2025 Receiving Stats
REC
29
YDS
448
TD
4
AVG
15.4
TAR
36
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid seemed poised for a big sophomore season after posting 555 yards over the last 11 games of his 2023 rookie campaign, but he instead regressed to 448 yards in 13 regular-season games while scoring just two TDs for a second straight year. Knee injuries slowed him down for part of 2024, but the bigger problems were lackluster blocking (which impacted his playing time) and a 58.7 percent catch rate (worst among qualified pass catchers with an aDOT below 8.0). Kincaid’s 10 red-zone targets were double the total of teammate Dawson Knox, but 15 other tight ends had more, as the Bills scored 32 of their 62 offensive touchdowns on the ground and didn’t have a player exceed five receiving TDs. The only real positive for Kincaid last year was a 29.0 percent target rate, good for second among TEs and up from 22.5 percent his rookie season. He didn't give the Bills much reason to continue feeding him, but it's nonetheless too early to completely write off a recent first-round pick who caught 73 passes as a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Ruled out for TNF
Bills coach Sean McDermott said Wednesday that Kincaid (hamstring) is ruled out for Thursday's road contest against the Texans, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
McDermott's announcement doesn't come as much of a surprise, as Kincaid was labeled week-to-week after injuring his hamstring Week 10 versus the Dolphins and hasn't practiced in any capacity since. His next chance to return to action will come Sunday, Nov. 30 on the road against Pittsburgh in Week 13, while Dawson Knox will start at tight end for Buffalo on Thursday, with Jackson Hawes operating in the No. 2 role.
McDermott's announcement doesn't come as much of a surprise, as Kincaid was labeled week-to-week after injuring his hamstring Week 10 versus the Dolphins and hasn't practiced in any capacity since. His next chance to return to action will come Sunday, Nov. 30 on the road against Pittsburgh in Week 13, while Dawson Knox will start at tight end for Buffalo on Thursday, with Jackson Hawes operating in the No. 2 role.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2025 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
42.8Air Yards Per Snap
1.53% Team Air Yards
14.6%% Team Targets
12.3%Avg Depth of Target
9.5 YdsCatch Rate
80.6%Drop Rate
5.6%Avg Yds After Catch
6.8% Targeted On Route
25.7%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2025 NFL Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2025 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Bills 2025 TE Snap DistributionLoading Weekly Snap Counts...
How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
140 routes 36 targets
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Texans pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
@ Texans
Thursday, Nov 20th at 8:15PM
Overall QB Rating Against
52.3
Cornerbacks
49.7
Safeties
6.1
Linebackers
77.7
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2025 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
More Fantasy News
Not practicing Tuesday
Bills head coach Sean McDermott said that Kincaid (hamstring) won't participate in Tuesday's walk-through practice, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Unable to practice Monday
Bills coach Sean McDermott said Kincaid (hamstring) will be listed as a non-participant on Monday's practice report, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ruled out for Sunday
Coach Sean McDermott noted Friday that Kincaid (hamstring) won't play Sunday against the Buccaneers, Maddy Glab of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not seen at practice Thursday
Kincaid (hamstring) wasn't spotted at practice Thursday, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not practicing Wednesday
Kincaid (hamstring) won't practice Wednesday, Maddy Glab of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential breakout candidate
Kincaid could see his role expand in the Buffalo offense in 2025, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid had a disappointing 2024 season, seeing his production dip across the board. That was in part due to a knee injury that sidelined him for three games and limited his snaps down the stretch. Kincaid enters training camp healthy and with added strength, and the Bills may have contractual reasons to give Kincaid additional opportunities in 2025. The team will have to decide whether to pick up the fifth-year option on his rookie contract next offseason, and it could also part ways with Dawson Knox given the way his contract is structured, giving the Bills incentive to see if Kincaid can take over as the primary tight end.
Kincaid had a disappointing 2024 season, seeing his production dip across the board. That was in part due to a knee injury that sidelined him for three games and limited his snaps down the stretch. Kincaid enters training camp healthy and with added strength, and the Bills may have contractual reasons to give Kincaid additional opportunities in 2025. The team will have to decide whether to pick up the fifth-year option on his rookie contract next offseason, and it could also part ways with Dawson Knox given the way his contract is structured, giving the Bills incentive to see if Kincaid can take over as the primary tight end.