SLATE PREVIEW
The Lightning were one of the favorites when the playoffs began, while the Canadiens were the biggest long shot. Both goalies have been phenomenal, as Andrei Vasilevskiy notched a .928 save percentage compared to Carey Price's .933 mark. The Lightning are still hefty favorites (-275) in the series. It's a well-deserved tilt as the far more talented team, but the Canadiens have showcased a superb defensive effort thus far. Whether they can keep it up remains to be seen, as the Lightning went to seven games with an Islanders team that plays a similar style of hockey.
All advanced statistics are courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.
GOALIES
Carey Price, MON at TB ($9,800): Price is 7-2-0 on the road during the playoffs with a .933 save percentage, so the journey to Tampa Bay shouldn't be enough to scare off fantasy players. This is expected to be a low-scoring bout, too, as it's coming in on sportsbooks at 5.0 O/U. The Canadiens play a sturdy defensive game while still allowing a fair amount of shots, increasing Price's upside and making him worth a look in daily contests.
LINE STACK
Nick Suzuki ($8,200), Cole Caufield ($7,800), Tyler Toffoli ($9,200)
Two youngsters anchored by a veteran winger, this line was excellent in the semifinal round, recording 2.87 xGF/60 at even strength. The Habs have counted on their second line for offense because Phillip Danault's line, which includes Brendan Gallagher, have been busy shutting down opponents' top players, so they're the best stack you'll find for Montreal. Caufield is worth a look in the captain spot for $11,700 after lighting the lamp four times and adding an assist across six games last round.
VALUE PLAYS
Alex Killorn, TB vs. MON ($6,800): Killorn was one of the Lightning's best forwards at even strength during the semifinal round, putting forth 3.67 xGF over seven games -- third among the team's forward. He has a lethal shot as well, and he receives more favorable matchups with the first line getting the focus of the opponent's top defenders.
Paul Byron, MON at TB ($4,200):
Byron has tallied four points over the past five games, and he helped fuel the team's third line during the semifinal round. His analytics hold up with 3.1 xGF/60 as well, so the two-time 20-goal scorer comes at a hefty bargain Monday.
