2024 Receiving Stats
REC
103
YDS
1533
TD
10
AVG
14.9
TAR
154
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kirk Cousins' departure from Minnesota last offseason dropped Jefferson from his familiar perch as an early first-round fantasy pick, leaving him as more of a mid-Round-1 guy amidst concerns about Vikings QBs Sam Darnold and J.J. McCarthy. It ended up being good value, with an average of 18.7 PPR points representing Jefferson's lowest mark since his 2020 rookie season and yet still enough to finish second among WRs in total points and fourth in points per game. There seems to be less concern about a new QB this time around, after Jefferson and Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell coaxed 35 TD passes out of Darnold. We don't yet know if McCarthy, last year's 10th overall pick, will end up being an upgrade, a downgrade or about the same as Darnold, but it's safe to say the 22-year-old's statistics will look better than the reality of his performance. O'Connell not only likes to chuck the ball around but also is among the best at scheming it up, and the Vikings have talented ancillary pass catchers (WR Jordan Addison, TE T.J. Hockenson) to take some of the heat off Jefferson without truly threatening his volume. If Jefferson goes in the middle part of Round 1 rather than the early part this year, it's seemingly a matter of optimism regarding RBs Bijan Robinson, Saquon Barkley and Jahmyr Gibbs more so than fears about McCarthy. Early ADP feedback has Jefferson safely in the WR2 spot, behind only Ja'Marr Chase. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
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Overall
Disappointing in wild-card loss
Jefferson secured five of eight targets for 58 yards in the Vikings' 27-9 wild-card loss to the Rams on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Jefferson's ordinary stat line Monday underscores how effective the Rams defense was versus Minnesota's air attack while getting to Sam Darnold for a remarkable nine sacks. The constant pressure combined with the extra attention paid to Jefferson made it difficult for the supremely talented receiver to get loose downfield for his trademark long gains, and although he finished tied for the team lead in both targets and receptions, his yardage total left plenty to be desired. Jefferson displayed plenty of chemistry with Darnold while posting the third-highest reception and receiving yardage totals of his career during the regular season, finishing with 103 catches for 1,533 yards and 10 touchdowns over 17 games. The standout receiver, who will be entering the first season of his four-year, $140 million extension in 2025, may be operating with a new quarterback. Darnold is set to become a free agent, and the Vikings invested a 2024 first-round pick in J.J. McCarthy, who missed his entire rookie campaign with a knee injury but remains a promising prospect.
Jefferson's ordinary stat line Monday underscores how effective the Rams defense was versus Minnesota's air attack while getting to Sam Darnold for a remarkable nine sacks. The constant pressure combined with the extra attention paid to Jefferson made it difficult for the supremely talented receiver to get loose downfield for his trademark long gains, and although he finished tied for the team lead in both targets and receptions, his yardage total left plenty to be desired. Jefferson displayed plenty of chemistry with Darnold while posting the third-highest reception and receiving yardage totals of his career during the regular season, finishing with 103 catches for 1,533 yards and 10 touchdowns over 17 games. The standout receiver, who will be entering the first season of his four-year, $140 million extension in 2025, may be operating with a new quarterback. Darnold is set to become a free agent, and the Vikings invested a 2024 first-round pick in J.J. McCarthy, who missed his entire rookie campaign with a knee injury but remains a promising prospect.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Jefferson's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
97.9Air Yards Per Snap
1.70% Team Air Yards
37.4%% Team Targets
29.7%Avg Depth of Target
10.8 YdsCatch Rate
66.9%Drop Rate
3.2%Avg Yds After Catch
4.9% Targeted On Route
25.2%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Justin Jefferson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2024 Justin Jefferson Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Justin Jefferson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"Weight
195 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.43 secVertical Jump
37.5 inBroad Jump
126 inHand Length
9.13 inArm Length
33.00 in
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Jefferson reached 1,400 yards as a rookie, 1,600 as a sophomore, 1,800 in Year 3 and then looked ready to push for 2,000 early last season. He was already up to 571 in Week 5 when a hamstring injury knocked him out for the fourth quarter and then the next seven games. Jefferson's long-awaited return was spoiled by a chest injury after 13 snaps, but he came back the next week and exploded for 476 yards over the final four games to comfortably clear 1,000 yards for the season (1,074). If not for the two partial games, he almost certainly would've led the league in receiving yards per game for a second straight year, though Miami's Tyreek Hill was the undisputed king for both 2022 and 2023 in terms of per-route production. Jefferson is by no means lacking in that regard -- he's been Top 10 in yards per route in all four of his seasons -- but it helps that he almost never comes off the field when healthy and spent the past two years in Kevin O'Connell offenses that threw the ball 676 (3rd) and 631 (4th) times. O'Connell is still around, but the Minnesota offense is much harder to decipher after TE T.J. Hockenson suffered a late-season ACL tear and QB Kirk Cousins left for Atlanta. While few teams can match the WR pairing of Jefferson and 2023 first-round pick Jordan Addison, there's obvious risk of a down year with Sam Darnold taking the QB snaps.
More Fantasy News
Held in check Sunday
Jefferson was held to three receptions on nine targets for 54 yards in Sunday's 31-9 blowout loss to Detroit.
ANALYSIS
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Paces Minnesota pass catchers
Jefferson recorded eight receptions on 11 targets for 92 yards in Sunday's 27-25 win over the Packers.
ANALYSIS
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Makes light work of Seahawks
Jefferson corralled 10 of 13 targets for 144 yards and a pair of touchdowns in Sunday's 27-24 win over Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Another TD in Week 15 win
Jefferson brought in seven of 13 targets for 73 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings' 30-12 win over the Bears on Monday night.
ANALYSIS
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Signature performance in win
Jefferson secured all seven targets for 132 yards and two touchdowns in the Vikings' 42-21 win over the Falcons on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Team set on McCarthy moving forward
Jefferson is officially projected to work with J.J. McCarthy as his starting quarterback in 2025 after sources confirmed that the Vikings are no longer considering signing Aaron Rodgers, Kevin Seifert of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
McCarthy was set to compete for the Vikings' starting job last summer before tearing his meniscus, an injury that wiped out his entire 2024 campaign. However, Seifert reports McCarthy is ready to take first-team reps beginning with OTAs, meaning Jefferson is on track to work with his third different starting quarterback in as many seasons. The standout receiver has benefited from the experience the first two signal-callers in that sample, Kirk Cousins and Sam Darnold, brought to the table, but McCarthy will head into 2025 will no career NFL snaps under his belt.
McCarthy was set to compete for the Vikings' starting job last summer before tearing his meniscus, an injury that wiped out his entire 2024 campaign. However, Seifert reports McCarthy is ready to take first-team reps beginning with OTAs, meaning Jefferson is on track to work with his third different starting quarterback in as many seasons. The standout receiver has benefited from the experience the first two signal-callers in that sample, Kirk Cousins and Sam Darnold, brought to the table, but McCarthy will head into 2025 will no career NFL snaps under his belt.