A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Philadelphia Eagles
Questionable
Injury Knee
Est. Return 4/1/2024
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The dominant physical skills Brown displayed in Tennessee for three seasons finally translated to dominant fantasy stats once he escaped the conservative Titans offense and joined a more balanced, spread-out offense in Philadelphia. Not only did he manage a slew of career highs, he bested his previous high-water marks by margins of 39 targets (145), 18 catches (88) and 421 yards (1,496). It was a breakout year for Brown, fellow wideout DeVonta Smith, QB Jalen Hurts and even RB Miles Sanders, all aided by an offensive line that's widely considered the best in the league. Sanders is gone now, along with former offensive coordinator Shane Steichen, replaced by Rashaad Penny and internal promotion Brian Johnson, respectively. The Eagles avoided the high degree of turnover often seen with Super Bowl participants, especially on the offensive side where Brown, Smith and Dallas Goedert have plenty of time to run routes with the help of an elite O-line and highly mobile quarterback. The only real drawback from a fantasy standpoint is that Brown probably won't quite match the volume accrued by other receivers of his caliber, instead relying on big plays and frequent red-zone trips to make another run at WR1 production. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $100 million contract with the Eagles in April of 2022.
Wants to stay in Philly
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
February 23, 2024
Brown (knee) called into Sports Radio 94WIP on Friday to shut down trade rumors and say that he wants to stay with the Eagles.
ANALYSIS
Brown took matters into his own hands after hearing trade rumors from Philadelphia media on the heels of the Eagles' late-season meltdown. He was clear about not wanting to be traded and not having any issues with QB Jalen Hurts, and Brown also mentioned feeling like the team's coaches were unfairly blamed for a disappointing 2023. All the same, Philadelphia will have new coordinators on both sides of the ball in 2024, having hired Kellen Moore for the offense and Vic Fangio for the defense. Assuming he's right about the trade rumors being bogus, Brown will remain a central figure in the offense for the second season of his four-year, $100 million extension. The knee injury that kept him out of a wild-card loss to Tampa Bay isn't expected to impact his preparations for 2024, and Brown figures to be taken late in the first round or early in the second round of most fantasy drafts, just as he was last summer.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do A.J. Brown's 2023 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
107.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.86
 
% Team Air Yards
40.9%
 
% Team Targets
29.8%
 
Avg Depth of Target
11.6 Yds
 
Catch Rate
67.1%
 
Drop Rate
3.8%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.5
 
% Targeted On Route
26.6%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.46
 
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2023
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2022 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Philadelphia EaglesEagles 2023 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

105991%
98384%
49042%
33629%
24221%
615%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where A.J. Brown lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 A.J. Brown Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do A.J. Brown's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
226 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.49 sec
 
