louisville vs. Washington
Citrus Bowl: South Carolina vs. Illinois
Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. LSU
CFP Quarterfinal @ Cotton Bowl: #6 Penn State vs. #3 Boise State
CFB DFS Tools
- DraftKings College Football Optimizer
- FanDuel College Football Optimizer
- Weekly CFB Matchup Info
- CFB Targets
- CFB Stats
- CFB Team Trends
- CFB Advanced Team Stats with Plays per Game, Pass %, Run % and more
NOTABLE TRANSFERS/OPT-OUTS
Alabama
WR Kendrick Law
S Malachi Moore (injury)
Michigan
WR Tyler Morris
TE Colston Loveland (opt-out)
RB Donovan Edwards (opt-out)
RB Kalel Mullings (opt-out)
CB Will Johnson (injury)
Several defensive starters (opt-out)
Louisville
QB Tyler Shough (opt-out)
RB Ja'Corey Brooks (opt-out)
WR Ahmari Huggins-Bruce (opt-out)
Washington
QB Will Rogers (benched)
RB Cam Davis (opt-out)
2 first-string defensive players (transfer)
Illinois
WR Pat Bryant (opt-out)
South Carolina
RB Raheim Sanders (opt-out)
Baylor
4 Backup defensive players (transfer)
LSU
WR CJ Daniels
TE Mason Taylor (opt-out)
WR Kyren Lacy (opt-out)
Several defensive players, resulting in three freshmen on the offensive line
Quarterback
Sawyer Robertson, Baylor ($8,000) vs. LSU
Robertson isn't a glitzy pick if you don't follow the Big 12 or don't care about Vegas metrics, but those in the know are well aware of what Robertson brings to the table. The Bears are headed into the Texas Bowl with their first string almost intact. Although Ashtyn Hawkins (hand) is questionable, the rest of Robertson's receivers are healthy and ready to play. As you can see above, LSU's defense surrenders the second-highest pass-yardage amount on the slate, and few quarterbacks can match Robertson's end-of-season success. Although they were thwarted by some early tough losses that eliminated their CFP aspirations, they want to let the college football landscape know that they deserved to be there. I am taking Robertson and stacking his passing game with confidence.
Drew Allar, Penn State ($8,100) vs. Boise State
The slate sets up as a spot where the S-FLEX might be best used by a non-QB, but I'll offer Allar as an alternative. Which pass defense ranks worse than LSU on the slate? You guessed it - it's the Broncos, who have struggled against opposing quarterbacks at times this season. Although the Nittany Lions have excellent talent at running back, I expect Allar to test the air a bit more than usual, as both defenses will try to contain the running back elites.
Running Back
Before endorsing, you have to ask the Ashton Jeanty ($10,900) question - do you play him? Can we fade him? It's a tough call, and while there are cheap opt-out subs you can use at the position to offset the enormous cost, I'm inclined to say no, unless you go with one quarterback and make Jeanty your S-FLEX. We're used to spending up with a quarterback spot anyway, so it's the position that makes the most sense.
Isaac Brown, Louisville ($7,100) vs. Washington
The Cardinals will have Harrison Bailey as their new quarterback, with occasional appearances by Deuce Adams. Both quarterbacks will rely on a strong backfield presence to keep them comfortable. Bailey is expected to take most of the snaps, and he's a true pocket passer who lacks dual-threat mobility. Brown will be the guy running it out of the backfield, as Bailey's feet are no threat. The Huskies also have one of the most forgiving rush defenses on the slate.
Jordan Marshall, Michigan ($3,000) vs. Alabama
I was keen to exploit Alabama's run defense, but I had to check on who would be the guy in the backfield with Edwards and Mullings out. After reading up on Marshall, I'm convinced that he could be the big surprise on the slate. The freshman has drawn comparisons to Blake Corum, which is lofty praise coming from his alma mater. I saw him return a couple of balls on special teams this season, and I can understand why he's going to get the call.
Also consider: Bryson Washington, Baylor ($8,500) vs. LSU
Wide Receiver
Aaron Anderson, LSU ($5,700) vs. Baylor
With Lacy and Taylor opting out, I expect Garrett Nussmeier to target Anderson often. The Nears can be beaten through the air, and we've seen how Nussmeier can shred secondaries despite the disappointing season endured by the Tigers. Chris Hilton ($3,700) could be the dark horse budget option for this offense, but I think Anderson will be the more dependable option.
Josh Cameron, Baylor ($5,000) vs. LSU
I'm following through with a Baylor stack and taking Cameron. Although picking the correct receiver for Baylor was a source of DFS frustration this season, Cameron was the top guy more often than not. I don't have an issue with Monaray Baldwin or Ashtyn Hawkins, but Cameron's target share is usually the highest on the team.
Zakhari Franklin, Illinois vs. South Carolina
I think the Illini are in for a long day against the Gamecocks, and Luke Altmyer will need to have a superb day through the air to have a chance. Franklin should be past the injury that hampered him at the end of the season, and he'll be Altmyer's top target. South Carolina's defense is strong, but their secondary is where they have the most gaps.