NFL Picks: 
Dallas Cowboys vs. 
Las Vegas Raiders: Odds, Picks, and Predictions for MNF Week 11
The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) travel to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders (2-7) in an inter-conference matchup on Monday Night Football. The Cowboys are coming off a bye after losing to the Cardinals on MNF in Week 9, while the Raiders are off a Thursday Night Football loss to the Broncos 10-7.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Odds
- Cowboys -3.0 (BetRivers -117) -3.5 (DraftKings -105) / Raiders +3.5 (Caesars Sportsbook -113)
- Cowboys ML (BetRivers -180) / Raiders ML (Fanatics +160)
- Total OVER 49.5 (FanDuel -106) / UNDER 50.0 (BetMGM -110)
- Cowboys total points: Over 26.5 (BetRivers-113) / Under 27.5 (DraftKings +100)
- Raiders total points: Over 22.5 (Hard Rock -120) / Under 23.5 (BetRivers -110)
- First-half spread: Cowboys -1.5 (BetRivers -112) / Raiders +2.5 (DraftKings -108)
- First-half total: Over 24.5 (FanDuel +100) / Under 25.5 (BetMGM -125)
- First-half team total:
- Cowboys Over/Under 13.5 (BetRivers -103/-121)
- Raiders Over/Under 10.5 (BetRivers -106/-117)
The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point road favorites, but it reopened at -3.5 on November 4th, which means it crossed over the key number of 3. It has bounced around from -3.0 to -3.5 over the last week or so.
The total opened at 45.5 and reopened on November 4th at 51.0 for a full 6.5 point line move. It peaked at 51.0 before coming back down to 50.0. 51 is one of the key numbers in totals, so that move from 51 to 50 is significant.
The majority of the bets (68%) have come in on the Cowboys, but the handle is at 60% in favor of the Raiders. This reflects that "sharp" money is coming in on Las Vegas.
The total has serious sharp movement with 53 percent of bets on the OVER, but 80 percent of the money on the OVER. The moneyline is on the Cowboys at 94% of the bets and 90% of the money.
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Key Injuries
Cowboys - S Malik Hooker (IR), DT Solomon Thomas (O). CB Trevon Diggs (IR), S Juanyeh Thomas (O)
Raiders - NONE
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Cowboys vs. Raiders Betting Picks
Both teams are coming off a bye or extended rest, and both lost their last game, so I look for some fireworks on Monday night between the Cowboys and the Raiders.
BETTING TRENDS
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
- Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
- Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 5 games.
- Las Vegas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
- Las Vegas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home.
- Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas.
Cowboys vs. Raiders Best Bets
- Cowboys/Raiders OVER 49.5 points for 1 unit (DraftKings -112)
- Cowboys OVER 6.5 1Q for 1 unit (BetRivers -112)
- Cowboys -3.0 for 1 unit (BetRivers -117)
Cowboys vs. Raiders Predictions
The Raiders have very little to play for, and the Cowboys' playoff chances are slim, but they did make a couple of big moves at the trade deadline, so they are going for it. I look for the Cowboys to get their offense back on track Monday Night in Vegas.