Vertical Jump
36.5 in
 
Broad Jump
120 in
 
Hand Length
9.75 in
 
Arm Length
32.88 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Brown hasn't yet put it all together for a huge fantasy season, but few wide receivers command more respect from opponents. The 2019 second-round pick topped 1,000 yards as a rookie despite initially playing limited snaps, quickly becoming one of the league's top YAC threats. Maybe that shouldn't be a surprise, considering Brown turned in back-to-back 1,200-yard seasons at Ole Miss as the No. 1 receiver ahead of DK Metcalf, and later ran a 4.49 40 at 226 pounds at the 2019 Combine. While not quite on Metcalf's level for measurables, Brown combines the size and strength of a running back with the fluidity and hand-eye coordination of a top receiver. Unfortunately, those gifts were only on display part-time last year, as Brown missed four full games, nearly all of a fifth and also played at less than 100 percent health in a few others. He finished south of 1,000 yards for the season, despite having three games with at least 133 yards and a touchdown (plus a fourth in the playoffs). Now, Brown is on to greener pastures ... or at least a greener uniform. Unable to work out an extension, the Titans traded their star wideout to the Eagles, who promptly signed Brown to a four-year, $100 million contract. He joins DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert in what might be another run-first offense, though it's possible the Eagles open things up for QB Jalen Hurts now that they have weapons.
Despite missing Weeks 2 and 3 last year with knee injuries the Titans’ medical staff had initially deemed season-ending, Brown managed a second straight 1,000-yard campaign. And while he regressed from his other-worldly and unsustainable 12.4 YPT as a rookie, Brown still netted 10.1 yards per look (4th). At 6-0, 226, Brown is built more like a workhorse running back than an outside receiver. As such, he’s a load to bring down, and his 4.49 speed seems to understate his ability to take short passes to the house. Despite seeing only 12 red-zone targets (T-34th), Brown scored 11 touchdowns (5th) last year. He had surgery on both knees after the year, underscoring the severity of the injuries through which he played. Still only 24, presumably healthy in time for training camp and now in Year 3, Brown is poised for another big season — this time with Julio Jones replacing Corey Davis as his running mate in Tennessee. Jones should see more targets than Davis, at least on a per-game basis, but the 32-year-old also attracts more defensive attention, and his presence could inspire new OC Todd Downing to throw more passes than predecessor Arthur Smith. Regardless of what happens with the new guy, Brown should take the lead.
As a 22-year-old rookie, Brown was the best per-play wide receiver in the NFL last year. Despite seeing only 84 targets from the combination of Marcus Mariota and Ryan Tannehill, Brown led all rookie receivers in yards and tied Darius Slayton with eight TDs. Brown's 12.5 YPT was first among the league's 52 80-target wideouts, and his eight catches of 40 yards also tied for first. And that doesn't include a 49-yard rushing TD, the icing on the cake. At 6-0, 226, Brown is a physical mismatch for most defensive backs. He's wide, strong and explosive, and his 4.49 speed makes him dangerous after the catch once the initial defender fails to bring him down. Brown also showed excellent hands with only two drops all year. While he has ideal red-zone size, he was rarely used there - only eight targets - yet he scored nine times. The biggest issue for Brown is opportunity. Coach Mike Vrabel and OC Arthur Smith ran an offense that finished last season with the second fewest pass attempts (448). That probably caps Brown's ceiling, as it's hard to see him among the league leaders in targets, especially with 2017 fifth overall pick Corey Davis, slot man Adam Humphries and emerging TE Jonnu Smith in the fold. But the team re-upped Tannehill, the QB with whom Brown had the most success, and if anything happens to Derrick Henry, whom the team franchise-tagged in March, the sky's the limit for Brown.
Taken with the 51st overall pick in this year's draft, Brown is a good prospect in a crowded situation. Not only did the Titans sign Adam Humphries to a big deal this offseason, but they already had 2017 No. 5 overall pick Corey Davis and also get tight end Delanie Walker back from injury. That said, at 6-1, 230, Brown is a powerhouse who runs exceptionally well (4.49 40) for his size. He presents matchup problems for smaller corners, is incredibly tough to bring down after the catch and has a 36.5-inch vertical leap. The question for Brown is mostly about role - not only is there competition for targets, but Marcus Mariota's star has faded the last two seasons, and Tennessee attempted 437 passes last year (31st) in an offense that eventually was built around running back Derrick Henry.
More Fantasy News
Standout season ends on sour note
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
January 17, 2024
Brown (knee) finished the 2023 regular season with 106 catches on 158 targets for 1,456 yards and seven touchdowns over 17 games. He played in all 17 regular-season games but missed the 32-9 wild-card round loss to the Buccaneers due to a knee injury.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed out for Monday
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
January 13, 2024
Head coach Nick Sirianni confirmed Saturday that Brown (knee) will not play in Monday's playoff matchup against the Buccaneers, Martin Frank of The Delaware News Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not expected to play Monday
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
January 13, 2024
Brown (knee) is not expected to play Monday, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out again Friday
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
January 12, 2024
Brown (knee) was absent from Friday's practice, Eliot Shorr-Parks of Sports Radio 94 WIP Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not practicing Thursday
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
January 11, 2024
Brown (knee) was a non-participant at Thursday's practice, Dave Zangaro of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
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