The Week 14 Sunday Night Football Game brings us a pivotal game for playoff seeding in the AFC, as the 6-6 Kansas City Chiefs take on the 7-5 Houston Texans. The latest NFL Week 14 odds list the Chiefs as 3.5-point favorites in this one.
If you're looking to spice up this matchup with some NFL Week 14 player props, I've got you covered.
If you're watching this game to celebrate the launch of Missouri sports betting, make sure you use an offer like TheScore Bet Missouri promo to make the most of these picks.
Best BetMGM Texans vs Chiefs Prop Bets: Week 14
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Patrick Mahomes – Passing Yards: OVER 236.5 (-115)
Patrick Mahomes has struggled against top-10 defenses this season. He's gone 0-4 against the four top-10 defenses in EPA he's played in 2025. But it's hard to put those losses on him, as he's still been putting up stats. Mahomes is averaging 259.8 passing yards per game against those elite defenses, reaching at least 258 passing yards in three of those four games. The Texans are probably the toughest test yet, but I think this line is just a little too low. In a must-win game for KC, it's hard to bet against Mahomes here.
Best DraftKings Texans vs Chiefs Prop Bets: Week 14
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C.J. Stroud – Passing Yards: OVER 227.5 (-113)
Houston's biggest issue is protecting C.J. Stroud. Stroud ranks 14th out of 41 qualified QBs in passer rating when he's been kept clean this season. But he falls to 29th out of 41 QBs in that same metric when pressured. Kansas City generates pressure at about a league-average rate, and I'm not sure this KC pass-rush is good enough to make Stroud uncomfortable. As a 3.5-point underdog, the game script says Stroud should get a lot of opportunities, and he has cleared this mark in each of his last five healthy games.
Nico Collins – Receiving Yards: OVER 66.5 (-112)
I love pairing Stroud and Nico Collins' overs this week. If the KC pass-rush doesn't get home, Stroud should be set up for a nice game. And the bulk of those yards should go to Nico Collins. Collins has reached 75 yards in four of his last five games. The only game he failed to hit that mark came in Week 12, when his usage decreased after taking a brutal hit. He was limited to just three targets, which he turned into 55 yards. If we throw that game out, Collins is turning 11.5 targets into 7.0 receptions for 100.3 receiving yards per game over his last four healthy games. As long as Houston's OL holds up, Collins should have no trouble reaching 67 receiving yards.
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2025 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record
Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of Week 14):
- 52-47 (52.5%)
Where to Bet on Week 14 SNF Props
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